Core Insights - Copper futures are expected to potentially reach $5 per pound by the end of 2025, supported by strong supply-demand fundamentals [1] - As of September 16, 2025, COMEX copper futures were just below $4.70 per pound, with LME forwards trading at $10,126.50 per metric ton [2] - A long-term bullish trend in copper prices has been established, with significant price movements observed in 2025 [3][4] Price Trends - COMEX copper futures reached a record high of $5.9585 per pound in July 2025, maintaining a bullish trend despite volatility [4] - LME forwards also reached a record high in October 2025, indicating a strong upward trend in copper prices [5][6] Inventory Dynamics - Tariffs have caused a significant shift in copper inventories, with LME stocks dropping nearly 50% to 135,725 tons by November 14, 2025, while COMEX inventories surged by 309.3% to 381,296 metric tons [7] - The overall combined stocks increased by over 150,000 tons from the end of 2024 to November 14, 2025, highlighting a shift in market dynamics [7]

A copper cake goes through a furnace. Photographer: Lauren Petracca/Bloomberg Aluminum climbed to the highest level since May 2022, extending a rally built on tightening supply in China and an improving outlook for demand as trade tensions ease. The light metal gained more than 7% in October, its best showing in more than a year, as investors and analysts bet that a state-imposed production cap in China will incrementally tighten supply as demand in sectors such as construction and consumer goods reboun ...