Investors in Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Sept 19, 2025 $21.00 Put had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could a ...

Core Insights - Navient reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 21 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 29 cents and down from 48 cents in the prior-year quarter [2] - The company's GAAP net income was $14 million compared to $36 million in the prior-year quarter [3] - The decline in net interest income (NII) and higher provisions for loan losses were significant factors affecting performance [2][4] Financial Performance - NII decreased by 3.7% year over year to $131 million, missing estimates by 9.2% [4] - Total other income fell 76.1% year over year to $28 million [4] - Provision for loan losses increased to $37 million from $14 million in the prior-year quarter [4] - Total expenses decreased by 45.4% year over year to $101 million [4] Segment Performance - Federal Education Loans segment generated a net income of $30 million, up 7.1% year over year [5] - Consumer Lending segment reported a net income of $26 million, down 56.7% from the year-ago quarter [5] - The private education loan delinquency rate greater than 30 days increased to 6.4% from 5.2% in the prior-year quarter [5] Liquidity and Capital Management - As of June 30, 2025, the company had $712 million in total unrestricted cash and liquid investments [8] - In the second quarter, Navient paid $16 million in common stock dividends and repurchased shares for $35 million [9] 2025 Outlook - Core EPS is now expected to be in the range of $0.95–$1.05, down from the previous range of $1.00–$1.20 [10] - FFELP segment NIM is now expected to be 55–65 basis points, an increase from the previous guidance of 45–60 basis points [10] - Full-year loan originations are now expected to be between $1.8 billion and $2.2 billion, compared to earlier expectations of 30% growth [11] Market Sentiment - Since the earnings release, there has been a downward trend in estimates revision, with a consensus estimate shift of -8.74% [12] - Navient has a subpar Growth Score of D and a value score of B, resulting in an aggregate VGM Score of D [13] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expectations of below-average returns in the coming months [14] Industry Comparison - Navient belongs to the Zacks Financial - Consumer Loans industry, where Capital One has gained 5.7% over the past month [15] - Capital One reported revenues of $12.49 billion, representing a year-over-year change of +31.4% [15] - The overall direction of estimate revisions for Capital One translates into a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [17]

It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Mr Cooper (COOP) . Shares have added about 17.3% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Mr Cooper due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.Mr. Cooper Q2 Earnings & Revenues Miss, Expenses Rise ...

The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. Zacks Consensus Estimate This auto financing company is expected to post quarterly earnings ...

Group 1: OneMain Holdings (OMF) Earnings Expectations - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for OneMain Holdings, with expected earnings of $1.25 per share, reflecting a +22.6% change, and revenues projected at $1 billion, up 8.7% from the previous year [3][12] - The earnings report is set to be released on July 25, and the stock may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2][12] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.22% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] Group 2: Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for OneMain is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.89%, suggesting a bearish outlook [12] - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10] - OneMain currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict a consensus EPS beat [12] Group 3: Historical Performance and Industry Context - OneMain has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +10.97% in the last reported quarter [13][14] - In comparison, Enova International, a peer in the consumer loans industry, is expected to post earnings of $2.97 per share, indicating a +34.4% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $751.04 million, up 19.5% [18][19] - Enova International has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.67% and a Zacks Rank of 2, suggesting a higher likelihood of beating consensus estimates [20]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Navient's earnings despite an increase in revenues when it reports its results for the quarter ended June 2025 [1] Company Summary - Navient is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.29 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 39.6% [3] - Revenue projections stand at $142.8 million, which is a 5% increase from the same quarter last year [3] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.94% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Navient is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -17.22% [12] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict a beat on the consensus EPS estimate [12] - Historically, Navient has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +47.37% in the last reported quarter [13][14] Industry Context - In comparison, Capital One is expected to post earnings of $3.83 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 22% [18] - Capital One's revenue is projected to be $12.22 billion, up 28.6% from the previous year, with a slight upward revision of 0.6% in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [19] - Capital One also has an Earnings ESP of -1.47% and a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions for beating the consensus EPS estimate [20]

Core Viewpoint - Capital One (COF) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $3.82, reflecting a +21.7% change, and revenues projected at $12.22 billion, up 28.6% from the previous year [3]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for July 22, and the stock may rise if the reported numbers exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.43% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Capital One is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.26%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Group 2: Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Capital One exceeded the expected EPS of $3.66 by delivering $4.06, resulting in a surprise of +10.93% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Capital One has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Group 3: Comparison with Industry Peers - Ally Financial (ALLY) is expected to report an EPS of $0.78 for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year decline of -19.6%, with revenues projected at $2.03 billion, up 1.5% [18]. - The consensus EPS estimate for Ally Financial has been revised 1.2% lower, but a higher Most Accurate Estimate gives it an Earnings ESP of +1.78%, suggesting a likely beat of the consensus EPS estimate [19][20].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Consumer Loans industry includes companies providing various loan products such as mortgages, credit card loans, and personal loans, which are crucial for generating net interest income (NII) [3] - The industry's performance is highly sensitive to the overall economic conditions and consumer sentiments, with many providers also engaging in commercial lending and asset recovery to diversify revenue sources [3] Key Influencing Factors - **Asset Quality**: Prolonged high interest rates are affecting borrowers' repayment capacity, leading to increased reserves by loan providers to mitigate rising defaults, which is deteriorating asset quality [4] - **Interest Rates & Loan Demand**: Steady interest rates have slightly improved loan demand, but consumer confidence remains low due to tariff-related uncertainties, limiting growth in net interest margin (NIM) and NII [5] - **Lending Standards**: Improved credit scores due to the removal of tax liens from credit reports have expanded the borrower pool, while relaxed lending standards are helping meet loan demand [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Consumer Loans industry has a Zacks Industry Rank of 155, placing it in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating underperformance in the near term [7][8] - Analysts have revised the industry's earnings estimates for the current year down by 7.9%, reflecting a loss of confidence in earnings growth potential [9] Market Comparison - Over the past two years, the Zacks Consumer Loans industry has outperformed the Zacks S&P 500 composite and the Zacks Finance sector, with a collective stock increase of 68.3% compared to 39.5% and 42% respectively [11] Valuation Metrics - The industry has a trailing 12-month price-to-tangible book ratio (P/TBV) of 1.33X, above the five-year median of 1.03X, but significantly lower than the S&P 500's ratio of 13.33X [14][16] Investment Opportunities - **Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)**: Focused on consumer and commercial lending, COF is well-positioned for growth with a market cap of $141.3 billion and expected earnings growth of 10.7% and 20% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [21][20] - **Enova International, Inc. (ENVA)**: A financial technology company with a market cap of $2.94 billion, ENVA has seen a 20.7% increase in shares this year and is expected to grow earnings by 28.9% and 17.6% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [26][25]

Core Viewpoint - Enova International (ENVA) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations [1]. Earnings Performance - Enova International has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 9.80% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, the company achieved earnings of $2.98 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.77 per share by 7.58% [3]. - For the previous quarter, Enova was expected to earn $2.33 per share but delivered $2.61 per share, resulting in a surprise of 12.02% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Enova International have been trending upward, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [6]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7]. - Enova International currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.67%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [9]. Upcoming Earnings Report - The next earnings report for Enova International is expected to be released on July 24, 2025 [9].

Company Overview - Enova International (ENVA) shares increased by 5.2% to close at $111.01, with notable trading volume exceeding typical levels [1] - The stock has gained 13.1% over the past four weeks [1] Market Sentiment - The recent rally in Enova's stock is attributed to broad market optimism regarding potential trade agreements and expectations of earlier interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2] - This favorable macroeconomic environment has positively influenced investor sentiment towards financial services stocks, including ENVA [2] Earnings Expectations - Enova International is projected to report quarterly earnings of $3.00 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 35.8% [3] - Expected revenues for the upcoming report are $751.04 million, which is a 19.5% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Estimate Trends - The consensus EPS estimate for Enova has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that stock price movements may not sustain without trends in earnings estimate revisions [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting a neutral outlook [4] Industry Comparison - Enova International operates within the Zacks Financial - Consumer Loans industry, where another company, Mr Cooper (COOP), has seen a 1.5% decline in its stock price, closing at $149.22 [4] - Mr Cooper's consensus EPS estimate has changed by -0.2% over the past month, with a year-over-year increase of 32.1% [5]