Workflow
Riskified .(RSKD)
icon
Search documents
Riskified Ltd. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:RSKD) 2025-11-15
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-15 23:46
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a GMV of $37.8 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase, and $108.4 billion for the first nine months, showing a 7% increase year-over-year [12] - Q3 revenue reached a record $81.9 million, up 4% year-over-year, while revenue for the first nine months was $245.3 million, increasing 5% year-over-year [13] - Non-GAAP gross profit for Q3 was $41.5 million, a 5% year-over-year increase, translating to a non-GAAP gross profit margin of approximately 51%, up 1% from the previous year [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $5.6 million, representing a margin of approximately 7%, with expectations for a margin of approximately 15% in Q4 [18][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The money transfer and payments category grew 100% year-over-year in Q3, driven by new business activity [14] - The tickets and travel category grew 6% in Q3, while the fashion and luxury category saw a 13% increase [13][14] - The home category contracted by approximately 70% year-over-year, but growth is expected to return in Q4 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., revenue declined 12% year-over-year, primarily due to the contraction in the home category [15] - APAC region grew approximately 55% year-over-year, while other Americas (Canada and Latin America) grew approximately 18% year-over-year [15][16] - EMEA region experienced a 19% year-over-year growth, with strong performance in fashion and luxury, tickets and travel, and money transfer and payments [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing machine learning capabilities and has shifted approximately 70% of its models to autonomous training, which is expected to improve scalability and performance [6][7] - The company is investing in new product developments, including Adaptive Checkout, which has shown significant improvements in conversion rates for merchants [9] - The strategy includes targeting specific verticals and geographic regions for expansion, with a focus on mid-market opportunities [26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism for the upcoming holiday season, supported by resilient consumer spending and strong performance in key categories [10][11] - The company raised the bottom end of its revenue guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now anticipating revenue between $338 million and $346 million for the full year [21] - Management highlighted the importance of navigating complexities introduced by agentic commerce and stablecoin adoption, positioning the company to assist merchants in this evolving landscape [39][60] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with $325 million in cash and investments, maintaining a zero-debt position [19] - Share repurchase activity included 5.2 million shares for approximately $25.3 million in Q3, with a total of 14.2 million shares repurchased for about $69.2 million in the first nine months [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Momentum as the year ends - Management expects strong performance from both upselling existing merchants and acquiring new clients [24] Question: Emerging verticals for 2026 - The company is focused on specific large verticals and geographic regions for expansion, considering both product and distribution strategies [25][26] Question: Revenue contribution from non-Chargeback Guarantee products - Non-Chargeback Guarantee products have shown strong growth, exceeding 100% [29] Question: Long-term margin profile - The long-term margin profile varies based on product mix, with a focus on increasing gross profit dollars [30] Question: Gross margin trajectory into next year - Recent model improvements are expected to enhance gross margins, despite potential headwinds from new categories [34][35] Question: One-time expense impacts in Q3 - Positive impacts were related to payroll adjustments and reserve duties, with expectations for operating expenses to be around $39 million in Q4 [36][37] Question: Growing stablecoin adoption - The company sees stablecoins introducing complexity for merchants, which could drive demand for its services [39] Question: Agentic commerce opportunities and threats - Agentic commerce could increase demand for services due to added complexity, but could also pose risks if transactions shift away from traditional e-commerce [58][60] Question: 2026 EBITDA targets - Management remains optimistic about achieving targeted margins, although some delays may occur due to merchant events [62]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's GMV for Q3 was $37.8 billion, reflecting a 9% year-over-year increase, while the first nine months totaled $108.4 billion, up 7% year-over-year [12] - Q3 revenue reached a record $81.9 million, a 4% increase year-over-year, with year-to-date revenue of $245.3 million, up 5% year-over-year [13] - Non-GAAP gross profit for Q3 was $41.5 million, a 5% year-over-year increase, translating to a gross profit margin of approximately 51%, up 1% from the previous year [16] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $5.6 million, representing a margin of approximately 7%, with expectations for a margin of approximately 15% in Q4 [18][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The money transfer and payments category grew approximately 100% year-over-year in Q3, driven by new business activity [14] - The tickets and travel category grew 6% in Q3, while the fashion and luxury category saw a 13% increase [13][14] - The home category contracted by approximately 70% year-over-year, but growth is expected to return in Q4 [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S., revenue declined 12% year-over-year, primarily due to the contraction in the home category [15] - APAC region grew approximately 55% year-over-year, while other Americas (Canada and Latin America) grew approximately 18% year-over-year [15][16] - EMEA region grew approximately 19% year-over-year, with strong performance in fashion and luxury, tickets and travel, and money transfer and payments [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing machine learning capabilities and has shifted approximately 70% of its models to autonomous training, which is expected to improve scalability and performance [6][7] - The company is investing in new product developments, including Adaptive Checkout, which has shown significant improvements in conversion rates for merchants [9] - The strategy includes targeting specific verticals and geographic regions for expansion, with a focus on mid-market opportunities [26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism for a healthy holiday season, supported by resilient consumer spending and strong performance in key categories [10][11] - The company raised the bottom end of its revenue guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now anticipating revenue between $338 million and $346 million for the full year [21] - Management highlighted the importance of navigating complexities introduced by agentic commerce and the potential for increased demand for their services [60] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with $325 million in cash and investments, maintaining zero debt and achieving quarterly free cash flows of $13.4 million [19] - Share repurchase activity included 5.2 million shares for approximately $25.3 million in Q3, with a total of 14.2 million shares repurchased for approximately $69.2 million in the first nine months [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Momentum as the year ends - Management expects strong performance from both upselling existing merchants and acquiring new clients [24] Question: Emerging verticals for 2026 - The company is focused on specific large verticals and geographic regions for expansion, considering both product fit and distribution strategies [26] Question: Revenue contribution from non-Chargeback Guarantee products - Non-Chargeback Guarantee products have shown strong growth, over 100%, contributing positively to long-term contracts and new business [28] Question: Long-term margin profile - The long-term margin profile varies based on product mix, with a focus on increasing gross profit dollars [30] Question: Gross margin trajectory into next year - Recent model improvements are expected to improve performance, but there may be headwinds from new categories and regions [34] Question: One-time expense impacts in Q3 - Positive impacts were related to payroll adjustments and reserve duties, with expectations for operating expenses around $39 million in Q4 [36] Question: Growing stablecoin adoption - The company sees stablecoins and crypto introducing complexity for merchants, which could drive demand for their services [39] Question: Agentic commerce opportunities and threats - Agentic commerce could increase demand for services due to complexity, but there is a risk if transactions move away from traditional e-commerce [60]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 14:30
Riskified (NYSE:RSKD) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 12, 2025 08:30 AM ET Speaker2Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Riskified Third Quarter 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising that your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, ple ...
Riskified (RSKD) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 14:11
Riskified (RSKD) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.03 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.03 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +33.33%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this provider of fraud-prevention services would post earnings of $0.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.02, delivering no surprise.Over the last four quarte ...
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-12 13:30
Financial Performance - Riskified's Q3 2025 revenue reached $81.9 million, a 4% year-over-year increase[49, 54] - The company's gross profit for Q3 2025 was $41.1 million[49] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $5.6 million, a 518% year-over-year improvement[49, 56] - Non-GAAP operating expenses decreased from 49% to 44% of revenue year-over-year[57] - Riskified repurchased approximately 5.2 million ordinary shares for approximately $25.3 million in Q3 2025[63] Market Position and Growth - Riskified reviewed $148 billion in GMV in the last twelve months ended September 30, 2025[16, 20] - The company estimates the global ecommerce GMV to be $6.5 trillion in 2025 and $8.3 trillion in 2029[21] - Riskified's non-GAAP gross profit margin as of LTM Q3 2025 was 51%[18] - The company expects over $30 million in Free Cash Flow in 2025[73]
Riskified: Limited Downside Pending Growth Reacceleration
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-26 06:36
Core Insights - Riskified (NYSE: RSKD) shares have remained nearly flat this year, reflecting the company's financial performance, but are expected to experience growth acceleration in upcoming quarters due to easier comparisons and a robust pipeline of new opportunities [1] Company Performance - The financial performance of Riskified has been stable, with shares showing little movement year-to-date [1] - The company is anticipated to benefit from favorable conditions that will enhance growth prospects in the near future [1] Market Outlook - The growth acceleration is attributed to easier year-over-year comparisons and a healthy pipeline of new initiatives that the company is pursuing [1]
Riskified Analysts Slash Their Forecasts Following Q2 Results
Benzinga· 2025-08-19 17:38
Core Insights - Riskified Ltd. reported strong second-quarter sales, with earnings of 2 cents per share meeting analyst expectations and sales of $81.060 million exceeding the consensus estimate of $80.374 million [1] - The company raised its FY2025 sales guidance from a range of $333 million to $346 million to a new range of $336 million to $346 million [1] Company Performance - The CEO of Riskified highlighted solid second-quarter results driven by consistent execution and demand for their platform, emphasizing advancements in AI capabilities to enhance competitive edge and market leadership [2] - Riskified's shares increased by 2.3%, trading at $4.5300 following the earnings announcement [3] Analyst Ratings - DA Davidson analyst maintained a Buy rating but lowered the price target from $6.5 to $6 [8] - UBS analyst kept a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $5.75 to $5 [8] - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst maintained a Market Perform rating and decreased the price target from $5.5 to $5.25 [8]
Riskified (RSKD) Q2 Earnings Meet Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 16:26
Core Viewpoint - Riskified reported quarterly earnings of $0.02 per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but down from $0.04 per share a year ago [1] - The company posted revenues of $81.06 million for the quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.22% and up from $78.73 million year-over-year [2] Financial Performance - Riskified's earnings of $0.02 per share align with expectations, while the previous quarter saw a surprise of +200% with earnings of $0.03 per share against an expectation of $0.01 [1] - The company has surpassed consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters [2] Stock Performance - Riskified shares have increased approximately 11.2% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 9.7% [3] - The stock's immediate price movement will depend on management's commentary during the earnings call [3] Future Outlook - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.02 on revenues of $80.43 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.18 on revenues of $340.58 million [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Riskified was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Riskified belongs, is currently in the top 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]
Riskified .(RSKD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-18 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's GMV for Q2 was $36.4 billion, with a first half GMV of $70.6 billion, reflecting a 45% year-over-year increase [15] - Q2 revenue reached a record $81.1 million, up 3% year-over-year, while first half revenue was $163.4 million, up 5% year-over-year [15] - Non-GAAP gross profit margin for 2025 was approximately 50%, down from 53% in the prior year [19] - Positive adjusted EBITDA of $2.1 million in Q2 and $3.5 million for the first half of 2025, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The two largest categories, tickets and travel, and fashion and luxury, grew 1510% year-over-year, driven by strong new business wins and upsell activity [15] - The home category saw a year-over-year decline of 74%, while the money transfer and payments category achieved approximately 90% year-over-year growth in Q2 [17] - Fashion and luxury category growth was partially offset by same-store sales pressure, particularly in high-end fashion and sneakers [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The United States market declined 11% year-over-year, primarily due to the contraction in the home category, while APAC grew approximately 40% year-over-year [18] - Other Americas (Canada and Latin America) grew approximately 16% year-over-year, and EMEA grew approximately 23% year-over-year, with strong performance in fashion and luxury, tickets and travel, and money transfer and payments [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to gain market share in existing categories and geographies while expanding into new verticals to diversify its merchant base [7] - A partnership with Human Security was announced to enhance fraud prevention capabilities in the evolving landscape of AI commerce [10] - The board authorized an additional $75 million share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term trajectory [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the solid first half performance and the potential for improvement in the second half, supported by a robust new business pipeline [6] - The company anticipates delivering an annual non-GAAP gross profit margin of approximately 52% for 2025, with expectations for higher margins in the second half [20] - Management highlighted the increasing complexity of fraud and the need for advanced solutions, positioning the company as a leader in the market [89] Other Important Information - The company ended Q2 with $339 million in cash, deposits, and investments, maintaining a debt-free balance sheet [22] - Quarterly free cash flows were $5.3 million, up from $4.1 million in the prior year, with an expectation of approximately $30 million of positive free cash flow for 2025 [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expectations for the second half of the year and same-store sales in fashion and luxury - Management is optimistic about the sales pipeline and expects win rates to be similar to historical levels, but same-store sales in fashion and luxury may be flat or down [27][30] Question: Impact of AgenTek Commerce on pipeline conversations - The evolving space of AgenTek Commerce is generating new conversations and budget opportunities as merchants seek to address AI-related challenges [32][34] Question: Trends in performance by vertical and same-store sales commentary - Travel and payments performed well, while ticket sales showed some softness, particularly in June, with expectations for a challenging comparison to the previous year's strong performance [39][41] Question: Management of operating expenses - Operating expenses were managed well, with expectations for similar levels in the second half of the year [43][45] Question: Adoption trends for adaptive checkout and its impact on new logos - Adaptive checkout has seen double-digit percentage adoption, contributing positively to the overall value proposition [47][49] Question: Proportion of fraud from large coordinated attacks - There has been an increase in professional, coordinated fraud attacks, primarily through remote desktop hacking and data breaches [72] Question: Renewal rates and upsell strategies - The company achieved a 100% renewal success rate and continues to focus on creating unmatched value for merchants [80][81]