Casella Waste Systems (NasdaqGS:CWST) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 31, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker5Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Casella Waste Systems, Inc. Q3 2025 conference call. At this time, all participants are in the listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press Star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdr ...

RUTLAND, Vt., Oct. 30, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CWST), a regional solid waste, recycling and resource management services company, today reported its financial results for the three and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2025. Key Highlights: Revenues were $485.4 million for the quarter, up $73.7 million, or up 17.9%, from the same period in 2024.Solid waste pricing for the quarter was up 4.6% from the same period in 2024, with 4.7% collection price growth and 4.6% d ...

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Core Insights - Waste Management (WM) reported a 19% non-GAAP operating EBITDA growth in Q2 2025, contributing over half of the year-over-year increase in operating EBITDA [3][14] - The company achieved a total operating EBITDA margin of nearly 30% for Q2 2025, approaching historical best levels despite a negative impact from the expiration of the alternative fuel tax credit [3][27] - Management confirmed an upward revision of non-GAAP free cash flow guidance for 2025 to between $2.8 billion and $2.9 billion, with a total of $1.29 billion in free cash flow delivered in the first half of 2025 [4][31] Financial Performance - Collection and disposal operating EBITDA margin improved by 60 basis points to 37.9% in Q2 2025, supported by strong landfill volumes and targeted asset investments [3][21] - The legacy business achieved a 130 basis point improvement in operating EBITDA margin, reaching 31.3% in Q2 2025 [7][27] - Free cash flow for the first half of 2025 was $1.29 billion, with capital expenditures totaling $1.56 billion [7][30] Operational Efficiency - The operating expense ratio set a record in Q2 2025, remaining below 60% of revenue due to technological integration and process discipline [3][22] - Turnover for drivers and technicians improved by 370 basis points to 18.8% in Q2 2025, indicating progress in workforce stability [3][24] - The company completed a regional solid waste acquisition in the Washington, D.C. area, with full-year acquisition spending expected to exceed $500 million [7][15] Sustainability and Growth - Recycling operating EBITDA grew by 17% in Q2 2025, despite a nearly 15% decline in recycled commodity prices [7][16] - 90% of 2025 renewable gas off-take is locked, with an average RIN price of $2.55 in Q2 2025, exceeding market expectations [7][62] - The integration of WM Healthcare Solutions is on track to achieve the upper end of the $80-$100 million synergy target for 2025, with a 190 basis point improvement in operating EBITDA margin since acquisition [7][18] Market Trends - Collection and disposal volume grew by 1.6% in Q2 2025, influenced by wildfire cleanup efforts, while the loss of a large franchise contract negatively impacted residential and commercial volumes [3][21] - The company maintains annual volume guidance, projecting full-year volume growth between 0.25% and 0.75% [3][32] - The strength of the sustainability platform continues to distinguish WM in the industry, aligning with key secular drivers of circularity and energy demand [7][16]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of resilience investing in the face of inflation and potential recession, focusing on companies with strong financial health and diversified income streams [1] Johnson & Johnson - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is highlighted as a defensive investment within the stable healthcare sector, with a diversified business model that includes Innovative Medicine and MedTech [2] - JNJ's financial health is reinforced by its AAA credit rating, shared only with Microsoft among US companies [2] - The company reported a revenue of $88.821 billion in 2024, a 4.3% increase from the previous year, with adjusted net earnings of $24.242 billion [3] - JNJ's Innovative Medicine segment saw a 5.7% operational growth in 2024, while the MedTech segment achieved 6.2% operational growth [4] - The stock forecast for JNJ indicates a current price of $162.94 with a 12-month target of $171.33, reflecting a potential upside of 5.15% [3][4] Microsoft - Microsoft (MSFT) demonstrates resilience through its transition to a recurring revenue model, primarily via cloud services, allowing it to navigate economic challenges effectively [5] - The company reported total revenue of $69.6 billion in Q2 2025, a 12% year-over-year increase, with cloud revenue reaching $40.9 billion, up 21% [6] - Microsoft's AI business has surpassed an annual revenue run rate of $13 billion, showing a remarkable 175% year-over-year growth [6] - The stock forecast for MSFT shows a current price of $388.56 with a 12-month target of $510.43, indicating a potential upside of 31.36% [6][7] Waste Management - Waste Management (WM) is presented as a resilient company due to the essential nature of its services, providing stable revenue regardless of economic conditions [8] - The company reported revenue of $22.063 billion in 2024, an 8.0% increase from the previous year, with adjusted operating EBITDA of $6.563 billion [9] - WM is projected to see revenue growth of 16.4% and adjusted operating EBITDA growth of 15.0% in 2025 [9] - The stock forecast for WM indicates a current price of $225.06 with a 12-month target of $236.65, reflecting a potential upside of 5.15% [9][10] Resilience Investing - The article concludes that resilience investing is not limited to a single industry, but rather focuses on identifying companies with strong financials, diversified revenue streams, and adaptability to market changes [11]

Company Overview - Casella Waste Systems has significantly outperformed major stocks like Tesla, Strategy, and Amazon, with a $10,000 investment in Casella now worth $269,000, reflecting a nearly 2,600% increase over the last 10 years [2][3] - The company operates in the waste management sector, providing residential and commercial garbage services across 10 states, primarily in the New England region [4] Financial Performance - In 2024, Casella generated $962 million in revenue from trash collection, marking a 35% year-over-year increase, with this segment accounting for 62% of total revenue [5] - The company has pursued a growth strategy through mergers and acquisitions, acquiring 29 companies for $1.4 billion over the past three years [10] Market Position and Strategy - Casella's business model is resilient to economic downturns, as garbage collection remains necessary regardless of economic conditions [7] - The company has a competitive advantage due to its limited number of landfills, which are valuable assets in its operational territory [8] Growth Potential - Future growth for Casella is expected to come from continued acquisitions and improvements in profitability through operational efficiencies [10][11] - The company signs long-term contracts in its service areas, providing a predictable revenue stream and potential for low-single-digit growth through price increases [9] Valuation Considerations - Currently, Casella's stock is trading at a slightly higher-than-normal valuation, and a 15% pullback could present a more attractive buying opportunity [12] - Market corrections often lead to stable companies like Casella being available at discounted prices, with historical pullbacks of around 20% during such events [13][14]