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Energy Fuels Trades at Premium Value: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-05 16:21
Core Insights - Energy Fuels (UUUU) is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 26.00X, significantly higher than the non-ferrous mining industry's average of 2.94X, indicating a stretched valuation [1] - The company has experienced a year-to-date stock gain of 119%, outperforming the industry's growth of 11.1% and the broader Zacks Basic Materials sector's gain of 18.3% [5] - Energy Fuels reported a 52% year-over-year decline in Q2 revenues to $4.2 million, leading to a loss of 10 cents per share, which is wider than the previous year's loss of 4 cents [8][12] Valuation and Performance - UUUU's Value Score of F suggests that the stock is not cheap at the moment [1] - In comparison, uranium stocks like Cameco (CCJ) and Centrus Energy (LEU) are trading at lower price-to-sales multiples of 13.09X and 7.45X, respectively [2] - The company's revenues are projected to decline by 47.8% year-over-year in 2025, with an estimated revenue of $40.80 million [20] Production and Cost Outlook - Energy Fuels expects uranium output of up to 1.44 million pounds in 2025, with costs projected to fall significantly [8][15] - The company anticipates processing 700,000 to 1,000,000 pounds of finished uranium for 2025, with a total weighted average cost of goods sold between $23 and $30 per pound [17] - Uranium sales are planned at 350,000 pounds in 2025, lower than the 450,000 pounds sold last year [16] Financial Health - As of June 30, 2025, Energy Fuels had $253.23 million in working capital, including $71.5 million in cash and no debt on its balance sheet [13] - The company is expected to incur a loss of 33 cents per share in 2025, but is projected to achieve profitability in 2026 with earnings of one cent per share [20][21] Market Challenges and Opportunities - Weak uranium prices have been a challenge, with current prices at $76.70 per pound, which is 4% below last year's levels [26] - The long-term outlook for uranium remains strong due to the push for clean energy and the establishment of supply chains independent of China [27] - Energy Fuels is advancing its rare earth elements (REE) projects, including a partnership with Vulcan Elements to establish a domestic supply chain for rare earth magnets [19]
Centrus Energy Soars 202% YTD: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 16:26
Core Insights - Centrus Energy (LEU) has experienced a significant stock increase of 202.4% year-to-date, outperforming the non-ferrous mining industry's growth of 11% and the S&P 500's rise of 10.1% [1][6]. Performance Comparison - Centrus Energy's stock performance is notably higher than peers, with Cameco (CCJ) gaining 49.3% and Energy Fuels (UUUU) increasing by 119.7% year-to-date [4][6]. Strategic Developments - Centrus Energy signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) and POSCO International to attract private investment for expanding its uranium enrichment plant in Piketon, Ohio [9]. - The company is competing for U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) funding to support the plant's expansion and has revised its agreement with KHNP to supply higher volumes of low-enriched uranium, contingent on receiving DOE funding [10]. Operational Milestones - Centrus Energy has delivered 920 kg of High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) to the DOE, completing initial contract phases and entering Phase III with a contract extension through June 30, 2026 [12]. - The company reported total revenues of $155 million, a decrease of 18% year-over-year, with the LEU segment revenues declining by 26% to $125.7 million, while the Technical Solutions segment saw a 48% increase to $28.8 million [13]. Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centrus Energy's earnings per share for 2025 is $4.23, indicating a year-over-year decline of 5.37%, while the estimate for 2026 is $3.36, reflecting a decline of 20.6% [16]. - Centrus Energy's total debt-to-total capital ratio stands at 0.55, which is higher than industry peers, with Cameco at 0.13 and Energy Fuels being debt-free [15]. Market Position and Growth Potential - Centrus Energy is the only licensed producer of HALEU in the Western world, positioning it to capitalize on the expected surge in demand for HALEU, projected to grow from a market value of $0.26 billion in 2025 to $6.14 billion by 2035 [22][23]. - The company plans to expand its production capacity in Ohio to meet domestic demand for HALEU and low-enriched uranium [23]. Valuation Concerns - Centrus Energy is trading at a forward price/sales multiple of 7.55X, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.86X and its three-year median of 2.26X, indicating a stretched valuation [18].
Should Investors Bet on Centrus Energy Stock Post Q2 Earnings Beat?
ZACKS· 2025-08-08 17:20
Core Insights - Centrus Energy (LEU) reported a 12% increase in stock price following its Q2 2025 results, which exceeded market expectations despite a year-over-year decline in revenues and earnings [1][7] - The company's progress on the High-Assay, Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU) Operation Contract with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is a significant growth driver [1][19] Financial Performance - Centrus Energy's Q2 2025 total revenues were $155 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $136 million, but reflecting an 18% decline from $189 million in the previous year [12] - The LEU segment's revenues fell 26% year-over-year to $125.7 million, attributed to no uranium sales and a 27% drop in sales volumes of Separative Work Units (SWU), partially offset by a 24% increase in SWU prices [12][14] - Technical Solutions revenues increased by 48% to $28.8 million, driven by a $9.1 million contribution from the HALEU Operation Contract [14] - Earnings per share (EPS) were $1.59, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.78, but down 16% from the previous year due to increased selling, general, and administrative expenses [15][24] Market Performance - Centrus Energy's stock has surged 251.5% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the non-ferrous mining industry, which saw a 0.9% decline, and the S&P 500's 7.7% increase [2][7] - The company has outperformed peers such as Energy Fuels and Cameco, which gained 89.7% and 48.7% respectively [5][7] Growth Prospects - Centrus Energy has a $3.6 billion revenue backlog, including long-term sales contracts with major utilities through 2040 [15] - The HALEU market is projected to grow from $0.26 billion in 2025 to $6.2 billion by 2035, with Centrus planning to expand production capacity to meet domestic demand [20][19] Debt and Valuation - As of June 30, 2025, Centrus Energy's total debt-to-total capital ratio was 0.55, higher than Cameco's 0.13 and Energy Fuels' debt-free status [21] - The stock is trading at a forward price/sales multiple of 8.57X, significantly above the industry average of 2.63X and its three-year median of 2.24X, indicating a stretched valuation [30][32] Strategic Position - Centrus Energy is the only company licensed for HALEU enrichment by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, providing a first-mover advantage in a market expected to see increased demand for carbon-free electricity [32]