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Peloton vs. Planet Fitness: Which Fitness Stock Has Stronger Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-11-26 16:30
Core Insights - Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) and Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT) represent contrasting strategies in the fitness market, with Peloton focusing on connected at-home equipment and digital subscriptions, while Planet Fitness emphasizes an extensive network of affordable gyms [1] Summary of PTON - Peloton's profitability is improving, with an adjusted EBITDA of $118 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, exceeding expectations by $18 million, and generating $67 million in free cash flow, a notable improvement from the previous year [2] - The company has launched its largest product refresh, including the Cross Training Series and Peloton IQ AI coaching, which is expected to enhance engagement and shift towards premium hardware [3] - Peloton is expanding its distribution channels, opening 10 micro stores in the U.S. and partnering with Johnson Fitness & Wellness, which broadens its reach across 46 states [4] - Despite operational improvements, Peloton faces challenges with a 6% decline in paid Connected Fitness subscriptions year-over-year, contributing to a 6% revenue drop in Q1 [5] - The company is dealing with a product recall of the Original Series Bike+, resulting in a $16.5 million inventory accrual, which may impact member sentiment and usage [6] Summary of PLNT - Planet Fitness is experiencing strong demand, ending Q3 2025 with approximately 20.7 million members and achieving 6.9% same-club sales growth, leading to a 13% year-over-year revenue increase [7] - The High School Summer Pass program saw a 30% year-over-year increase in participation, attracting 3.7 million teens and fostering long-term loyalty among Gen Z consumers [8] - The company opened 35 new clubs in Q3 2025, bringing the total to 2,795, and is actively pursuing optimized club formats and upgraded equipment [9] - While membership trends are strong, attrition remains elevated due to the introduction of click-to-cancel, with management expecting higher churn through Q4 2025 [11] - Approximately 80% of the same-club sales growth in Q3 2025 came from price increases, raising concerns about potential consumer resistance to future price hikes [12] Comparative Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Peloton's fiscal 2026 sales implies flat growth, while EPS is expected to grow by 140% year-over-year [13] - For Planet Fitness, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 sales and EPS indicates year-over-year increases of 10.8% and 15.4%, respectively [15] Price Performance - PTON stock has decreased by 30.2% over the past year, while PLNT shares have increased by 9.9% during the same period [16] Valuation - PTON is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.12X, below its median of 1.22X, whereas PLNT's forward sales multiple is at 6.47X, above its median of 5.30X [22] Conclusion - Both companies are making significant progress in their recovery efforts, with Peloton showing signs of stabilization through innovation and expanded distribution, while Planet Fitness benefits from strong demand and brand momentum [21][23]
Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 01:31
Core Insights - Xponential Fitness reported a revenue of $78.82 million for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a decrease of 2.1% year-over-year, but exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.15% [1] - The company's EPS was $0.34, a significant improvement from -$0.04 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of 142.86% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.14 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Franchise revenue was $51.88 million, surpassing the average estimate of $47.23 million, marking a year-over-year increase of 16.7% [4] - Franchise marketing fund revenue was $8.83 million, slightly below the estimated $9.19 million, but showing a year-over-year increase of 3.1% [4] - Merchandise revenue was $4.8 million, significantly lower than the estimated $5.8 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 26.6% [4] - Other service revenue was $5.85 million, below the average estimate of $6.01 million, with a year-over-year decrease of 6.3% [4] - Equipment revenue was $7.46 million, falling short of the $9.63 million estimate, reflecting a substantial year-over-year decline of 49.2% [4] Stock Performance - Xponential Fitness shares have returned -17% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 1.3% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 23:05
Core Insights - Xponential Fitness reported a revenue of $76.88 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a decrease of 3.3% year-over-year, with an EPS of -$0.20 compared to $0.16 in the same quarter last year [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $76.07 million by 1.07%, while the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.15 by 233.33% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Same store sales increased by 4%, slightly below the average estimate of 4.8% from five analysts [4] - Franchise revenue was reported at $43.89 million, which is lower than the average estimate of $44.44 million but shows a year-over-year increase of 5.1% [4] - Revenue from the franchise marketing fund reached $9.27 million, exceeding the average estimate of $8.49 million, with an 18.4% year-over-year increase [4] - Merchandise revenue was reported at $6.26 million, surpassing the average estimate of $5.94 million, but reflecting a significant decline of 23.5% year-over-year [4] - Other service revenue was $6.36 million, slightly below the average estimate of $6.61 million, with a year-over-year decrease of 19.1% [4] - Equipment revenue was reported at $11.10 million, exceeding the average estimate of $9.95 million, but showing a decline of 20.1% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - Xponential Fitness shares have returned +9% over the past month, compared to a +11.3% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]
INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims on Behalf of Investors of Xponential Fitness, Inc. – XPOF
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-04-03 12:00
Core Viewpoint - Pomerantz LLP is investigating potential securities fraud and unlawful business practices involving Xponential Fitness, Inc. and its officers or directors following the company's disappointing financial results and subsequent stock price drop [1][3]. Financial Performance - On March 13, 2025, Xponential reported an unexpected loss for the fourth quarter and a 7.7% year-over-year revenue decline [3]. - The company's Board of Directors announced that the financial statements for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023, would need to be restated [3]. - Following these announcements, Xponential's stock price fell by $4.66 per share, or 38.45%, closing at $7.46 per share on March 14, 2025 [3]. Legal Investigation - Pomerantz LLP is actively investigating claims on behalf of investors of Xponential Fitness, Inc. regarding possible securities fraud [1]. - Investors are encouraged to contact Pomerantz LLP for more information about the investigation [1].