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Why One Fund Slashed the Vast Majority of Its GEO Group Stake as the Stock Slipped 40%
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-29 13:20
Core Insights - GEO Group is a prominent provider of secure facility management and community reentry services, utilizing an integrated approach to meet the needs of government clients seeking comprehensive correctional solutions [1] Financial Performance - As of the latest report, GEO shares were priced at $16.31, reflecting a 42% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which increased by approximately 15% during the same period [2] - The latest quarter showed a reported net income of $173.9 million and earnings of $1.24 per diluted share, a substantial increase from $26.3 million and $0.19 per share, respectively; however, much of this increase was attributed to a $232 million pre-tax gain on asset divestitures, leading to an adjusted net income of $0.25 per share [3] - Third-quarter revenue rose to $682.3 million, up from $603.1 million, with adjusted EBITDA remaining stable at $120.1 million [4] Strategic Moves - Management has increased its share repurchase authorization to $500 million while continuing to reduce leverage on the balance sheet [4] - GEO Group has secured over $460 million in newly awarded annualized contract revenue expected to normalize in 2026, primarily related to ICE facilities and electronic monitoring services [4] Market Position and Risks - The company operates in a politically sensitive and contract-dependent environment, with earnings subject to fluctuations based on asset sales, litigation reserves, and policy changes [5] - A significant fund reduced its stake in GEO Group, selling 927,016 shares during the third quarter, which indicates a strategic risk management approach rather than panic [2][5]