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AI Wrecking Ball: What's Next For AI Stocks and Market?
See It Market· 2026-02-18 16:01
Core Insights - The article discusses the phenomenon termed the "AI Scare Trade," where stocks in various industries drop significantly at the hint of potential disruption from AI technologies [1][5]. Industry Impact - Recent weeks have seen the AI wrecking ball affect multiple sectors, including wealth services, real estate, insurance, rating agencies, and trucking, with notable stock price declines: S&P and Moody's down -25% and -20% respectively, and Raymond James down -10% following the announcement of a financial planning AI tool [2]. - In the trucking industry, Algorhythm Holdings reported a 300% to 400% increase in freight volumes without adding headcount, leading to substantial market capitalization losses for truck transport shares [4]. Market Reactions - The market's reaction to AI-related news appears to be overblown, with short-term drops of -5% to -20% in various stocks, driven by retail investors and algorithmic trading [5]. - The divergence in market performance is notable, with the current level of performance dispersion among index members resembling that seen during market sell-offs, despite the overall market indices being only slightly down from their all-time highs [8][9]. Investment Considerations - Concerns are rising regarding the return on investment for hyperscalers investing heavily in AI infrastructure, as evidenced by the increase in credit default swaps for Oracle from 40 bps to 160 bps [6]. - The market may be pricing in excessive doom and gloom based on isolated headlines, suggesting that while disruption is likely, it may not be as catastrophic as currently anticipated [7][11].