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14% Dividend Yield Is Not Enough
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 11:53
It's been a few weeks, but earnings season is extremely busy. I've got something I want to share with all our readers though. I've been a critic of the absurd premium achieved by AGNC Investment (AGNC) over the last few years. While this example uses AGNC, it is highly relevant to the sector. One of the things investors should regularly do when evaluating prices is look at the ratios over time. If you have no idea where valuations have been in the past, it would be extremely difficult to evaluate current va ...
Blackstone Mortgage Trust(BXMT) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-29 13:00
Company Overview - Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) focuses on real estate credit investments in North America, Europe, and Australia[2] - BXMT is managed by Blackstone, the largest owner of commercial real estate globally with over $600 billion of Total Enterprise Value (TEV)[2] - BREDS platform has acquired $22 billion in bank loan portfolios since Q4 2023[10] - BREDS has $143 billion in loan originations since inception[10] Portfolio Activity - BXMT closed or acquired $51 billion in loans in 2025 to date, concentrated in multifamily, industrial, and diversified portfolios[6] - BXMT had $50 billion in repayments in 2025 to date, including $22 billion in office[6] - BXMT resolved $21 billion of impaired loans since Q3 2024 at a premium to aggregate carrying value[6] - Impaired loan balance reduced by 71% from peak[6] - Total Q3 2025 investments were $10 billion, including $06 billion of loan originations[61] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 dividend per share was $047, equating to a 104% annualized yield[58] - Q3 GAAP EPS was $037 and Distributable EPS was $024[60] - Distributable EPS prior to charge-offs was $048[60] - Book value per share was $2099[61] - Total credit facilities amount to $185 billion across 13 bank counterparties, including $75 billion of availability[61] Portfolio Composition - The loan portfolio totals $168 billion[20] - Multifamily and Industrial sectors now represent 47% of the portfolio[23] - Office exposure has been reduced by 48% since 2019[23] - 96% of the loan portfolio is performing as of Q3 2025[61] Capitalization - BXMT has completed over $11 billion in total corporate capital transactions since inception[25] - A $04 billion Term Loan B transaction in Q3 2025 reduced the spread by 100 basis points[6] - The company has $13 billion in quarter-end liquidity[58]
Seven Hills Realty (SEVN) Earnings Transcript
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-28 17:20
We continue to see a more active lending environment as short-term rates move lower and investors anticipate further rate cuts before year-end. This has led to greater borrower engagement and transaction volume across our pipeline, which we expect will continue to grow over the coming quarters. As SOFR continues to decline, we will see our SOFR floors begin to become active, providing a benefit to earnings and helping to partially offset the impact from declining rates. While competition remains elevated, w ...
SEVEN HILLS REAL(SEVN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Distributable earnings for Q3 2025 were $4.2 million or $0.29 per share, at the high end of guidance [4][12] - A regular quarterly dividend of $0.28 per share was declared, equating to an annualized yield of 11% [4] - The company ended the quarter with $77 million in cash and $310 million in capacity on secured financing facilities [14][15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The portfolio consisted of $642 million in floating-rate first mortgage commitments across 22 loans, with a weighted average all-in yield of 8.2% and a weighted average loan-to-value of 67% [5] - The weighted average risk rating at quarter end was 2.9, with all loans current on debt service and no non-accrual balances [6][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Market sentiment improved following the Federal Reserve's rate cut in September, driving new financing activity [9] - Demand for floating-rate bridge financing remains strong, particularly due to 2021 and 2022 vintage floating-rate multifamily loan maturities [9][10] - The company is currently evaluating over $1 billion of loan opportunities, with a shift towards a higher proportion of acquisition financing [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deploy capital into opportunities that offer the best relative value in the current environment, focusing on disciplined capital deployment [8] - The strategy includes maintaining strong sponsor relationships and leveraging underwriting and asset management expertise to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that competition remains elevated, but they continue to find compelling opportunities that meet return thresholds [8] - Expectations of further rate cuts before year-end are anticipated to enhance borrower engagement and transaction volume [7][9] - The company expects fourth-quarter distributable earnings to be in the range of $0.29-$0.31 per share [13] Other Important Information - The company reported full repayment of two loans totaling $53.8 million during the quarter, with expectations for additional repayments in 2026 [7] - The CECL reserve remains modest at 150 basis points of total loan commitments, unchanged from the previous quarter [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Expected repayments for the remainder of the year - Management confirmed that the only expected repayment before year-end is $15.3 million, with the majority of repayments scheduled for 2026 [17] Question: Sourcing of new loans and competition - Management indicated that most transactions come from traditional channels like mortgage banking, with a solid reputation helping to win loans [19] Question: Impact of lower SOFR on CECL reserve - Management explained that while lower SOFR could impact the CECL reserve, many factors influence it, and they maintain a conservative approach [23][24] Question: Demand for multifamily equity - Management noted that there is always demand for equity capital, especially with many loan maturities requiring additional equity [25][26] Question: Activity of banks in multifamily debt markets - Management observed that larger banks are active in the multifamily space, while smaller regional banks are more selective [28] Question: Cash balance increase - Management attributed the increase in cash balance to timing of repayments and the expectation of new loan originations [31] Question: NIM compression outlook - Management believes they are at the trough of NIM compression and expects to identify appropriate transactions for better returns [35]
SEVEN HILLS REAL(SEVN) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Distributable earnings for Q3 2025 were $4.2 million or $0.29 per share, at the high end of guidance [4][12] - A regular quarterly dividend of $0.28 per share was declared, equating to an annualized yield of 11% [4] - The portfolio consisted of $642 million in floating-rate first mortgage commitments across 22 loans with a weighted average all-in yield of 8.2% and a weighted average loan-to-value of 67% [5][6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Recent transaction activity included a $34.5 million first mortgage loan secured by a mixed-use property and a $37.3 million loan application for a student housing property [5] - The company received full repayment of two loans totaling $53.8 million during the quarter [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Market sentiment improved following the Federal Reserve's rate cut in September, driving new financing activity [9] - Demand for floating-rate bridge financing remains strong, particularly due to 2021 and 2022 vintage floating-rate multifamily loan maturities [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to deploy capital into opportunities that offer the best relative value, focusing on industrial, necessity-based retail, hospitality, and student housing [10][11] - The composition of the pipeline has shifted towards a higher proportion of acquisition financing, indicating renewed market confidence [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that competition remains elevated but believes their disciplined approach and strong sponsor relationships will continue to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns [8] - Expectations of further rate cuts before year-end are anticipated to enhance borrower engagement and transaction volume [6][9] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with $77 million in cash and $310 million in capacity on secured financing facilities [14] - The CECL reserve remains modest at 150 basis points of total loan commitments, unchanged from the previous quarter [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Repayments expected for the remainder of the year - Management confirmed that the only expected repayment before year-end is $15.3 million, with the majority of repayments occurring in 2026 [17][18] Question: Sourcing of loans and competition - The majority of transactions come from traditional mortgage banking channels, with a solid reputation helping to win loans [19][20] Question: CECL reserve and its relation to SOFR - Management indicated that while lower SOFR could impact the CECL reserve, many factors influence it, and they maintain a conservative reserve [24][25] Question: Demand for multifamily equity - There is ongoing demand for equity capital in the multifamily sector, driven by loan maturities and the need for additional equity in refinancing [26][27] Question: Participation of banks in multifamily debt markets - Larger banks are active in the multifamily space, while smaller regional banks are more selective due to concerns over balance sheets [28][29] Question: Cash balance increase - The increase in cash balance was driven by loan repayments and timing, allowing for additional originations [31] Question: NIM compression outlook - Management believes they are at the trough of NIM compression and expects to identify appropriate transactions for investment [33]
Annaly(NLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's book value per share increased by 4.3% from $18.45 in the prior quarter to $19.25 [20] - Economic return for Q3 was 8.1%, bringing the year-to-date economic return to 11.5% [20][21] - Earnings available for distribution per share remained consistent at $0.73, exceeding the dividend for the quarter [22] - Average yields improved to 5.46% from 5.41% in the prior quarter, with net interest spread ex-PAA increasing to 1.5% [22][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The agency portfolio's market value increased to over $87 billion, up 10% quarter-over-quarter, with total growth of $7.8 billion [9] - Residential credit portfolio increased to $6.9 billion in economic market value, with average yields rising to 6.29% [11][22] - The mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio increased by $215 million to $3.5 billion [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. economy showed resilience with GDP growth supported by consumer spending and AI-driven business investment [5] - Inflation remained elevated near 3%, with a modest impact from higher tariffs on goods inflation [6] - Labor market conditions weakened, with hiring slowing to 30,000 jobs per month [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a diversified housing finance strategy, generating a 13% annualized economic return over the past three years [18] - Focus on maintaining high credit quality in residential credit and leveraging proprietary assets through the correspondent channel [15] - The company is positioned to benefit from expected Fed cuts and healthy fixed income demand [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the agency sector despite tighter spreads, citing improved fundamentals and technicals [26] - The outlook for the residential credit business is positive, with expectations for continued growth in the private label market [18] - Management remains cautious about taking on additional rate risk given current market uncertainties [56] Other Important Information - The company raised $1.1 billion of equity in Q3, including $800 million through its ATM program [8] - The MSR valuation multiple decreased slightly due to lower mortgage rates, but cash flows remain stable [16] - The company has $7.4 billion in unencumbered assets, including $5.9 billion in cash and Agency MBS [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Agency returns and investment preferences - Management indicated that agency investments remain attractive despite tighter spreads, with expectations for increased demand from banks and REITs [26][27] Question: MSR bulk supply and pricing - Management noted that bulk supply has increased from large participants, with stable pricing throughout the year [29] Question: Breakdown of agency returns - Management provided insights on the spread to swaps versus treasuries, indicating a blended yield of about 160 basis points [33] Question: Book value performance - Management reported a 1% increase in book value pre-dividend accrual, translating to a 1.5% to 2% economic return [35] Question: Prepayment protection in the OBX portfolio - Management highlighted that the OBX portfolio has shown slower prepayment speeds than anticipated, benefiting from prepayment penalties [82]
Annaly(NLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 14:02
Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 23, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsSean Kensil - Director of Investor RelationsSerena Wolfe - CFOJason Weaver - Managing DirectorBose George - Managing DirectorTrevor Cranston - Managing DirectorV.S. Srinivasan - Head of AgencyDavid Finkelstein - CEO and Co-Chief Investment OfficerKen Adler - Head of Mortgage Servicing RightsKenneth Lee - VPMike Fania - Co-Chief Investment Officer and Head of Residential CreditEric Hagen - Managing Dir ...
Annaly(NLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's book value per share increased by 4.3% from $18.45 in the prior quarter to $19.25, achieving an economic return of 8.1% for Q3 and 11.5% year to date [19][20] - Earnings available for distribution per share remained consistent at $0.73, exceeding the dividend for the quarter [20] - The average yield improved to 5.46% compared to 5.41% in the prior quarter, while the average repo rate improved by three basis points to 4.5% [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The agency portfolio's market value increased to over $87 billion, up 10% quarter over quarter, with total growth of $7.8 billion [10] - The residential credit portfolio increased to $6.9 billion in economic market value, with new origination non-QM AAA spreads tightening by 15 basis points [12] - The mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio increased by $215 million to $3.5 billion, with stable cash flows and unchanged serious delinquencies at 50 basis points [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. economy showed resilience with GDP growth likely on pace with Q2, supported by consumer spending and AI-driven business investment [6] - Labor market conditions weakened, with hiring slowing to 30,000 jobs per month, while inflation remained elevated near 3% [6][7] - The agency MBS market saw improved supply and demand dynamics, with fixed income fund inflows more than 50% higher than the average over the past few quarters [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a diversified housing finance strategy, which has generated a 13% annualized economic return over the past three years [17] - The focus remains on maintaining a high credit quality portfolio and leveraging proprietary assets through the correspondent channel [14] - The company is positioned to benefit from expected Fed cuts and a healthy fixed income demand, with plans to increase allocations to residential credit and MSR [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed a positive outlook, highlighting the benefits of declining macro volatility and anticipated Fed cuts [16] - The company remains flexible in the current investing climate with historically low leverage and significant liquidity [18] - Concerns about the housing market were noted, with expectations of modest cumulative depreciation due to elevated mortgage rates [14] Other Important Information - The company raised $1.1 billion of accretive equity in Q3, including $800 million through its ATM program [9] - The MSR valuation multiple decreased modestly due to lower mortgage rates, but the portfolio remains well insulated [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Agency returns and investment preferences - Management indicated that agency investments remain attractive despite tighter spreads, with expectations for increased demand from banks and overseas participants [26][27] Question: MSR bulk supply and pricing - The bulk supply has increased from large participants, with stable pricing throughout the year, encouraging future bulk supply [29][30] Question: Agency returns breakdown - The spread to swaps versus treasuries is around 35 to 40 basis points, with low realized volatility aiding hedging costs [35][36] Question: MSR purchase strategy - The company prefers lower note rate MSRs to mitigate negative convexity risk, with a focus on maintaining a diversified portfolio [46][48] Question: Outlook for mortgage spreads and securitization - Management expects stable mortgage spreads to support continued market activity, with NonQM market penetration increasing [51][54] Question: Duration risk and portfolio management - The company is currently maintaining a close to zero duration gap due to market uncertainty, with plans to manage risks carefully [62][66] Question: GSEs' potential impact on the market - Speculation exists regarding GSEs becoming more active buyers, but the market has strong demand from REITs and fixed income funds [70][71]
Annaly(NLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 14:00
Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 23, 2025 09:00 AM ET Speaker3Good morning and welcome to the Q3 2025 Annaly Capital Management earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your que ...
Sachem Capital Sets Dates for Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call
Globenewswire· 2025-10-22 20:15
BRANFORD, Conn., Oct. 22, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sachem Capital Corp. (NYSE American: SACH) (the “Company”) announced today that the Company will release its third quarter 2025 financial results before market open on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. A webcast and conference call to discuss the results will be held on Wednesday, November 5, 2025, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time. Webcast:A webcast of the conference call will be available on the Investors section of the Company’s website www.sachemcapitalcorp.com. To ...