Lithium Chemicals

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中国特种化工_ 9 月第一周锂产量 - 环比意外增长 2% -China Specialty Chemicals_ Lithium into 1st week of Sep - Surprisingly +2% WoW weekly output _ Lithium into 1st week of Sep – Surprisingly +2% WoW weekly output
2025-09-08 06:23
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview: Lithium Market - **Weekly Production Increase**: Lithium production in China increased by 2% week-over-week (WoW) in the first week of September, with a total output of 19,419 tons of Li2CO3 [1][2] - **Impact of CATL's Suspension**: Despite CATL's operational halt leading to a supply cut of approximately 2,000 tons per week, this was largely offset by a rise in spod-based carbonate output, which regained market share to approximately 64% from 47% in early July [1] - **Spodumene Inventory Growth**: Spodumene inventory at smelters rose to 100,602 LCE tons by the end of August, indicating a significant increase in shipments to China [1] - **Monthly Output Increase**: The monthly output of spod-based carbonate increased by 19% month-over-month (MoM) in August, suggesting a robust supply response to rising lithium prices [1] Price Trends - **Price Decline**: The average selling price (ASP) of lithium continued its downtrend, with Li2CO3 and LiOH quoted at Rmb75,000/ton and Rmb75,900/ton respectively as of September 4, down from Rmb80,000/ton and Rmb77,000/ton on August 28 [2] - **Inventory Levels**: Total inventory of Li2CO3 decreased by 1% WoW to 140,092 tons, with downstream players' inventory increasing by 5%, while smelters' inventory decreased by 9% [2] Additional Insights - **Supply Response to Price Rally**: The increase in spod-based carbonate output and the rise in spodumene inventory suggest that the lithium price rally is incentivizing a supply response from producers [1] - **Market Dynamics**: The dynamics of the lithium market are influenced by both production levels and inventory changes, which are critical for understanding future price movements and supply-demand balance [2] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the lithium market, highlighting production trends, price movements, and inventory levels.