Core Insights - Bunge Global's stock surged over 11% following the Trump administration's threat to halt U.S. purchases of Chinese cooking oil, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical trade tensions [1] - The company is a leading player in soybean processing and cooking oil production, with year-to-date stock gains of approximately 18% [1] Group 1: Trade Relations and Impact - President Trump indicated the U.S. is contemplating terminating business with China regarding cooking oil as a response to China's refusal to purchase U.S. soybeans, which has not occurred since May [2] - China, previously the largest buyer of American soybeans, has shifted its purchases to Argentina and Brazil due to high tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [2] - The U.S. accounted for 43% of China's used cooking oil exports last year, highlighting the significance of this trade relationship [3] Group 2: Company Performance and Forecast - Bunge provided a full-year earnings forecast of $7.30 to $7.60 per share, excluding items, which is slightly above analysts' expectations of $7.39 per share, indicating stronger performance than anticipated [5] - The forecast reflects the company's recent merger with grain and oilseeds processor Viterra, suggesting potential growth and consolidation in the industry [5] Group 3: Broader Trade Tensions - Recent escalations in trade tensions include Trump's threat of an additional 100% tariff on Chinese imports following China's new export controls on rare earth minerals [4] - China has also imposed sanctions on five U.S. subsidiaries from South Korea's Hanwha Group, further complicating the trade landscape [4]