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NMI Holdings Is Overlooked And Overly Cheap
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-12 17:01
Core Insights - Gary Gordon has extensive experience as a stock analyst in the housing, mortgage, and consumer finance industries, primarily at PaineWebber and UBS [1] - He is now retired and serves as an adjunct professor teaching economics and math, including financial literacy seminars [1] Company and Industry Summary - Gordon's career included roles as a U.S. investment strategist and portfolio manager, indicating a strong background in investment analysis [1] - His educational contributions extend to teaching in prisons, highlighting a commitment to financial education and literacy [1] - Gordon holds degrees in philosophy and finance, which may influence his analytical approach in the finance sector [1]
NMI (NMIH) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-29 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q2 2025, total revenue reached a record $173.8 million, with adjusted net income of $96.5 million or $1.22 per diluted share, and an adjusted return on equity of 16.3% [8][12] - The company generated $12.5 billion of new insurance written (NIW) and ended the period with a record $214.7 billion of primary insurance in force, reflecting a 2% increase from Q1 and a 5% increase year-over-year [5][12] - The expense ratio was a record low of 19.8%, indicating significant operating leverage and efficiency in managing costs [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net premiums earned in Q2 were $149.1 million, slightly down from $149.4 million in Q1 but up from $141.2 million in Q2 2024 [13] - The core yield increased to 34.2 basis points from 34.1 basis points in the previous quarter, while the net yield for the quarter was 28 basis points [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The twelve-month persistency rate was 84.1%, slightly down from 84.3% in Q1 [12] - The company reported 6,709 defaults at the end of Q2, down from 6,859 at the end of Q1, with a default rate of 1% [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue serving customers and their borrowers, investing in employee success, and driving growth in its high-quality insured portfolio [11][16] - The management emphasized a proactive approach to pricing, risk selection, and reinsurance, maintaining discipline in capital return strategies [10][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The macro environment remains resilient despite elevated interest rates, with strong demand for down payment support from lenders and borrowers [9][10] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate market changes and maintain strong credit performance, citing a favorable economic backdrop [28][42] Other Important Information - The company was recognized as a great place to work for the tenth consecutive year, highlighting the importance of team quality and workplace culture as competitive advantages [6][7] - The company has repurchased $23.2 million of common stock in Q2, with a total of $294 million repurchased to date [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital return pacing in light of economic resilience - Management indicated a consistent approach to capital return, with an expectation of approximately $25 million per quarter, while remaining flexible to adjust based on market conditions [19][21] Question: Impact of rising home supply and pricing on underwriting - Management noted that while there are regional differences in the housing market, the overall economic growth and job market remain strong, allowing for proactive management of underwriting and risk [25][28] Question: Competitive environment and pricing relative to peers - Management described the industry pricing as balanced and constructive, with strong unit economics on new business [36] Question: Default trends and recovery drivers - Management highlighted the favorable credit performance of the portfolio, with borrowers benefiting from a strong labor market and embedded equity, aiding in recovery from defaults [41][42] Question: Regulatory impacts from FHFA proposals - Management stated that proposed changes to equitable housing programs are not expected to have a significant impact on the business or market [48][49]
NMI (NMIH) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-29 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue in Q2 2025 was a record $173.8 million, compared to $173.2 million in Q1 2025 and $162.1 million in Q2 2024 [12][13] - Adjusted net income was $96.5 million or $1.22 per diluted share, with an adjusted return on equity of 16.3% [7][12] - The primary insurance in force grew to $214.7 billion, up 2% from Q1 2025 and 5% compared to Q2 2024 [12][15] - The expense ratio reached a record low of 19.8%, indicating significant operating leverage [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated $12.5 billion of new insurance written (NIW) in Q2 2025, maintaining strong production levels [5][7] - Net premiums earned were $149.1 million in Q2 2025, slightly down from $149.4 million in Q1 2025 but up from $141.2 million in Q2 2024 [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The twelve-month persistency rate was 84.1% in Q2 2025, compared to 84.3% in Q1 2025 [12] - The company reported 6,709 defaults at the end of Q2 2025, down from 6,859 at the end of Q1 2025, with a default rate of 1% [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to continue serving customers and their borrowers while investing in employee success and driving growth in its insured portfolio [11][17] - The management emphasized a disciplined approach to pricing, risk selection, and reinsurance, which has proven effective [10][29] - The company is positioned to offer low-cost, high-value solutions that enhance homeownership accessibility [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The macro environment remains resilient despite elevated interest rates, with ongoing demand for down payment support [8][10] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate market changes and maintain strong performance [7][10] - The company anticipates continued normalization in housing market appreciation, with a focus on maintaining balance in risk management [28] Other Important Information - The company was recognized as a great place to work for the tenth consecutive year, highlighting its strong workplace culture [6] - Shareholders' equity at the end of Q2 2025 was $2.4 billion, with a book value per share of $31.14 [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital return pacing in light of economic resilience - Management indicated satisfaction with the current capital return execution and suggested a consistent buyback pace of approximately $25 million per quarter, with flexibility to adjust based on market conditions [20][21][22] Question: Impact of rising home supply and pricing on underwriting - Management noted that while some markets are under pressure, the overall economic backdrop remains positive, allowing for proactive risk management without significant changes to current strategies [25][28][29] Question: Competitive environment and pricing relative to peers - Management described the industry pricing as balanced and constructive, with strong unit economics on new business [38] Question: Operating expenses and any one-time impacts - Management clarified that the decline in operating expenses from Q1 to Q2 is typical and not due to any one-time events [39][40] Question: Default trends and recovery drivers - Management reported a favorable credit performance and noted that borrowers are benefiting from a strong labor market and embedded equity, aiding in recovery from defaults [44][46][47] Question: Regulatory impacts from FHFA proposals - Management expressed that the proposed changes would not significantly impact the business or market, maintaining a focus on access and affordability in housing policy [50][52][53]
NMI (NMIH) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-07-29 21:41
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from ______ to ______ Commission file number 001-36174 NMI Holdings, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 45-4914248 2100 Powell Str ...
NMI (NMIH) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-07-29 20:09
Adam Pollitzer, President and Chief Executive Officer of National MI, said, "In the second quarter, we again delivered strong operating performance, continued growth in our high-quality insured portfolio, and standout financial results. We have a strong customer franchise, a talented team driving us forward every day, an exceptionally high-quality book covered by a comprehensive set of risk transfer solutions, and a robust balance sheet supported by the significant earnings power of our platform. Looking fo ...
NMI Holdings, Inc. to Announce Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results on July 29, 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-07-14 14:04
Company Announcement - NMI Holdings, Inc. will report its second quarter results for the period ended June 30, 2025, after market close on July 29, 2025 [1] - A conference call and live webcast will be held at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time / 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the same day [2] Company Overview - NMI Holdings, Inc. is the parent company of National Mortgage Insurance Corporation, a private mortgage insurance company in the U.S. that supports low-down-payment borrowers while protecting lenders and investors from losses due to borrower defaults [3]
National MI Earns Trio of Great Place to Work Distinctions
Globenewswire· 2025-06-24 12:30
EMERYVILLE, Calif., June 24, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- National Mortgage Insurance Corporation (National MI), the primary operating subsidiary of NMI Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NMIH), announced today it has received three prestigious company culture awards. National MI is proud to be recognized as a Great Place To Work® in 2025 and has also earned a “Decade of Great” distinction for garnering the honor ten consecutive years. Additionally, the company was ranked No. 22 among Fortune magazine’s Best Workplaces in ...
NMIH Stock Near 52-Week High: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 16:21
Key Takeaways NMIH is poised to capitalize on growth in the mortgage insurance sector. A robust reinsurance strategy helps NMIH manage credit volatility and access efficient growth capital. Earnings growth is supported by increased production of both monthly and single premium policies.Shares of NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) closed at $40.69 on Monday, near its 52-week high of $42.49. This proximity underscores investor confidence. It has the ingredients for further price appreciation. The stock is trading abo ...
NMI Holdings (NMIH) Up 7.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 16:36
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for NMI Holdings (NMIH) . Shares have added about 7.6% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is NMI Holdings due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?It ...
NMI Holdings Trades Above 50-Day SMA: Time to Hold NMIH Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 14:05
Core Viewpoint - NMI Holdings Inc. (NMIH) is experiencing a short-term bullish trend, trading above its 50-day simple moving average, despite a recent decline in share price from its 52-week high [1] Valuation and Market Position - NMIH shares are trading at a price-to-book multiple of 1.25X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.52X, the Finance sector's 4.11X, and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite's 7.8X, indicating attractive valuation [4] - The company has a market capitalization of $2.90 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.6 million shares over the last three months [6] Performance Metrics - NMIH's shares have gained 10.3% over the past year, lagging behind the industry's growth of 19.8%, the Finance sector's return of 16.8%, and the S&P 500 composite's appreciation of 11.1% [7][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NMIH's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 7.1%, with revenues expected to reach $686.01 million, reflecting a 5.4% improvement [10] - The expected long-term earnings growth rate for NMIH is 6.10%, which is slightly below the industry average of 6.9% [11] Return on Capital - NMIH's return on equity (ROE) for the trailing 12 months was 17.27%, significantly higher than the industry's 7.7%, showcasing efficient use of shareholders' funds [12] Growth Opportunities - NMIH is positioned to benefit from new business opportunities in the growing mortgage insurance market, with expectations of increased production in monthly and single premium policies [13] - The company has a comprehensive reinsurance program to enhance its return profile and manage credit volatility [14] Shareholder Returns - NMIH has engaged in share buybacks, repurchasing a total of $245 million of shares, with $80 million of repurchase capacity remaining [14] - These strategies are expected to help the insurer generate solid mid-teens returns for shareholders [15] Overall Outlook - NMIH is well-positioned for growth due to new primary insurance written, a comprehensive reinsurance program, and favorable growth estimates [16] - The stock has a VGM Score of A, indicating attractive value, growth, and momentum, suggesting it is wise to hold onto this stock [18]