Investors in Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the July 18, 2025 $6 Call had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.What is Implied Volatility?Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility suggest that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could ...

Market Overview - The Q4 earnings season has seen significant double-digit losses for small and mid-cap companies as investors have become risk-averse and are avoiding anything less than perfect results [1] Analyst Insights - Gary Alexander, with extensive experience in covering technology companies and advising startups, has been a contributor to Seeking Alpha since 2017 and has insights into current industry themes [1]

Arlo Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:ARLO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript February 27, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Tahmin Clarke - Investor Relations Matthew McRae - Chief Executive Officer Kurt Binder - Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer Conference Call Participants Adam Tindle - Raymond James Jacob Stephan - Lake Street Hamed Khorsand - BWS Financial Scott Searle - Roth MKM Operator Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mo ...

Investor Presentation February 27, 2025 ©2025 – ALL RIGHTS RESERVED SAFE HARBOR DISCLOSURE This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words "anticipate," "expect," "believe," "will," "may," "should," "estimate," "project," "outlook," "forecast" or other similar words are used to identify such forward-looking statements. However, the absence of these words does not mean that the statements are not forward-looking. ...

Core Insights - Arlo Technologies reported a revenue of $121.57 million for the quarter ended December 2024, which is a 10% decrease compared to the same period last year [1] - The company's EPS was $0.10, down from $0.11 in the year-ago quarter, and the revenue slightly exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $121.16 million, resulting in a surprise of +0.34% [1] - However, the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.11, leading to an EPS surprise of -9.09% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Non-GAAP gross margin for Services was reported at 81.7%, surpassing the average estimate of 76.7% based on two analysts [4] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Products was -11.9%, significantly below the average estimate of 1.8% from two analysts [4] - Revenue from Services was $64.15 million, exceeding the three-analyst average estimate of $63.85 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +14.7% [4] - Revenue from Products was $57.43 million, slightly above the estimated $57.31 million, but this represents a year-over-year decline of -27.5% [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Arlo Technologies' shares have returned +1.4%, contrasting with a -2.2% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Arlo Technologies (ARLO) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.11 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -9.09%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this maker of smart connected devices would post earnings of $0.10 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.11, delivering a surprise of 10%.Over the last fou ...

Business Operations and Strategy - The company has entered into an asset purchase agreement with Verisure, granting exclusive marketing and distribution rights for its products in Europe[14]. - The company relies on a limited number of third-party manufacturers for its manufacturing needs, which poses risks to market share and brand reputation[14]. - The company faces risks from potential disruptions in its transportation network, which could affect product sales and operating expenses[14]. - The company’s future success depends on increasing sales of its paid subscription services[14]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2024 was $510.886 million, an increase of 4% from $491.176 million in 2023[391]. - Gross profit for 2024 was $187.504 million, compared to $167.563 million in 2023, reflecting a gross margin improvement[391]. - Net loss for 2024 was $30.504 million, which is a 38% increase from the net loss of $22.036 million in 2023[391]. - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $82.032 million in 2024 from $56.522 million in 2023, representing a 45% increase[389]. - Total assets grew to $298.400 million in 2024, up from $285.538 million in 2023, indicating a 4% increase[389]. - Total stockholders' equity decreased to $100.909 million in 2024 from $103.276 million in 2023, a decline of 2%[389]. - Research and development expenses rose to $73.183 million in 2024, up from $68.647 million in 2023, marking a 7% increase[391]. - Operating expenses totaled $222.396 million in 2024, compared to $192.466 million in 2023, reflecting a 16% increase[391]. - The company reported a basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.31 for 2024, compared to $0.24 in 2023[391]. - Cash flows from operating activities provided $51,306,000 in 2024, an increase from $38,302,000 in 2023[395]. Revenue and Customer Concentration - One customer accounted for 43% of total revenue in 2024, highlighting a concentration risk in revenue sources[411]. - Revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, totaled $510.9 million, an increase from $491.2 million in 2023, with the Americas contributing $266.1 million, EMEA $220.8 million, and APAC $24.0 million[462]. - Revenue from the United States decreased to $256.7 million in 2024 from $299.4 million in 2023, a decline of 14.2%[523]. - Revenue from Spain increased significantly to $137.7 million in 2024, up 20.9% from $113.8 million in 2023[523]. Financing and Capital Requirements - The company anticipates needing additional financing to meet future long-term capital requirements[16]. - The company has a three-year revolving credit facility of up to $45 million, maturing on November 14, 2027[403]. - The company has a new revolving credit facility of up to $45.0 million, maturing on November 14, 2027, with an unused borrowing capacity of $45.0 million as of December 31, 2024[475]. Tax and Deferred Assets - The company recorded a valuation allowance against U.S. federal and state deferred tax assets, indicating no anticipated realization of these benefits[448]. - The effective tax rate for 2024 was impacted by a change in valuation allowance, which was $112.9 million, up from $102.0 million in 2023[510]. - The net deferred tax assets as of December 31, 2024, were $1.285 million, slightly up from $1.272 million in 2023[510]. - As of December 31, 2024, the total amount of unrecognized tax benefits was $4.5 million, up from $3.6 million in 2023[513]. Stock-Based Compensation and Employee Incentives - Stock-based compensation expense increased to $68,657,000 in 2024 from $47,948,000 in 2023[395]. - The total intrinsic value of RSUs vested in 2024 was $51.4 million, an increase from $38.9 million in 2023 and $41.4 million in 2022[499]. - The total intrinsic value of PSUs vested in 2024 was $55.0 million, significantly higher than $17.7 million in 2023 and $4.8 million in 2022[502]. - The company recognized a total of $12.6 million in executive and employee bonuses through restricted stock units in 2024, compared to $13.5 million in 2023 and $8.7 million in 2022[505]. - The company granted 3,905 thousand RSUs in 2024 with a weighted average grant date fair value of $10.99 per share[499]. Operational Metrics and Future Outlook - The company expects fluctuations in its results of operations on a quarterly and annual basis, which could impact stock price[14]. - The backlog as of December 31, 2024, was $33.5 million, expected to be recognized as revenue over the next six months[458]. - Total estimated revenue expected to be recognized in the future related to unsatisfied performance obligations was $29.5 million as of December 31, 2024, compared to $18.8 million in 2023[456]. - The company performs an annual goodwill impairment assessment at the reporting unit level, with qualitative and quantitative factors considered to assess impairment likelihood[420]. Lease and Commitment Obligations - Operating lease expenses were $5.3 million, $5.9 million, and $7.1 million for the years ended December 31, 2024, 2023, and 2022, respectively[481]. - The total future lease payments amount to $28.6 million, with net payments expected to be $18.5 million after sublease payments[484]. - As of December 31, 2024, the company had $25.3 million in non-cancelable purchase commitments with suppliers, expected to be paid over the next twelve months[486]. Research and Development - Research and development costs are expensed as incurred, emphasizing the company's strategy to invest in innovation without deferring costs[437].

Revenue Growth - Annual recurring revenue (ARR) ended at $257.3 million, growing 22.5% year over year[1] - Full year service revenue reached $243.0 million, an increase of 20.8% year over year[1] - Q4 service revenue was $64.1 million, up 14.7% year over year, accounting for 53% of total revenues[5] - Total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $510.886 million, an increase of 4.3% compared to $491.176 million in 2023[24] - Total revenue for the quarter was $121,572,000, a decrease from $137,667,000 in the previous quarter, reflecting a decline of 11.7%[36] Profitability Metrics - Record Q4 GAAP service gross margin of 81.2% and non-GAAP service gross margin of 81.7%, each up 730 basis points year over year[5] - Gross profit for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $187.504 million, resulting in a gross margin of 36.7%, up from 34.1% in 2023[24] - Non-GAAP gross profit for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was $192,273 thousand, up from $171,701 thousand in the previous year, representing an increase of 11.9%[29] - Non-GAAP operating income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was $37,865 thousand, significantly higher than $24,957 thousand in the previous year, indicating a growth of 51.6%[29] - Non-GAAP net income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was $42,253 thousand, up from $27,824 thousand in the previous year, reflecting a growth of 52.0%[31] Cash Flow and Financial Position - Free cash flow (FCF) for the full year was $48.6 million, up 37% year over year, with an FCF margin of 9.5%[5] - Cash and cash equivalents increased to $82.032 million as of December 31, 2024, from $60.653 million at the beginning of the period[26] - Cash flows from operating activities for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $51.306 million, compared to $38.302 million in 2023[26] - Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments increased to $151,451,000 from $146,574,000 in the previous quarter, reflecting a growth of 1.9%[34] Accounts and Subscriptions - Cumulative paid accounts increased to 4.6 million, growing 63.5% year over year[5] - Cumulative registered accounts grew to 10,823,000, compared to 10,383,000 in the previous quarter, representing a 4.2% increase[34] - Cumulative paid accounts rose to 4,599,000, up from 4,235,000 in the previous quarter, marking an increase of 8.6%[35] Expenses and Liabilities - Operating expenses for the year ended December 31, 2024, totaled $222.396 million, an increase from $192.466 million in 2023[24] - Research and development expenses for the year ended December 31, 2024, were $73.183 million, compared to $68.647 million in 2023[24] - The company had a total of $197.491 million in liabilities as of December 31, 2024, an increase from $182.262 million in 2023[22] - Total GAAP operating expenses for the three months ended December 31, 2024, were $50,882 thousand, compared to $53,869 thousand in the previous quarter, showing a decrease of 5.8%[29] Strategic Initiatives - The launch of AI-driven Arlo Secure 5.0 generated more premium subscriber additions than any other platform launch in the company's history[2] - Executed a share buyback program repurchasing $4.4 million of shares at an average price of $11.67[8] - Announced a strategic partnership with Origin AI to become the exclusive global provider of advanced security solutions[8] Future Outlook - First quarter 2025 revenue outlook is projected between $114 million and $124 million[8]

Core Insights - Arlo Technologies has expanded its partnership with Samsung SmartThings to enhance smart home security capabilities for users, integrating features from Arlo Secure 5 into the SmartThings platform [1][2] - The update, set to release in spring 2025, aims to provide users with more control and convenience in managing their smart home security [2] Company Overview - Arlo Technologies is recognized as a leader in smart home security, focusing on advanced solutions that protect homes, businesses, and personal spaces [4] - The company utilizes AI and computer vision technology to deliver a seamless security experience, allowing users to monitor their properties effectively [4][5] New Features - The integration will include two-way audio between SmartThings and Arlo devices, event snapshots for improved visibility, and AI-powered object detection to identify people, vehicles, and packages [7] - These features are designed to enhance user experience by providing more detailed alerts and enabling faster security decisions [2][7] Strategic Goals - The collaboration reflects a commitment to innovation and user experience, with both companies aiming to make smart home technology more accessible and secure [2][6] - Arlo's mission emphasizes user privacy and data protection, ensuring that personal information remains secure while enhancing security capabilities [5]

Core Viewpoint - Arlo Technologies has partnered with RapidSOS to enhance emergency response capabilities through video verification, providing first responders with critical information and reducing false alarms [1][4][5]. Group 1: Partnership Details - The collaboration allows RapidSOS Safety Agents to access live footage from Arlo cameras, enabling them to assess situations before escalating to 911 [2][5]. - This integration aims to streamline emergency response by providing accurate, actionable information to first responders, improving the effectiveness of assistance during emergencies [2][5][6]. Group 2: Technology and Features - Arlo Secure Premium users will benefit from enhanced emergency response features, including real-time video verification and critical detail transmission to first responders [5][8]. - RapidSOS has powered over 600 million emergency responses and covers 99% of the U.S., showcasing its extensive reach and reliability in emergency situations [5][11]. Group 3: Company Commitment - Arlo's CEO emphasized the company's commitment to innovation and user safety, indicating ongoing development of advanced features in collaboration with RapidSOS [4][6]. - The partnership reflects Arlo's dedication to providing a seamless and smart security experience for users, enhancing their ability to protect life and property [7][10].