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2 big things to watch in the economy: AI & Trump's Fed pick
Youtube· 2025-11-26 20:38
Economic Growth Outlook - The economy is expected to see a slight pickup in growth, with GDP growth projected to be around 4.2% for Q3 and 4% for Q2 [25] - Job growth is anticipated to average around 80,000 for 2026, an increase from the recent average of 70,000 to 60,000 [19] AI's Impact on the Economy - AI spending currently represents about 1.5% of GDP, contributing approximately 25% to the overall GDP growth [6][7] - While AI is a significant driver of growth, it is not in bubble territory, and companies are expected to continue investing in AI [10][11] Federal Reserve Policy and Leadership - The potential nomination of Kevin Hasset as the next Fed chair may lead to a more dovish approach, but consensus among committee members will still be necessary [12][14] - The Fed is expected to implement two more rate cuts, but challenges remain in achieving a dovish policy due to elevated inflation [15][14] Labor Market Dynamics - The labor market is showing signs of strength, with a notable increase in construction employment and a rise in labor force participation [21][28] - The recent jobs report indicated a payroll increase of 119,000, although the unemployment rate rose to 4.4% [21]
Dow Surges Over 300 Points; BJ's Wholesale Shares Fall After Q2 Results
Benzinga· 2025-08-22 14:01
Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced an upward trend, with the Dow Jones index increasing by over 300 points, closing at 45,109.99, a rise of 0.72%. The NASDAQ rose by 0.37% to 21,177.85, and the S&P 500 gained 0.53% to 6,404.23 [1] - European shares also saw gains, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 up by 0.4%, Spain's IBEX 35 Index rising by 0.5%, London's FTSE 100 increasing by 0.3%, Germany's DAX 40 gaining 0.1%, and France's CAC 40 up by 0.3% [5] - Asian markets closed mixed, with Japan's Nikkei 225 up by 0.05%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng gaining 0.93%, China's Shanghai Composite increasing by 1.45%, while India's BSE Sensex fell by 0.85% [6] Company Performance - BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. saw its shares drop by approximately 7% after reporting second-quarter revenue that missed expectations. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.14, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.09, but quarterly sales of $5.38 billion, a 3.4% year-over-year increase, fell short of the expected $5.48 billion [2] - EpicQuest Education Group International Ltd experienced a significant share price increase of 176% to $1.50 following a year-over-year increase in H1 financial results [9] - ModivCare Inc shares surged by 60% to $0.90 after announcing a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing along with a $100 million investment commitment from secured lenders [9] - PMGC Holdings Inc shares rose by 66% to $3.14 [9] - Aptorum Group Ltd shares dropped by 39% to $2.60 after a previous rally of 234.65% [9] - 180 Life Sciences Corp shares fell by 35% to $3.14 after an 8% decline the previous day [9] - 5E Advanced Materials Inc shares decreased by 23% to $3.55 following the announcement of an $8.31 million public offering [9] Commodity Market - In commodity trading, oil prices increased by 0.4% to $63.74, while gold prices decreased by 0.2% to $3,376.20. Silver prices fell by 0.3% to $37.970, and copper prices rose by 0.1% to $4.4480 [4]