We came across a bullish thesis on Remitly Global, Inc. on Paris Analyst’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on RELY. Remitly Global, Inc. 's share was trading at $19.68 as of September 4th. RELY’s trailing P/E was 324.33 according to Yahoo Finance. Is Kaspi.kz (KSPI) the Best Young Stock To Buy and Hold For 10 Years? Remitly has established itself as the leading digital remittance platform, transforming what was once a cash-heavy business into a high-retention, annuity-like ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has achieved eight consecutive quarters of double-digit transaction growth and high single-digit revenue growth in its digital business, indicating a strong performance in this segment [7][16][18] - The retail business outside of the Americas has stabilized and is now a growing asset, with non-Americas business growing over 10% [5][6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail business in Europe has shown high single-digit transaction growth with mid single-digit revenue growth, marking a significant turnaround from previous years [6][35] - Non-remittance services, including bill pay and foreign exchange, have experienced strong double-digit growth, contributing to overall revenue [10][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The political situation in the Americas has disrupted migratory patterns, leading to a decline in transactions, particularly in Latin America, while the U.S. market has seen higher principal amounts sent but fewer transactions [51][54] - The company has a mid to upper single-digit market share in key corridors like India and Guatemala, indicating significant room for growth [22][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Evolve '20 '25 strategy has transformed the company from a declining business to one with positive growth, focusing on stabilizing the retail business and enhancing digital offerings [5][6] - The company aims to be a globally diversified provider of everyday financial services, expanding beyond remittances into areas like foreign exchange and bill pay [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the long-term trends in global migration patterns, which are expected to support business growth despite short-term challenges [71][72] - The potential introduction of a remittance tax could significantly impact demand, with management noting that it would effectively double the cost of sending money [58][60] Other Important Information - The company has invested significantly in modernizing its retail point of sale systems, which has improved transaction efficiency and customer experience [37][43] - The company is exploring the use of stablecoins for settlements, although regulatory clarity is needed before significant implementation [75][81] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the key achievements of the Evolve '20 '25 strategy? - The strategy has stabilized the retail business and driven growth in the digital segment, with a focus on high-growth corridors and enhancing customer experience [5][6][24] Question: How does the company plan to address the potential remittance tax? - Management indicated that the tax would likely be passed on to consumers, significantly increasing the cost of sending money [58][60] Question: What is the company's outlook on global migration trends? - Management believes that inbound migration is essential for GDP growth in developed countries, which will positively impact the business long-term [71][72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter revenue of $361.6 million, representing a 34% year-over-year increase, and adjusted EBITDA of $58.4 million, resulting in a 16% adjusted EBITDA margin, marking a "rule of 50" quarter [30][31][40] - Quarterly active customers increased by 29% year-over-year to over 8 million, with send volume per active customer growing by 9% year-over-year, the highest growth rate since 2021 [31][32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Send volume grew by 41% to $16.2 billion, outpacing revenue growth, with a gross take rate of 2.24% [32][34] - The company saw strong growth in high amount senders, with send volume related to transactions over $1,000 accelerating to over 45% year-over-year growth [16][36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. revenue grew by 35%, while the rest of the world grew by 41% year-over-year, with revenue from regions outside of India, the Philippines, and Mexico increasing by 45% [33][34] - The company launched remittance services to Nigeria, Burkina Faso, and Mali, expanding its geographic footprint and enhancing financial inclusion [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to build a resilient business model that can deliver across economic cycles and geopolitical changes, focusing on diversifying its business to capture more growth and reduce risk [7][13] - The strategy includes enhancing customer experiences through technology, expanding payment options, and leveraging partnerships to improve transaction efficiency [15][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of remittances and the strength of the diversified business model, despite macroeconomic uncertainties [28][40] - The company raised its full-year outlook for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA, expecting revenue between $1.574 billion and $1.587 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 25% to 26% [41][42] Other Important Information - The company reported a GAAP net income of $11.4 million, a significant improvement compared to a net loss of $21.1 million in the same quarter last year [40] - The company continues to invest in technology and product innovation to enhance customer experience and drive long-term growth [90][95] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is driving the increase in send volume per active user? - Management indicated that increased engagement, higher send limits, and diversification into micro business segments are key drivers of the increase in send volume per active user [50][52][53] Question: Are there any environmental factors influencing the numbers? - Management noted that the majority of revenue comes from prior quarter cohorts, providing high visibility and confidence in revenue durability, with similar drivers expected to continue [58][59] Question: Can you elaborate on direct partner integrations? - Management highlighted that direct integrations lead to faster transactions, lower costs, and improved reliability, contributing to higher customer satisfaction and retention [63][66] Question: What is the strategy for high dollar senders and micro business customers? - The strategy involves targeting specific corridors, improving marketing efficiency, and tailoring products to meet the needs of these customer segments [78][80] Question: What is the significance of the WhatsApp partnership? - Management expressed excitement about the WhatsApp integration, viewing it as a significant opportunity for customer acquisition and improved service delivery, particularly in Latin America [83][85]

Company Overview - Remitly Global is a remittance provider with a market cap of $4.1 billion, experiencing significant growth and market share gains [2][4]. - The company has 7.8 million active customers as of Q4 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 32% [3]. Market Position - Remitly is gaining customers from Western Union due to lower fees and user-friendly services, targeting key immigrant groups in the U.S. [4]. - The company currently holds approximately 3% market share in the remittance sector, processing $15.4 billion in volume in Q4 of the previous year [4]. Growth Potential - The remittance market is expanding, providing Remitly with a dual advantage of market share growth and sector growth, leading to a cumulative revenue increase of 130% over the last three years [6]. - Revenue growth is expected to continue, with projections indicating that Remitly could achieve over $3 billion in annual sales within five years [11]. Profitability and Financials - Remitly's gross margin is approaching 60%, despite posting a slight operating loss last year due to high spending on marketing and technology [7][8]. - The company is expected to reach operating leverage as it scales, with potential profit margins approaching 20% in the next five years [9]. Investment Appeal - The current market cap undervalues Remitly's profit potential, with a projected P/E ratio dropping below 10 if revenue growth continues [12]. - Investing $2,000 today could yield 100 shares of a fast-growing company at a reasonable price compared to other high-growth stocks [2][12].