Northwest Natural (NWN) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). This upgrade primarily reflects an upward trend in earnings estimates, which is one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years.Since a ch ...

Key Takeaways UGI's fiscal 2025 EPS estimate rose 2.3% to $3.13, with sales projected to grow 8.4% year over year. UGI posted a 75.7% average earnings surprise across the past four quarters. UGI shares rose 8.5% in three months, outperforming the industry's 1.9% gain.UGI Corporation (UGI) continues to benefit from strategic investments in infrastructure modernization, disciplined capital allocation and a focus on operational improvements. Given its growth opportunities and strong return on equity (ROE), U ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is maintaining a cautious stance regarding interest rate cuts due to concerns over inflationary pressures from tariffs imposed by President Trump, leading to uncertainty in the market [1][5][6]. Federal Reserve Meeting Insights - The minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting indicate that most officials are not in a hurry to implement an immediate rate cut, suggesting a wait-and-see approach [2][5]. - A delay in rate cuts could lead to increased volatility in the stock market [2][7]. - Most participants believe that any inflationary impact from tariffs will be temporary or modest, and there is no urgency for rate cuts in the near term [6]. Investment Recommendations - Given the current uncertainty, it is advisable to invest in defensive stocks from the utility and consumer staples sectors, which are considered safe havens [3][11]. - Recommended stocks include: - **Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 6%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.70, and a dividend yield of 2.27% [9]. - **Fortis, Inc. (FTS)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 3.8%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.48, and a dividend yield of 3.81% [13]. - **Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 1.7%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.37, and a dividend yield of 2.27% [15]. - **The Coca-Cola Company (KO)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 3.1%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.45, and a dividend yield of 2.94% [17]. Stock Characteristics - The recommended stocks are characterized by low beta (greater than 0 but less than 1), high dividend yields, and favorable Zacks Ranks, making them attractive in the current market environment [4][11].

Core Viewpoint - Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is positioned to benefit from increasing natural gas demand, supported by a growing customer base and planned investments to enhance pipeline reliability and operational performance [1][2]. Growth Outlook & Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) has risen by 0.3% to $7.24 over the past 60 days [3]. - Fiscal 2025 sales are projected at $4.80 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.3% [3][8]. - ATO's long-term earnings growth rate is estimated at 7.2%, with an average earnings surprise of 2.59% over the last four quarters [3]. Investment Returns - ATO's return on invested capital (ROIC) stands at 3.25%, outperforming the industry average of 2.62% [4][8]. - The company's total debt to capital ratio is 39.30%, which is better than the industry average of 50.49% [9]. Strategic Investments & Customer Expansion - ATO plans to invest $3.7 billion in capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 and a total of $24 billion from fiscal 2025 through 2029 to enhance infrastructure and operational capabilities [5][8]. - In the fiscal second quarter of 2025, ATO allocated approximately $225 million to expand its customer base, adding nine new industrial customers with an expected annual load of 8 billion cubic feet (Bcf) [6]. Shareholder Returns - ATO currently pays a quarterly dividend of 87 cents per share, leading to an annualized dividend of $3.48 and a dividend yield of 2.29% [7]. - The company aims to increase its dividend by 6-8% annually through fiscal 2026, pending board approval [7]. Stock Performance - Over the past six months, ATO shares have increased by 10.9%, compared to the industry's growth of 3.1% [10].

Greek state gas distributor Depa reached an out-of-court agreement with Russia’s Gazprom on the pricing of supplies following an international arbitration https://t.co/dwGNY63RJJ ...

Core Viewpoint - Growth stocks are appealing due to their potential for above-average financial growth, but identifying the right ones can be challenging due to associated risks and volatility [1] Group 1: Growth Stock Identification - The Zacks Growth Style Score system aids in identifying promising growth stocks by analyzing real growth prospects beyond traditional metrics [2] - Northwest Natural (NWN) is highlighted as a recommended stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] Group 2: Earnings Growth - Earnings growth is a critical factor for growth investors, with double-digit growth being particularly desirable [4] - Northwest Natural's projected EPS growth for this year is 23.4%, significantly higher than the industry average of 9.3% [5] Group 3: Cash Flow Growth - Higher-than-average cash flow growth is essential for growth-oriented companies, allowing them to expand without relying on external funding [6] - Northwest Natural's year-over-year cash flow growth is 4.9%, outperforming the industry average of -0.1% [6] - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 7.2%, compared to the industry average of 7% [7] Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - Positive trends in earnings estimate revisions are correlated with stock price movements [8] - Northwest Natural has seen a 1.4% increase in current-year earnings estimates over the past month [8] Group 5: Overall Positioning - Northwest Natural has achieved a Growth Score of B and a Zacks Rank of 2 due to positive earnings estimate revisions, positioning it well for potential outperformance [10]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 has reached an all-time high of 6,173.07 points, up 0.5% on Friday, surpassing its previous record of 6,147.43 points [3][8] - The index has rebounded over 20% from its April lows and has gained nearly 5% year to date, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts [6][8] Geopolitical and Economic Factors - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between Iran and Israel, have eased, contributing to investor confidence [6] - The Federal Reserve is expected to resume rate cuts, with officials hinting at a potential cut as early as July, which could further support the S&P 500 rally [7] Company Highlights Adobe Inc. (ADBE) - Adobe is a leading software company with an expected earnings growth rate of 11.9% for the current year, and its earnings estimate has improved by 1.2% over the past 60 days [9] - ADBE currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [9] Altria Group, Inc. (MO) - Altria is adapting to industry changes by expanding into the smokeless category, with an expected earnings growth rate of 4.9% for the current year and a 1.7% improvement in earnings estimates over the past 60 days [10] - MO also holds a Zacks Rank of 2 [10] Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) - Arista provides cloud networking solutions and has an expected earnings growth rate of 13.2% for the current year, with a 4% improvement in earnings estimates over the past 60 days [12] - ANET is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 [12] Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) - Atmos Energy is involved in regulated natural gas distribution and storage, serving approximately 3.3 million customers [13] - The company has an expected earnings growth rate of 6% for the current year, with a 0.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [14] - ATO also carries a Zacks Rank of 2 [14]

Economic Overview - Consumer confidence index declined to 93 in June, a 5.4-point drop from May's 98.4, and significantly lower than the expected rise to 100 [4][10] - Concerns over job availability and uncertainty regarding President Trump's tariffs contributed to the decline in consumer confidence [5][10] - The labor market differential fell to 11.1 in June from 12.7 in May, marking its lowest point in four years [5] Investment Recommendations - It is advisable to invest in safe-haven defensive stocks from the utility and consumer staples sectors, including Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO), NiSource Inc. (NI), Fortis, Inc. (FTS), Ingredion Incorporated (INGR), and Altria Group, Inc. (MO) [2][10] - These stocks are categorized as low-beta (beta greater than 0 but less than 1) and are expected to provide high dividend yields along with favorable Zacks Ranks [3][10] Company Profiles Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) - Engaged in regulated natural gas distribution and storage, serving approximately 3.3 million customers across eight states [9] - Expected earnings growth rate of 6% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 and a current dividend yield of 2.22% [11] NiSource Inc. (NI) - Provides natural gas and electricity to around 3.7 million customers in six states, with one of the largest natural gas distribution networks in the U.S. [12] - Expected earnings growth rate of 7.4% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 and a current dividend yield of 2.76% [13] Fortis, Inc. (FTS) - Operates in the electric and gas utility business, primarily in Canada, the U.S., and the Caribbean [14] - Expected earnings growth rate of 3.4% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 and a current dividend yield of 3.76% [15] Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) - Specializes in nature-based sweeteners, starches, and nutrition ingredients, serving various sectors [16] - Expected earnings growth rate of 6.1% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 and a current dividend yield of 2.33% [17] Altria Group, Inc. (MO) - Evolving beyond traditional cigarettes into the smokeless category due to rising health consciousness and regulatory pressures [18] - Expected earnings growth rate of 4.9% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 and a current dividend yield of 6.81% [19]

Industry Overview - Natural gas distribution companies transport natural gas from production regions to consumers across the U.S., utilizing extensive underground pipeline networks [1] - The industry is transitioning towards cleaner energy, with natural gas serving as a critical bridge fuel for decarbonization goals [1] - The U.S. has 3,353 trillion cubic feet of natural gas and operates a 2.6-million-mile pipeline network, but faces challenges from aging infrastructure and competition from alternative energy sources [3] Future Outlook - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects an increase in domestic dry natural gas production in 2025, particularly in the Permian and Eagle Ford regions [4] - LNG export volumes are expected to rise by 22.7% year-over-year in 2025 and 9.6% in 2026, highlighting the importance of gas pipelines for transportation to export terminals [4] - Interest rates have declined by 100 basis points, benefiting capital-intensive utilities planning infrastructure upgrades [5] Investment Opportunities - Natural gas utilities are investing approximately $37 billion annually to enhance the reliability of distribution and transmission systems, indicating long-term growth potential [6] - The Zacks Utility Gas Distribution industry ranks 52, placing it in the top 21% of the 244 Zacks industries, reflecting strong near-term prospects [7][8] Performance Metrics - The Gas Distribution industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and the Utility sector over the past year, with an 18.1% gain compared to 10.8% for the S&P 500 [9] - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio of 11.12X, lower than the S&P 500's 16.96X and the sector's 15.09X, suggesting a potential valuation opportunity [12] Company Highlights - **Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)**: Plans to invest $3.7 billion in fiscal 2025, with a current dividend yield of 2.23% and long-term earnings growth projected at 7.19% [18][19] - **UGI Corporation**: Expected to invest $3.7-$4.1 billion through fiscal 2027, with a dividend yield of 4.12% and long-term earnings growth of 5.2% [22][23] - **ONE Gas Inc. (OGS)**: Aims to invest $4 billion through 2029, with a dividend yield of 3.64% and long-term earnings growth of 5.6% [26][27] - **Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN)**: Plans to invest $2.5-$2.7 billion through 2030, with a dividend yield of 3.64% [30][31]

Core Viewpoint - Southern Company Gas subsidiaries, Virginia Natural Gas and Chattanooga Gas, have made renewable natural gas (RNG) purchases that are expected to avoid 18,978 metric tons of CO₂e emissions, equivalent to the carbon sequestered by 19,036 acres of U.S. forests in one year [1] Group 1: Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Overview - RNG is produced from naturally occurring methane from landfills, agricultural waste, wastewater, and food waste, significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions by capturing methane before it enters the atmosphere [2] - RNG is compatible with existing natural gas infrastructure and appliances, facilitating a transition to a more sustainable energy source [2] Group 2: Company Initiatives and Goals - Southern Company Gas aims to deliver cleaner fuels as part of its commitment to sustainability, with a goal of achieving net-zero direct greenhouse gas emissions from operations by 2050 [3] - The recent RNG purchases are part of a broader initiative to support emission reduction efforts and follow the company's first RNG purchases in 2023 [3] Group 3: Legislative Support - The RNG deal is supported by policies in Virginia and Tennessee, including Virginia's Energy Innovation Act and Sustainable Gas Program, which encourage RNG production and delivery [4] - Tennessee's Natural Gas Innovation Act allows natural gas utilities to pursue cleaner energy options and reflect innovative natural gas costs in their pricing [4] Group 4: Future Projects - Virginia Natural Gas has announced a collaboration with the Hampton Roads Sanitation District to create a facility that will convert biogas from organic waste into RNG [4]