Vail's dividend yield is significantly higher than short-term Treasury rates, making it an attractive time to consider the stock.When shares of Vail Resorts (MTN +2.04%) popped last May on the news that the company was bringing back its former CEO and current executive chairman Rob Katz as CEO, investors were likely hoping that the stock's long stretch of poor performance had, at the very least, bottomed. However, with Vail's 2025/2026 pass unit sales declining slightly year over year as of the company's la ...

Key Takeaways MODG drove high-teens traffic growth at Topgolf, pushing same-venue sales positive after several quarters.Value deals lifted visits without margin damage, as venue-level EBITDA margins held just above 33%.Repeat customers made up most traffic gains, supported by summer passes and the new PlayMore program.Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. (MODG) delivered a meaningful inflection in its Topgolf business during third-quarter 2025, driven by a sharp acceleration in traffic tied to new value-focused in ...

信贷投向是经济发展的"风向标"，资金流向折射产业变迁。今年前10个月，我国新增人民币贷款近15万亿元，这些"真金白银"投向了哪些领域？透过数据我 们发现，今年以来科技型中小企业贷款、绿色贷款增速均高于全部贷款增速，金融资源正加速流向科技创新、绿色发展、旅游消费等关键领域。 从不敢贷到放心投 破解科创企业融资困局 天津一家专注基因工程领域基础材料研发的企业，目前正全力攻关一项核心技术。 天津全和诚科技有限责任公司财务中心副总经理 孙岩：它的研发投入周期很长，资金投入量很大，需要我们有3年到4年的储备资金。 针对企业研发阶段的大额资金需求，人民银行天津市分行推出45项具体举措，推动金融服务精准对接技术研发、成果转化等关键环节需求。 邮储银行天津红桥支行行长 王世才：研发贷就是在科创贷基础上的一个升级迭代，然后给予客户更低的贷款利率、更长的贷款期限和更优的授信方案。根 据客户的研发实力、研发团队，还有产品的一些技术壁垒等因素进行定性定量的打分。 凭借过硬的研发实力，企业顺利通过评分，获得1300万元信贷资金。 天津全和诚科技有限责任公司财务中心副总经理 孙岩：拿到这笔研发贷之后，我们首先购买了实验仪器，同时扩大了我 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Vail Resorts (MTN) to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending October 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Vail Resorts is expected to report a quarterly loss of $5.23 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -13.5% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $271.27 million, indicating a 4.2% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.12% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Vail Resorts is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.18% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10]. - Vail Resorts currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Vail Resorts was expected to post a loss of $4.75 per share but actually reported a loss of -$5.08, resulting in a surprise of -6.95% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - While Vail Resorts does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [17].

Core Insights - Vail Resorts reported a wider-than-expected net loss for Q4 fiscal 2025, with revenues missing estimates despite a year-over-year increase [2][3] - The company experienced a decline in skier visits, yet managed to maintain a stable EBITDA margin for the full year [5][9] - There has been a downward trend in estimates for the company's performance, leading to a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [12][13] Financial Performance - Q4 fiscal 2025 revenues were $271.3 million, up 2.2% from $265.3 million year-over-year, but below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $272 million [2] - The net loss attributable to shareholders was $185.5 million, or $5.08 per share, compared to a loss of $176.6 million, or $4.70 per share, in the previous year [3] - Full-year fiscal 2025 revenues reached $2.96 billion, a 2.7% increase year-over-year, with net income rising to $280 million ($7.53 per share) from $231.1 million ($6.09 per share) in fiscal 2024 [3] Margins and Profitability - Resort Reported EBITDA for Q4 was a loss of $123.6 million, compared to a loss of $114.6 million in the prior-year period, influenced by higher costs related to CEO transition and resource efficiency [4] - The full-year Resort Reported EBITDA margin was 28.5%, showing modest expansion despite a 3% decline in skier visits [5] Segment Performance - The Mountain segment net revenues increased by 2.9% year-over-year to $180.9 million in Q4, driven by dining and ski school [6] - Lodging segment net revenues were $90.3 million, up 0.9%, with Lodging Reported EBITDA growing 48% to $4.1 million [6] Balance Sheet and Capital Management - As of July 31, 2025, Vail Resorts had $440 million in cash and total liquidity of approximately $1.4 billion, with net debt at $2.75 billion [7] - The company repurchased 1.29 million shares for $200 million in Q4, totaling $270 million for the full year, representing 4.5% of outstanding shares [8] Guidance and Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Vail Resorts anticipates net income between $201 million and $276 million, with Resort Reported EBITDA projected at $842 million to $898 million, indicating a margin of roughly 28.8% [9] - The guidance reflects expected efficiency savings and normalized weather conditions, but is tempered by lower pass unit sales and cost inflation [9]

A family mourning the loss of their beloved son, Balin Miller. Some snow in my hair. It's really pretty out the rainbow.The 23-year-old, well known in the climbing community, fell to his death while scaling Yoseim National Park's famous cliff face, El Capitan. His mother telling NBC Alaska affiliate KTU, "Looing your child is in such a horrific way." He knew what the the risks were. and he just did it anyway.Details of how exactly Miller died are still unclear, but his brother Dylan told the AP that Balin w ...

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Tuesday following gains on Monday, with major indices showing lower futures as a potential government shutdown looms [1][2] - The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 futures fell by 0.20%, 0.16%, 0.14%, and 0.19% respectively [3] Economic Indicators - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.13%, while the two-year bond was at 3.60%, indicating market expectations for interest rate cuts [2] - U.S. pending home sales surged by 4% in August, marking the largest increase in five months, contrasting with a 0.4% decline in the previous month [6] Sector Performance - Information technology, financial, and consumer discretionary sectors saw the most significant gains on Monday, while energy and communication services sectors closed lower [4] - Nvidia Corp. shares rose by approximately 2%, with other AI-related stocks like AMD and Micron also experiencing gains [5] Company Highlights - Robinhood Markets Inc. surged 12% after announcing over four billion event contracts traded on its platform since launch [5] - Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. is expected to report earnings of 55 cents per share on revenue of $1.62 billion [18] - Paychex Inc. is projected to report earnings of $1.21 per share on revenue of $1.54 billion [18] Analyst Insights - Economist Jeremy Siegel noted that recent inflation data supports the Federal Reserve's potential for further rate cuts, projecting two 25 basis point cuts by year-end [10][13] - Siegel emphasized that the economy is healthy but not overheating, with full-year growth estimates around 2.4%-2.5% [12][13] - Goldman Sachs identified potential risks including a growth shock, rate shock, and a significant dollar devaluation that could impact market stability [15]

Earnings Reports - Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of 55 cents per share on revenue of $1.62 billion [2] - Progress Software Corp. reported better-than-expected financial results, raising its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $975 million to $981 million, exceeding estimates of $967.24 million [2] - Paychex Inc. is anticipated to post earnings of $1.21 per share on revenue of $1.54 billion for the latest quarter [2] - Nike Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of 27 cents per share on revenue of $11.00 billion [2] Stock Performance - Lamb Weston shares gained 0.1% to $55.72 in after-hours trading [2] - Progress Software shares surged 4% to $44.33 in after-hours trading [2] - Paychex shares increased by 0.3% to $128.85 in after-hours trading [2] - Vail Resorts Inc. shares declined 1.9% to $145.30 in after-hours trading following downbeat results [2] - Nike shares rose slightly to $69.56 in after-hours trading [2]

Economic Indicators - U.S. retail sales rose 0.6% month-over-month in August, exceeding expectations [4] - U.S. industrial production increased by 0.1%, beating forecasts for a decline [4] - The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index remained steady at 32 [4] Market Performance - The Dow Jones index closed down 126 points or 0.27% at 45,757.90, while the S&P 500 fell 0.13% to 6,606.76 [5] - Nasdaq Composite declined 0.066% to 22,333.96, and Russell 2000 dropped 0.087% to 2,403.03 [6] Federal Reserve Insights - A 25-basis point interest rate cut is widely anticipated, with a 100% likelihood of a cut according to market projections [2][8] - The Federal Reserve's expected cut would be the first since December 2024, coinciding with stock market indexes near all-time highs [3][7] - Market sentiment indicates that bets on a larger 50-basis point cut have diminished to 2% [9] Company News - Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. reported weaker-than-expected results for its second quarter [4] - General Mills Inc. is expected to report earnings of 81 cents per share on revenue of $4.51 billion [16] - Manchester United PLC is anticipated to report an earnings loss of 6 cents per share on revenue of $225.80 million [16] - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. is expected to report earnings of 80 cents per share on revenue of $855.29 million [16] - New Fortress Energy Inc. surged 54.40% after announcing a long-term gas supply agreement with the Puerto Rican government [16] - Scisparc Ltd. jumped 154.35% following news of a court-granted stay in merger proceedings with AutoMax Motors Ltd. [16] - Nio Inc. advanced 3.85% after UBS upgraded its rating from Neutral to Buy [16] - Workday Inc. climbed 5.58% after announcing the acquisition of AI startup Sana for $1.1 billion [16] Commodity Market - Crude oil futures traded lower by 0.45% to around $64.23 per barrel [17] - Gold Spot fell 0.55% to approximately $3,669.70 per ounce [17]

Group 1: Trade Cycles Overview - Trade Cycles is a new trading strategy developed by TradeSmith, which identifies seasonal market trends with high accuracy [1][2] - The tool has become essential for quantitative analysis, helping to pinpoint optimal buying times based on historical data [2][3] Group 2: Seasonal Recommendations - The back-to-school season is projected to significantly boost sales for retailers, with companies like Carter's Inc. (CRI) potentially seeing a 30% increase, while Target Corp. (TGT) may experience a 5% revenue boost [6] - Despite the seasonal potential, Carter's and Target face challenges due to tariff threats, leading to negative sentiment and forecasts of profit declines [7] - Hanesbrands Inc. (HBI) is recommended as a more attractive investment opportunity, historically rising 5% on average during summer months, with a notable 60% surge between July and November in 2024 [8][9] Group 3: Enphase Energy Insights - Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH) has shown a significant seasonal pattern, with stock surging 42% during summer months in the past, but facing a decline during President Biden's term [15][16] - Current market conditions suggest a favorable environment for Enphase, with shares trading at 16X forward earnings, significantly lower than the Biden-era average of 45X [17] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing solar demand, with 69% of new electric generating capacity expected to be solar by 2025 [18][19] Group 4: Vail Resorts Analysis - Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) typically sees stock price increases of 7.4% during the winter months, but the best buying opportunity is in September when season passes are sold at peak prices, leading to an average increase of 10.5% from September to November [22][23]