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Academy Sports and Outdoors: Staying Neutral Until There Is More Near-Term Outlook Clarity
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-06-12 07:14
Core Viewpoint - Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASO) is given a hold rating due to concerns about the near-term outlook despite positive execution in store expansion, premium brand partnerships, and traction with higher-income customers [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company shows encouraging execution on store expansion and premium brand partnerships [1] - There is a noted increase in traction with higher-income customers [1] Group 2: Market Challenges - Weakness is observed among core lower-income consumers, which poses a risk to the company's performance [1] - Inventory risks and macroeconomic uncertainties are highlighted as significant concerns for the company [1]
Academy(ASO) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-10 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q1 2025 were $1,350 million, down 0.9% year-over-year, resulting in a negative 3.7% comparable sales (comp) [11][25] - Operating income was $69.3 million, with diluted EPS at $0.68 and adjusted EPS at $0.76 [30] - Gross margin improved to 34%, a 60 basis point increase from the previous year, driven by merchandise margin expansion [28][29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Footwear and apparel were the strongest categories, with athletic footwear posting a positive 4.5% comp, driven by brands like Nike and Brooks [26][27] - Outdoor category saw low single-digit declines primarily due to softer sales in ammunition, while fishing and firearms performed well [12][28] - E-commerce channel experienced a positive 10% comp for the quarter, with significant contributions from the Jordan brand [25][16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Increased foot traffic from customers with household incomes over $100,000, indicating a shift towards value-seeking behavior [10][37] - The company noted a sequential improvement in sales throughout the quarter, with April finishing positively after a slow February [11][44] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on reducing exposure to products made in China, aiming to decrease this from 9% to approximately 6% by year-end [8][10] - New store expansion remains a key growth engine, with plans to open 20 to 25 new stores in 2025 [14][15] - The company is leveraging technology, including RFID and handheld devices, to improve inventory accuracy and customer experience [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about navigating the current tariff environment while maintaining value for customers [5][24] - The company anticipates continued pressure on consumer spending due to inflation but believes its value proposition will attract more customers [24][108] - Guidance for 2025 was updated to reflect a range of sales outcomes based on potential tariff scenarios, with expected sales between $5.97 billion and $6.26 billion [35][36] Other Important Information - The company returned over $100 million of free cash flow to investors in Q1, including share repurchases and dividends [33] - Strategic investments in digital and supply chain technologies are expected to normalize SG&A expenses as the year progresses [30][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Retention of higher-income consumers - Management noted that higher-income consumers are shopping more frequently and are retaining their loyalty, shopping across various product categories [40][41] Question: Performance in May and comp trends - May showed a slight decline in sales, but management remains optimistic about Q2 due to upcoming shopping events like Father's Day [44][45] Question: Impact of weather and consumer health - Management indicated that weather had a significant impact on sales, particularly in basketball and golf, and noted that consumers are cautious in their spending [94][50] Question: Tariff outlook for FY26 - Management emphasized the importance of diversifying sourcing to mitigate future tariff impacts, but specifics on the tariff situation remain uncertain [79][80] Question: Gross margin guidance - Management explained that gross margin guidance remains unchanged due to strategic inventory management and partnerships with suppliers to mitigate cost increases [54][56]