U.S. small caps climbed to fresh record highs Tuesday as traders nearly fully priced in a Federal Reserve rate cut at Wednesday's policy meeting.SLV ETF is up 110% year-to-date. Check live prices here.By 12:30 p.m. in New York, the Russell 2000 rose 0.6% to 2,540, extending its breakout as investors rotated into small caps and other rate-sensitive sectors.The CME FedWatch tool showed a 90% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at the Dec. 10 meeting, while Polymarket odds were even firmer at 95%, signaling broad c ...

Macro Environment - The current macroeconomic environment is seen as an inflection point, with expectations of a shift in Federal Reserve policy that could lead to lower interest rates, which would benefit various sectors, particularly housing and small-cap stocks [1][2][4]. Housing Market - High interest rates are currently stifling the housing market, with builders expressing that a reduction in rates could significantly enhance their ability to construct more affordable housing [3][4]. - Companies like Open Door and Better Homes are viewed as potential long-term investment opportunities, despite recent declines in their stock prices [12][13]. Small-Cap Stocks - Small-cap stocks, particularly in the tech and healthcare sectors, are expected to benefit from increased liquidity as the Fed eases monetary policy. Companies like Iron and Cipher are highlighted as having strong fundamentals despite recent market volatility [7][8]. - The small-cap company BTQ, which is working on a cure for type 1 diabetes, is noted for its promising early results and potential for significant market growth [9][10]. Investment Strategy - The investment philosophy emphasizes the importance of holding onto stocks during periods of volatility, as significant price recoveries can occur when market conditions improve [8]. - The focus is on investing in companies with strong leadership and innovative business models, such as Open Door, which aims to disrupt the traditional real estate market by providing a more affordable and efficient home buying process [15].

Corporate Sector Focus - U.S. corporate sectors sensitive to interest rates are in focus as the Federal Reserve is poised to lower borrowing costs for the first time this year, following hints from Chair Jerome Powell [1][2] - Traders have priced in a 25 basis points rate cut and expect two more cuts by the end of 2025, contributing to record highs in U.S. stock markets, particularly in technology and bank stocks [2] Small Caps - Small-cap companies rely heavily on external borrowing, and lower borrowing costs will increase their available capital, allowing them to refinance existing debt more cheaply [3] - The Russell 2000 small cap index has rallied over 5% since Powell's comments on August 22, although it remains below its record high from November 2021 [4] Banks - The banking sector faces a complex situation; while lenders benefit from rising interest rates, increased competition for deposits may lead to higher funding costs, impacting profits [5] - The spread between two-year and 10-year Treasury notes reached its steepest since April but has reversed some gains recently due to soft labor market data [6] - The KBW regional banking index has gained about 1.4% since Powell's dovish comments, while the S&P 500 banks index has increased nearly 5% [6] Growth Stocks - Interest rate cuts are expected to boost growth and technology stocks, as lower rates enhance the present value of future earnings, benefiting companies anticipated to grow at an above-average rate [7]