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Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a GMV of $37.8 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase, and $108.4 billion for the first nine months, showing a 7% increase year-over-year [12] - Q3 revenue reached a record $81.9 million, up 4% year-over-year, while revenue for the first nine months was $245.3 million, increasing 5% year-over-year [13] - Non-GAAP gross profit for Q3 was $41.5 million, a 5% year-over-year increase, translating to a non-GAAP gross profit margin of approximately 51%, up 1% from the previous year [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $5.6 million, representing a margin of approximately 7%, with expectations for a margin of approximately 15% in Q4 [18][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The money transfer and payments category grew 100% year-over-year in Q3, driven by new business activity [14] - The tickets and travel category grew 6% in Q3, while the fashion and luxury category saw a 13% increase [13][14] - The home category contracted by approximately 70% year-over-year, but growth is expected to return in Q4 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., revenue declined 12% year-over-year, primarily due to the contraction in the home category [15] - APAC region grew approximately 55% year-over-year, while other Americas (Canada and Latin America) grew approximately 18% year-over-year [15][16] - EMEA region experienced a 19% year-over-year growth, with strong performance in fashion and luxury, tickets and travel, and money transfer and payments [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing machine learning capabilities and has shifted approximately 70% of its models to autonomous training, which is expected to improve scalability and performance [6][7] - The company is investing in new product developments, including Adaptive Checkout, which has shown significant improvements in conversion rates for merchants [9] - The strategy includes targeting specific verticals and geographic regions for expansion, with a focus on mid-market opportunities [26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism for the upcoming holiday season, supported by resilient consumer spending and strong performance in key categories [10][11] - The company raised the bottom end of its revenue guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now anticipating revenue between $338 million and $346 million for the full year [21] - Management highlighted the importance of navigating complexities introduced by agentic commerce and stablecoin adoption, positioning the company to assist merchants in this evolving landscape [39][60] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with $325 million in cash and investments, maintaining a zero-debt position [19] - Share repurchase activity included 5.2 million shares for approximately $25.3 million in Q3, with a total of 14.2 million shares repurchased for about $69.2 million in the first nine months [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Momentum as the year ends - Management expects strong performance from both upselling existing merchants and acquiring new clients [24] Question: Emerging verticals for 2026 - The company is focused on specific large verticals and geographic regions for expansion, considering both product and distribution strategies [25][26] Question: Revenue contribution from non-Chargeback Guarantee products - Non-Chargeback Guarantee products have shown strong growth, exceeding 100% [29] Question: Long-term margin profile - The long-term margin profile varies based on product mix, with a focus on increasing gross profit dollars [30] Question: Gross margin trajectory into next year - Recent model improvements are expected to enhance gross margins, despite potential headwinds from new categories [34][35] Question: One-time expense impacts in Q3 - Positive impacts were related to payroll adjustments and reserve duties, with expectations for operating expenses to be around $39 million in Q4 [36][37] Question: Growing stablecoin adoption - The company sees stablecoins introducing complexity for merchants, which could drive demand for its services [39] Question: Agentic commerce opportunities and threats - Agentic commerce could increase demand for services due to added complexity, but could also pose risks if transactions shift away from traditional e-commerce [58][60] Question: 2026 EBITDA targets - Management remains optimistic about achieving targeted margins, although some delays may occur due to merchant events [62]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's GMV for Q3 was $37.8 billion, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase, while the first nine months totaled $108.4 billion, up 7% year-over-year [12] - Q3 revenue reached a record $81.9 million, a 4% increase year-over-year, with year-to-date revenue of $245.3 million, up 5% year-over-year [13] - Non-GAAP gross profit for Q3 was $41.5 million, a 5% year-over-year increase, translating to a gross profit margin of approximately 51%, up 1% from the previous year [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $5.6 million, representing a margin of approximately 7%, with expectations for a margin of approximately 15% in Q4 [18][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The money transfer and payments category grew approximately 100% year-over-year in Q3, driven by new business activity [14] - The tickets and travel category grew 6% in Q3, while the fashion and luxury category saw a 13% increase [13][14] - The home category contracted by approximately 70% year-over-year, but growth is expected to return in Q4 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., revenue declined 12% year-over-year, primarily due to the contraction in the home category [15] - APAC region grew approximately 55% year-over-year, while other Americas (Canada and Latin America) grew approximately 18% year-over-year [15][16] - EMEA region grew approximately 19% year-over-year, with strong performance in fashion and luxury, tickets and travel, and money transfer and payments [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing machine learning capabilities and has shifted approximately 70% of its models to autonomous training, which is expected to improve scalability and performance [6][7] - The company is investing in new product developments, including Adaptive Checkout, which has shown significant improvements in conversion rates for merchants [9] - The strategy includes targeting specific verticals and geographic regions for expansion, with a focus on mid-market opportunities [26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism for a healthy holiday season, supported by resilient consumer spending and strong performance in key categories [10][11] - The company raised the bottom end of its revenue guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now anticipating revenue between $338 million and $346 million for the full year [21] - Management highlighted the importance of navigating complexities introduced by agentic commerce and the potential for increased demand for their services [60] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with $325 million in cash and investments, maintaining zero debt and achieving quarterly free cash flows of $13.4 million [19] - Share repurchase activity included 5.2 million shares for approximately $25.3 million in Q3, with a total of 14.2 million shares repurchased for approximately $69.2 million in the first nine months [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Momentum as the year ends - Management expects strong performance from both upselling existing merchants and acquiring new clients [24] Question: Emerging verticals for 2026 - The company is focused on specific large verticals and geographic regions for expansion, considering both product fit and distribution strategies [26] Question: Revenue contribution from non-Chargeback Guarantee products - Non-Chargeback Guarantee products have shown strong growth, over 100%, contributing positively to long-term contracts and new business [28] Question: Long-term margin profile - The long-term margin profile varies based on product mix, with a focus on increasing gross profit dollars [30] Question: Gross margin trajectory into next year - Recent model improvements are expected to improve performance, but there may be headwinds from new categories and regions [34] Question: One-time expense impacts in Q3 - Positive impacts were related to payroll adjustments and reserve duties, with expectations for operating expenses around $39 million in Q4 [36] Question: Growing stablecoin adoption - The company sees stablecoins and crypto introducing complexity for merchants, which could drive demand for their services [39] Question: Agentic commerce opportunities and threats - Agentic commerce could increase demand for services due to complexity, but there is a risk if transactions move away from traditional e-commerce [60]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's GMV for Q3 was $37.8 billion, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase, while the first nine months GMV was $108.4 billion, up 7% year-over-year [12] - Record Q3 revenue reached $81.9 million, a 4% increase year-over-year, with year-to-date revenue of $245.3 million, up 5% year-over-year [12] - Non-GAAP gross profit for Q3 was $41.5 million, a 5% year-over-year increase, translating to a non-GAAP gross profit margin of approximately 51%, an improvement of 1% from the prior year [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $5.6 million, representing a margin of approximately 7%, with expectations for a significant increase to around 15% in Q4 [18][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The tickets and travel category grew 6% in Q3, driven by new business wins, while the fashion and luxury category saw a 13% increase [12][13] - The money transfer and payments category achieved approximately 100% year-over-year growth in Q3, primarily driven by new business activity [14] - The home category contracted by approximately 70% year-over-year, but growth is expected to return in Q4 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., revenue declined 12% year-over-year, mainly due to the contraction in the home category, while APAC grew approximately 55% year-over-year [15] - Other Americas (Canada and Latin America) grew approximately 18% year-over-year, with EMEA growing approximately 19% year-over-year, supported by strong performance in key verticals [15][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing machine learning capabilities, with 70% of models shifted to autonomous training, which is expected to improve scalability and performance [6][10] - The company is positioning itself to navigate the rise of agentic commerce through strategic partnerships and innovative technology [10] - The company plans to continue investing in product development while managing expenses effectively to maintain operating leverage [45][47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism for a healthy holiday season, supported by resilient consumer spending and strong performance in key categories [11] - The company raised the bottom end of its revenue guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now anticipating revenue between $338 million and $346 million for the full year [20] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to new complexities introduced by agentic commerce, which could drive demand for their services [58] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with $325 million in cash and investments, maintaining a zero-debt position [19] - The company repurchased 5.2 million shares for approximately $25.3 million in Q3, continuing its commitment to managing dilution [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company view growth outlook related to existing merchants versus new business? - Management expects strong performance on both upsell and new client acquisition fronts, consistent with prior years [23] Question: Are there emerging verticals to watch for 2026? - The company is focused on specific large verticals and geographic regions for expansion, considering both product fit and distribution strategies [25] Question: What is the revenue contribution from non-Chargeback Guarantee products for 2025? - Non-Chargeback Guarantee products have shown strong growth, over 100%, aiding in securing longer-term contracts and winning new business [27] Question: How does the company view the long-term margin profile with machine learning investments? - The long-term margin profile varies based on product mix, with a focus on increasing gross profit dollars [29] Question: What are the expectations for gross margins into next year? - Management anticipates improved performance from model enhancements, but also acknowledges potential headwinds from new categories [33] Question: How does the company view the impact of stablecoin adoption on fraud management? - The company sees stablecoins introducing complexity for merchants, which could drive demand for their services [39] Question: What are the opportunities and threats related to agentic commerce? - Agentic commerce presents opportunities due to increased complexity for merchants, but could also pose threats if transactions shift away from traditional e-commerce [58]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-05 17:08
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved fourth quarter revenue of $93.5 million and full-year revenue of $327.5 million, representing year-over-year growth of 11% and 10% respectively [44][9] - The annual gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 15% to $141.2 billion for the full year 2024 [45][9] - Adjusted EBITDA for the year was positive $17.2 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of over 300% [58][9] - The gross profit margin for the full year was 53%, up from 52% in 2023 [53][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Ticket & Travel category was the largest contributor to year-over-year revenue growth, achieving over $111 million in revenue, which represented approximately one-third of the overall portfolio [49][9] - The Food category saw a 40% year-over-year growth, while the Money Transfer & Payments category grew by 66% [49][9] - The Fashion & Luxury category grew by low single digits in the fourth quarter and for the full year, representing approximately one-third of the portfolio [47][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The United States, the largest region, grew by 9%, while EMEA grew by 4% [51][9] - The Americas and APAC regions grew approximately 10% and 33% respectively, driven by new and upsell activity [51][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand its multi-product platform to diversify its revenue base and has successfully added several key merchants to products outside of its core chargeback guarantee [14][9] - A key focus for 2025 is to enhance top-of-funnel efforts to drive more pipeline and increase opportunities [15][9] - The company is investing in AI capabilities to improve performance and accuracy across its platforms [29][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about improved performance in annual dollar retention (ADR) and net dollar retention (NDR) rates in 2025, despite challenges faced in 2024 [21][9] - The company is implementing a merchant retention strategy aimed at returning ADR to historical levels [18][9] - Management anticipates revenue for 2025 to be between $333 million and $346 million, driven primarily by new business activity [65][9] Other Important Information - The company ended 2024 with approximately $376 million in cash and deposits and zero debt [59][9] - The company repurchased approximately $27 million shares for a total price of $141 million during 2024 [60][9] - Share-based compensation expense as a percentage of revenue decreased by approximately 300 basis points from 2023 levels [62][9] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the strategies to maximize top of the funnel activity? - Management highlighted three strategies: expanding platform capabilities through increased R&D, geographical expansion, and a more thoughtful approach to mid-tier market areas [75][76][77] Question: What is the exposure to larger-than-average renewals in 2025? - Management expressed high confidence in multiyear renewals, with over 70% of the book of business already renewed [79][80] Question: Can you provide context around the success of standalone non-chargeback products? - Management indicated significant growth potential, projecting revenue from these products to increase from $4.5 million in 2024 to low double-digit millions [86][9] Question: What are the dynamics affecting net dollar retention (NDR)? - Management noted that NDR decreased due to churn events and a focus on new logo generation rather than upsells, but expressed optimism for improvement in 2025 [92][96] Question: How does the company view alternative payment methods? - Management stated that there is ongoing demand from merchants for fraud identification in alternative payment methods, indicating a growing opportunity in this area [98][9]