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Why OpenAI and Anthropic Won't Win the App Layer | Glean Founder
20VC with Harry Stebbings· 2026-07-11 14:00
AI Industry Landscape & Model Strategy - Over 90% of enterprise use cases can be effectively handled by various models, including open-source alternatives [1][29] - The AI model layer is experiencing significant commoditization, leading to increased pricing pressure and a shift toward cost-efficient, open-source solutions [29][36] - Enterprises are increasingly prioritizing data sovereignty and operational control, driving a trend toward hosting models on-premises to avoid dependency on frontier model providers [10][13][15][19] - While frontier models are currently dominant, it is projected that the majority of enterprise workloads will transition to open-source models within 3 years [39] Enterprise AI Adoption & ROI - AI implementation in enterprises is shifting from experimental phases to a focus on measurable ROI, with clear value realization observed in specific verticals like customer support [48][50] - Coding productivity has increased, yet shipping speed remains difficult to measure, and the bottleneck has shifted from code generation to human review processes [51][52][55] - Effective AI deployment requires "investing around" the model by providing high-quality context, as brute-forcing tasks with models is both slow and costly [58] - A power-law distribution exists in AI token consumption, where approximately 5% of the employee base drives advanced use cases, while the remainder focuses on information seeking and summarization [83] Startup Ecosystem & Operational Dynamics - The current startup environment is characterized by an overabundance of capital, which can lead to unsustainable hiring practices, such as paying engineers up to $500 thousand in annual compensation [88][119][120] - Founders are increasingly pressured to adopt "composite roles" that generalize skills across engineering, product, and sales to maintain efficiency with smaller, high-impact teams [100][101] - Investor reputation significantly impacts a startup's ability to attract top-tier talent, serving as a critical validation signal for prospective employees [93]