Core Insights - Vail Resorts reported a wider-than-expected net loss for Q4 fiscal 2025, with revenues missing estimates despite a year-over-year increase [2][3] - The company experienced a decline in skier visits, yet managed to maintain a stable EBITDA margin for the full year [5][9] - There has been a downward trend in estimates for the company's performance, leading to a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [12][13] Financial Performance - Q4 fiscal 2025 revenues were $271.3 million, up 2.2% from $265.3 million year-over-year, but below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $272 million [2] - The net loss attributable to shareholders was $185.5 million, or $5.08 per share, compared to a loss of $176.6 million, or $4.70 per share, in the previous year [3] - Full-year fiscal 2025 revenues reached $2.96 billion, a 2.7% increase year-over-year, with net income rising to $280 million ($7.53 per share) from $231.1 million ($6.09 per share) in fiscal 2024 [3] Margins and Profitability - Resort Reported EBITDA for Q4 was a loss of $123.6 million, compared to a loss of $114.6 million in the prior-year period, influenced by higher costs related to CEO transition and resource efficiency [4] - The full-year Resort Reported EBITDA margin was 28.5%, showing modest expansion despite a 3% decline in skier visits [5] Segment Performance - The Mountain segment net revenues increased by 2.9% year-over-year to $180.9 million in Q4, driven by dining and ski school [6] - Lodging segment net revenues were $90.3 million, up 0.9%, with Lodging Reported EBITDA growing 48% to $4.1 million [6] Balance Sheet and Capital Management - As of July 31, 2025, Vail Resorts had $440 million in cash and total liquidity of approximately $1.4 billion, with net debt at $2.75 billion [7] - The company repurchased 1.29 million shares for $200 million in Q4, totaling $270 million for the full year, representing 4.5% of outstanding shares [8] Guidance and Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Vail Resorts anticipates net income between $201 million and $276 million, with Resort Reported EBITDA projected at $842 million to $898 million, indicating a margin of roughly 28.8% [9] - The guidance reflects expected efficiency savings and normalized weather conditions, but is tempered by lower pass unit sales and cost inflation [9]

A family mourning the loss of their beloved son, Balin Miller. Some snow in my hair. It's really pretty out the rainbow.The 23-year-old, well known in the climbing community, fell to his death while scaling Yoseim National Park's famous cliff face, El Capitan. His mother telling NBC Alaska affiliate KTU, "Looing your child is in such a horrific way." He knew what the the risks were. and he just did it anyway.Details of how exactly Miller died are still unclear, but his brother Dylan told the AP that Balin w ...

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures declined on Tuesday following gains on Monday, with major indices showing lower futures as a potential government shutdown looms [1][2] - The Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 futures fell by 0.20%, 0.16%, 0.14%, and 0.19% respectively [3] Economic Indicators - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.13%, while the two-year bond was at 3.60%, indicating market expectations for interest rate cuts [2] - U.S. pending home sales surged by 4% in August, marking the largest increase in five months, contrasting with a 0.4% decline in the previous month [6] Sector Performance - Information technology, financial, and consumer discretionary sectors saw the most significant gains on Monday, while energy and communication services sectors closed lower [4] - Nvidia Corp. shares rose by approximately 2%, with other AI-related stocks like AMD and Micron also experiencing gains [5] Company Highlights - Robinhood Markets Inc. surged 12% after announcing over four billion event contracts traded on its platform since launch [5] - Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. is expected to report earnings of 55 cents per share on revenue of $1.62 billion [18] - Paychex Inc. is projected to report earnings of $1.21 per share on revenue of $1.54 billion [18] Analyst Insights - Economist Jeremy Siegel noted that recent inflation data supports the Federal Reserve's potential for further rate cuts, projecting two 25 basis point cuts by year-end [10][13] - Siegel emphasized that the economy is healthy but not overheating, with full-year growth estimates around 2.4%-2.5% [12][13] - Goldman Sachs identified potential risks including a growth shock, rate shock, and a significant dollar devaluation that could impact market stability [15]

Earnings Reports - Lamb Weston Holdings Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of 55 cents per share on revenue of $1.62 billion [2] - Progress Software Corp. reported better-than-expected financial results, raising its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $975 million to $981 million, exceeding estimates of $967.24 million [2] - Paychex Inc. is anticipated to post earnings of $1.21 per share on revenue of $1.54 billion for the latest quarter [2] - Nike Inc. is expected to report quarterly earnings of 27 cents per share on revenue of $11.00 billion [2] Stock Performance - Lamb Weston shares gained 0.1% to $55.72 in after-hours trading [2] - Progress Software shares surged 4% to $44.33 in after-hours trading [2] - Paychex shares increased by 0.3% to $128.85 in after-hours trading [2] - Vail Resorts Inc. shares declined 1.9% to $145.30 in after-hours trading following downbeat results [2] - Nike shares rose slightly to $69.56 in after-hours trading [2]

Economic Indicators - U.S. retail sales rose 0.6% month-over-month in August, exceeding expectations [4] - U.S. industrial production increased by 0.1%, beating forecasts for a decline [4] - The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index remained steady at 32 [4] Market Performance - The Dow Jones index closed down 126 points or 0.27% at 45,757.90, while the S&P 500 fell 0.13% to 6,606.76 [5] - Nasdaq Composite declined 0.066% to 22,333.96, and Russell 2000 dropped 0.087% to 2,403.03 [6] Federal Reserve Insights - A 25-basis point interest rate cut is widely anticipated, with a 100% likelihood of a cut according to market projections [2][8] - The Federal Reserve's expected cut would be the first since December 2024, coinciding with stock market indexes near all-time highs [3][7] - Market sentiment indicates that bets on a larger 50-basis point cut have diminished to 2% [9] Company News - Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. reported weaker-than-expected results for its second quarter [4] - General Mills Inc. is expected to report earnings of 81 cents per share on revenue of $4.51 billion [16] - Manchester United PLC is anticipated to report an earnings loss of 6 cents per share on revenue of $225.80 million [16] - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. is expected to report earnings of 80 cents per share on revenue of $855.29 million [16] - New Fortress Energy Inc. surged 54.40% after announcing a long-term gas supply agreement with the Puerto Rican government [16] - Scisparc Ltd. jumped 154.35% following news of a court-granted stay in merger proceedings with AutoMax Motors Ltd. [16] - Nio Inc. advanced 3.85% after UBS upgraded its rating from Neutral to Buy [16] - Workday Inc. climbed 5.58% after announcing the acquisition of AI startup Sana for $1.1 billion [16] Commodity Market - Crude oil futures traded lower by 0.45% to around $64.23 per barrel [17] - Gold Spot fell 0.55% to approximately $3,669.70 per ounce [17]

Group 1: Trade Cycles Overview - Trade Cycles is a new trading strategy developed by TradeSmith, which identifies seasonal market trends with high accuracy [1][2] - The tool has become essential for quantitative analysis, helping to pinpoint optimal buying times based on historical data [2][3] Group 2: Seasonal Recommendations - The back-to-school season is projected to significantly boost sales for retailers, with companies like Carter's Inc. (CRI) potentially seeing a 30% increase, while Target Corp. (TGT) may experience a 5% revenue boost [6] - Despite the seasonal potential, Carter's and Target face challenges due to tariff threats, leading to negative sentiment and forecasts of profit declines [7] - Hanesbrands Inc. (HBI) is recommended as a more attractive investment opportunity, historically rising 5% on average during summer months, with a notable 60% surge between July and November in 2024 [8][9] Group 3: Enphase Energy Insights - Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH) has shown a significant seasonal pattern, with stock surging 42% during summer months in the past, but facing a decline during President Biden's term [15][16] - Current market conditions suggest a favorable environment for Enphase, with shares trading at 16X forward earnings, significantly lower than the Biden-era average of 45X [17] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing solar demand, with 69% of new electric generating capacity expected to be solar by 2025 [18][19] Group 4: Vail Resorts Analysis - Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) typically sees stock price increases of 7.4% during the winter months, but the best buying opportunity is in September when season passes are sold at peak prices, leading to an average increase of 10.5% from September to November [22][23]

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies, including daily updates on Zacks Rank and Industry Rank, access to the Zacks 1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens [1] Zacks Style Scores - Zacks Style Scores are indicators designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market within 30 days, rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum [2] - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, and Price/Sales [3] - The Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook through projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] - The Momentum Score identifies stocks with favorable price trends using metrics like one-week price changes and monthly earnings estimate changes [5] - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores to highlight stocks with attractive value, strong growth forecasts, and promising momentum, serving as a useful indicator alongside the Zacks Rank [6] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that utilizes earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically achieved an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - Investors are encouraged to select stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B for optimal investment potential [9][10] Company Spotlight: Vail Resorts - Vail Resorts, Inc. operates in three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate, and currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) with a VGM Score of A [11] - The company has a Momentum Style Score of A, with shares increasing by 4.9% over the past four weeks [11] - Recent upward revisions in earnings estimates by four analysts for fiscal 2025 have raised the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $0.12 to $7.72 per share, with an average earnings surprise of 2.7% [12]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities analyst Shaun C. Kelley maintains a Neutral rating on Vail Resorts, Inc. with a price target of $175, following the company's third-quarter performance which showed revenue of $1.29 billion, slightly below the $1.3 billion estimate, while earnings per share were $10.54, exceeding the $10.12 estimate [1][2]. Financial Performance - Vail Resorts reported third-quarter revenue of $1.29 billion, missing estimates of $1.3 billion [1]. - The company achieved earnings of $10.54 per share, surpassing estimates of $10.12 per share [1]. Strategic Insights - Kelley suggests that the full impact of Vail Resorts' new strategy will be clearer in FY27 rather than FY26, due to the time required for pricing adjustments and filling the Chief Marketing Officer role [2]. - The company has raised prices by 7% across its pass offerings, indicating a shift towards lower-priced products among customers, although demand for day passes remains healthy [4][5]. Capital Allocation and Growth - The dividend appears stable for now, but future growth will depend on significantly higher cash flows, with no major shifts in M&A plans expected in the near term [3]. - For FY26, key drivers for EBITDA include $33 million in net resource efficiency gains, $9 million from cycling past one-time CEO transition costs, $7 million from favorable foreign exchange, and approximately $10 million from improvements at Park City, contributing to an estimated $900 million EBITDA for FY26 [6]. Market Reaction - Vail Resorts shares are trading lower by 3.89% to $148.97 as of the last check [6].

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts anticipate Vail Resorts (MTN) to report quarterly earnings of $10 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.8%, with revenues expected to reach $1.3 billion, up 1.5% from the previous year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.3% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [1][2] - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [2] Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue' to be $89.11 million, a year-over-year increase of 2.4% [4] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue' is expected to reach $1.22 billion, indicating a change of 1.8% year over year [4] - The estimate for 'Net Revenue- Resort net revenue' stands at $1.30 billion, reflecting a 1.4% increase from the prior year [4] Specific Revenue Components - 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue- Owned hotel rooms' is forecasted at $15.49 million, up 3.4% from the previous year [5] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Other' is estimated to be $58.24 million, a 3.3% increase year over year [5] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Lift' is projected at $758.84 million, reflecting a 1.8% increase [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Ski school' is expected to be $163.57 million, indicating a 1.4% increase [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Dining' is estimated at $110.73 million, a 1.2% increase from the prior year [7] Visitor and Performance Metrics - 'Mountain - Total skier visits' is expected to be 8.6 thousand, down from 8.94 thousand year over year [7] - 'Lodging - Managed condominium statistics - RevPAR' is projected to reach $214.69, slightly down from $215.53 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Lodging - Owned hotel statistics - RevPAR' is expected to be $170.86, up from $166.25 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Mountain - ETP' is projected at $88.50, an increase from $83.38 in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Vail Resorts shares have returned +14% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +6.1% change [9][10] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [10]

Group 1: Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola has a current dividend yield of 2.9%, which is more than double the S&P 500's yield of approximately 1.4% [4] - The company has a strong history of dividend payments, with a 5.2% increase earlier this year, marking its 63rd consecutive annual dividend increase [5] - Coca-Cola generated $10.8 billion in free cash flow last year, an 11% increase, allowing it to cover its dividend and repurchase $1.1 billion of its shares [6] - The company expects organic revenue growth of 4%-6% annually and high-single-digit earnings-per-share growth, supported by a strong balance sheet for potential acquisitions [7] Group 2: Camden Property Trust - Camden Property Trust has a dividend yield of 3.7% and has consistently paid dividends at or above the previous year's rate for over 15 years, increasing it by more than 130% during this period [8] - The REIT focuses on high-growth markets, driving demand for rental housing and maintaining high occupancy rates [9] - Camden is investing $744 million to develop 1,935 rental homes and has plans for additional investments of $667 million for 1,325 more homes, which will enhance rental income streams [10] Group 3: Vail Resorts - Vail Resorts has a dividend yield of 6.3% and has paid out $1.9 billion in dividends over the past decade, with steady increases except for a pause during the pandemic [11] - The company generates predictable revenue by converting skiers to its Epic Pass, achieving over 10% annual free cash flow growth [12] - Vail Resorts invests in enhancing its ski resorts and plans to acquire other high-quality resorts, which should support future dividend growth [13] Group 4: Investment Summary - Coca-Cola, Camden Property Trust, and Vail Resorts exhibit strong characteristics as dividend-paying stocks, with higher yields and a history of steady increases [14]