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Earnings Outlook Improves: A Closer Look
ZACKS· 2026-02-05 01:20
Core Viewpoint - The Tech sector has emerged as a significant driver of aggregate earnings growth since Q2 2023, reversing a previous trend of decline that lasted for about six quarters starting in Q1 2022 [2][3] Group 1: Tech Sector Performance - The Tech sector has shown impressive earnings growth and a favorable estimates revision trend, contributing positively to stock market momentum [2][3] - Despite the overall positive outlook, certain segments, particularly software stocks, have faced challenges in the market [3][4] - Gartner's recent quarterly results highlight the struggles within the sector, as it reported better-than-expected EPS and revenue but provided disappointing guidance, leading to a 71% decline in its stock over the past year [4][5] Group 2: Earnings Trends and Estimates - The Q4 earnings season indicates a steadily improving earnings outlook, with total earnings for 236 S&P 500 members up 12.6% year-over-year, driven by an 8.2% increase in revenues [7] - For the Tech sector specifically, earnings are up 16.6% year-over-year, with 92.7% of companies beating EPS estimates and 90.2% beating revenue estimates, marking a notable improvement compared to previous periods [7][9] - The Tech sector is projected to contribute 36.7% of the S&P 500 index's total earnings over the next four quarters and currently represents 42.4% of the index's total market capitalization [16]