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Core Insights - The article discusses the impact of the sluggish real estate market in the US on various companies, particularly private mortgage insurers like Enact Holdings [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The US real estate market has been sluggish throughout the year, affecting companies involved in this sector [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The best investment opportunities are identified in stocks that are less widely followed or those that do not accurately reflect current market opportunities [1]

Core Insights - Essent Group's Q3 CY2025 results fell short of market expectations, with revenue declining 1.5% year-on-year to $311.8 million and GAAP EPS of $1.67, which was 5.5% below analyst estimates [1][5]. Financial Performance - Revenue: $311.8 million vs analyst estimates of $317 million (1.5% year-on-year decline, 1.6% miss) [5] - EPS (GAAP): $1.67 vs analyst expectations of $1.76 (5.5% miss) [5] - Adjusted Operating Income: $199.2 million vs analyst estimates of $257.6 million (63.9% margin, 22.7% miss) [5] - Operating Margin: 63.9%, down from 65.6% in the same quarter last year [5] - Market Capitalization: $5.96 billion [5] Management Commentary - Management attributed the revenue shortfall to higher loan default provisions and increased claim severity, while maintaining that the underlying credit quality remains strong with a weighted average FICO score of 746 [3][4]. - CEO Mark Casale noted that the increase in default rates was seasonal and there were no concerning geographic or vintage trends impacting credit performance [3][6]. - CFO David Weinstock emphasized the company's strong balance sheet and commitment to a conservative capital strategy to navigate market volatility [3]. Key Operational Insights - Default provisions increased due to larger average loan sizes, not due to deteriorating credit trends [6]. - Claims severity rose modestly but remained below reserves, attributed to timing in claims processing [6]. - The average base premium rate for U.S. mortgage insurance remained stable, reflecting consistent pricing despite market competition [6]. - Significant share repurchase activity and a new $500 million authorization through 2027 were highlighted, along with a quarterly dividend increase [6]. Strategic Adjustments - Essent raised its quota share reinsurance level to 25%, which may increase volatility in ceded premiums and affect reported margins, aimed at optimizing capital efficiency without compromising credit risk management [7].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported a net income of $164 million, down from $176 million a year ago, while diluted earnings per share increased to $1.67 from $1.65 [4][9] - The year-to-date return on equity was 13% as of September 30, 2025 [4] - Consolidated cash and investments totaled $6.6 billion with an annualized investment yield of 3.9% [6][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. mortgage insurance in force was $249 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year [5][9] - The mortgage insurance net premium earned for Q3 2025 was $232 million, including $15.9 million from Essent Re [10] - The average base premium rate for the U.S. mortgage insurance portfolio remained at 41 basis points, while the average net premium rate decreased by one basis point to 35 basis points [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The 12-month persistency rate was 86%, unchanged from the previous quarter [5][9] - The default rate on the U.S. mortgage insurance portfolio increased to 2.29%, up 17 basis points from the previous quarter [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a conservative capital strategy to navigate market volatility while allowing for strategic growth investments [7][14] - A new $500 million share repurchase authorization was approved, running through year-end 2027, indicating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders [8][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the business, benefiting from favorable credit trends and the current interest rate environment [4] - The company anticipates that the current level of mortgage rates will support elevated persistency in the near term [5] - Management highlighted the strong credit quality of the insurance in force, with a weighted average FICO of 746 [5] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly 9 million shares for over $500 million year-to-date through October 31, 2025 [8] - The estimated annual effective tax rate was increased from 15.4% to 16.2% due to withholding taxes incurred on a dividend [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Credit trends and provisions - Management noted that the average loan size has increased, which impacts provisions when larger loans default [16] Question: Claims amount and severity - Management indicated that fluctuations in claims are dependent on document processing and that severity remains below reserves [18] Question: Seeded premiums and reinsurance transactions - Management explained that seeded premiums will vary based on default and provision activity, with seasonal trends expected [22] Question: Tax rate expectations - Management suggested a tax rate of around 16% going forward, influenced by capital distributions to shareholders [24] Question: Severity rates and long-term expectations - Management stated that while severity rates have increased, the overall risk remains low, and they are well-capitalized to handle potential losses [30][34] Question: Underwriting guardrails and credit score changes - Management reassured that current underwriting standards remain stringent and that any changes in credit score requirements by GSEs have not yet been implemented [42][45] Question: Upstreaming capital from MI subsidiary - Management indicated plans for consistent dividends from the MI subsidiary, with potential for a larger dividend in Q4 [48] Question: Diversification and growth avenues - Management discussed the performance of the Title business and indicated that while it is still small, it is being developed as a potential growth area [50]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported net income of $164 million, a decrease from $176 million a year ago [4] - Diluted earnings per share were $1.67, compared to $1.65 a year ago [5] - The year-to-date return on equity was 13% through Q3 [5] - Consolidated cash and investments totaled $6.6 billion with an annualized investment yield of 3.9% [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. Mortgage insurance in force was $249 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year [5] - The mortgage insurance net premium earned for 2025 was $232 million [13] - The average base premium rate for the U.S. Mortgage insurance portfolio was 41 basis points, consistent with the previous quarter [14] - The default rate on the U.S. Mortgage insurance portfolio was 2.29%, up from 2.12% in the previous quarter [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The twelve-month persistency rate was 86%, flat from the previous quarter [6] - The weighted average FICO score was 746, and the weighted average original LTV was 93% [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a conservative capital strategy to navigate market volatility while allowing for strategic growth investments [8] - A new $500 million share repurchase authorization was approved, running through year-end 2027 [9] - The company is focused on returning capital to shareholders while balancing investments in the business [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the business, benefiting from favorable credit trends and the interest rate environment [4] - The company believes that the substantial home equity embedded in its in-force book will mitigate ultimate claims [6] - Management indicated that the credit quality remains strong, with no significant concerns at the current time [25] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly 9 million shares for over $500 million year-to-date through October 31 [8] - The average loan size has increased to close to $300,000, impacting provisions for losses [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Credit trends and provisions - Management noted that the average loan size has increased, which affects provisions for losses, but there are no significant concerns regarding credit quality [24][25] Question: Claims amount and severity - Management indicated that fluctuations in claims are normal and that severity continues to be below reserves [27] Question: Ceded premiums and reinsurance transactions - Management explained that ceded premiums will fluctuate based on seasonal activity and the quota share increase [30][32] Question: Tax rate changes - The increase in the estimated annual effective tax rate was attributed to withholding taxes on dividends [34] Question: Severity rates and long-term expectations - Management stated that while severity rates have increased, they do not expect a significant rise in the long term [41][42] Question: Underwriting guardrails and credit score requirements - Management confirmed that current GSE systems have not changed, and there are no signs of loosening credit standards [62][66] Question: Upstreaming capital from MI subsidiary - Management indicated plans for consistent dividends from the MI subsidiary, with potential for a larger dividend in Q4 [70][71] Question: Title business performance and growth avenues - Management stated that the title business is performing as expected and remains focused on the MI business for cash flow [73][78]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported a net income of $164 million, down from $176 million a year ago, while diluted earnings per share increased to $1.67 from $1.65 a year ago [4][5] - The year-to-date return on equity was 13% through Q3 2025 [4] - Consolidated cash and investments totaled $6.6 billion with an annualized investment yield of 3.9% [5][6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. mortgage insurance in force was $249 billion, a 2% increase year-over-year [5] - The mortgage insurance net premium earned for Q3 2025 was $232 million, including $15.9 million from third-party business [9] - The average base premium rate for the U.S. mortgage insurance portfolio remained at 41 basis points, while the average net premium rate decreased by one basis point to 35 basis points [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio default rate increased to 2.29%, up 17 basis points from the previous quarter [9] - The weighted average FICO score of the insurance in force was 746, with a weighted average original loan-to-value (LTV) of 93% [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on a prudent capital strategy, maintaining a strong balance sheet while returning capital to shareholders [6][12] - A new $500 million share repurchase authorization was approved, running through year-end 2027 [7] - The company is committed to investing in strategic growth while balancing shareholder returns [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the business, benefiting from favorable credit trends and the interest rate environment [4] - The company anticipates that current mortgage rates will support elevated persistency in the near term [5] - Management highlighted the strong credit quality of the insurance portfolio and the substantial home equity embedded in the in-force book as mitigating factors for potential claims [5][6] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly 9 million shares for over $500 million year-to-date through October 31 [7] - The board approved a common dividend of $0.31 for Q4 2025 [7] - The statutory capital of Essent Guarantee was $3.7 billion, with a risk-to-capital ratio of 8.9 to 1 [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Credit trends and provisions - Management noted that the average loan size has increased to nearly $300,000, which affects provisions when defaults occur [15] Question: Claims amount and severity - Management indicated that fluctuations in claims are dependent on document processing and adjudication, with severity remaining below reserves [17] Question: Seeded premiums and reinsurance transactions - Management explained that seeded premiums will fluctuate based on default and provision activity, with seasonal trends expected [19][20] Question: Tax rate changes - The increase in the estimated annual effective tax rate was attributed to withholding taxes on dividends, with expectations of a rate around 16% going forward [21][22] Question: Severity rates and long-term expectations - Management stated that while severity rates have increased, the overall risk remains low, and they are conservative in provisioning [26][27] Question: Underwriting guardrails and credit score requirements - Management confirmed that current systems have not changed significantly, and lenders are focused on managing origination costs [39][40] Question: Upstreaming capital from MI subsidiary - Management indicated plans for consistent dividends, potentially larger in Q4, while maintaining a focus on upstreaming cash [42] Question: Title business performance and growth avenues - Management noted that the Title business is still in early stages, with a focus on lender relationships and potential future growth [43][44]

Financial Performance - Net income decreased from $195.3 million in 2Q25 to $164.2 million in 3Q25[5] - Annualized Return on Equity (ROE) decreased from 13.8% in 2Q25 to 11.5% in 3Q25[5] - Shareholders' equity remained constant at $5.7 billion in both 2Q25 and 3Q25[5] - The combined ratio for the Mortgage Insurance segment increased from 22.1% in 2Q25 to 33.9% in 3Q25[5] - Book value per share grew to $58.86 as of September 2025, with an annualized growth rate of 18.1% since December 31, 2013[10] Portfolio and Risk Management - Insurance In Force (IIF) increased from $246.8 billion in 2Q25 to $248.8 billion in 3Q25[5] - New Insurance Written (NIW) slightly decreased from $12.5 billion in 2Q25 to $12.2 billion in 3Q25[5] - Portfolio default rate increased from 2.12% in 2Q25 to 2.29% in 3Q25[5] - 97% of the Insurance In Force (IIF) is subject to reinsurance protection as of September 30, 2025[5, 32, 35] Capital and Liquidity - PMIERs Sufficiency Ratio was 177% in 3Q25[5] - Risk-to-Capital Ratio improved from 9.2:1 in 2Q25 to 8.9:1 in 3Q25[5] - The company has $5.7 billion in GAAP Equity as of September 30, 2025[34] - Available liquidity at the holding companies is $1.0 billion, with an additional $500 million in undrawn capacity with the credit facility as of September 30, 2025[34]

Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results November 5, 2025 Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Unless otherwise noted, all references in this presentation to net income (loss), net income (loss) per share, adjusted operating income (loss) and adjusted operating income (loss) per share should be read as net income (loss) income (loss) available to Enact's common stockholders per diluted share, respectively. 2 1 U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles Third Quarter Key Takeaways Insurance in ...

Core Viewpoint - NMI Holdings (NMIH) has shown modest performance over the past year with a gain of only 1%, but it is growing more quickly compared to other mortgage insurers, resulting in a smaller legacy portfolio of low-risk policies [1] Company Performance - NMIH's stock performance has been relatively stable, gaining just 1% over the past year [1] - The company is experiencing faster growth compared to its peers in the mortgage insurance sector [1] Portfolio Analysis - NMIH maintains a smaller legacy portfolio of low-risk policies, which may contribute to its growth potential and risk profile [1]

Core Insights - NMI Holdings, Inc. reported a net income of $96.0 million, or $1.22 per diluted share, for Q3 2025, showing slight changes compared to Q2 2025 and Q3 2024 [1][4]. Financial Performance - Net premiums earned increased to $151.3 million in Q3 2025 from $149.1 million in Q2 2025 and $143.3 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a 2% quarter-over-quarter (Q/Q) growth and a 6% year-over-year (Y/Y) growth [3][4]. - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $178.7 million, up from $173.8 million in Q2 2025 and $166.1 million in Q3 2024 [4]. - Adjusted net income was $95.7 million, slightly down from $96.5 million in Q2 2025 but up from $92.8 million in Q3 2024 [4][3]. - The company’s book value per share (excluding net unrealized gains and losses) rose to $33.32, a 4% increase from Q2 2025 and a 16% increase from Q3 2024 [4][3]. Insurance Metrics - Primary insurance-in-force reached $218.4 billion, up 2% Q/Q and 5% Y/Y [3][4]. - New insurance written (NIW) was $13.0 billion, a 4% increase from Q2 2025 and a 6% increase from Q3 2024 [3][4]. - The loss ratio for Q3 2025 was 12.3%, compared to 9.0% in Q2 2025 and 7.2% in Q3 2024, indicating an increase in claims relative to premiums earned [4][3]. - The expense ratio improved to 19.3% from 19.8% in Q2 2025 and 20.3% in Q3 2024 [4][3]. Operational Highlights - The company maintains a robust balance sheet with total shareholders' equity of $2.5 billion at the end of Q3 2025 [4]. - Annualized return on equity for the quarter was 15.6%, down from 16.2% in Q2 2025 and 17.5% in Q3 2024 [4][3]. - The company’s CEO emphasized the importance of their products and services in the current market, highlighting strong operating performance and growth in their insured portfolio [2].