三代电子布

Search documents
特种电子布:PCB最紧缺环节,强景气和稀缺性共振
2025-08-26 15:02
Summary of Special Electronic Fabric Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The special electronic fabric industry is experiencing strong demand growth, particularly in the PCB (Printed Circuit Board) segment, driven by new applications and technological advancements [1][7]. Demand Forecast - **First Generation Low Dielectric Electronic Fabric**: - Demand is projected to reach approximately 92.4 million square meters in 2025, increasing to 145 million square meters in 2026 [1][4]. - **Second Generation Electronic Fabric**: - Expected demand of around 13.2 million square meters in 2025, growing to 26 million square meters in 2026 [1][4]. - **Third Generation Electronic Fabric**: - Demand is contingent on the application of specific copper-clad laminates, with an estimated 10 million meters by 2026 if certain companies adopt the new technology [1][4]. Demand Validation - Monthly demand for first-generation electronic fabric is expected to rise from 5 million meters at the end of 2024 to 10 million meters by the end of 2025, aligning closely with the forecast of 93 million meters for the year [1][5]. Market Pricing and Scale - Current market prices are approximately: - First Generation: 30 RMB/meter - Second Generation: 120-130 RMB/meter - Third Generation: 260 RMB/meter (300-400 RMB/meter overseas) [1][6]. - The market size for special electronic fabric is projected to be around 4.4 billion RMB in 2025, increasing to 10 billion RMB in 2026 [1][6]. Demand Characteristics - The demand for special electronic fabric is characterized by steep growth due to emerging applications, such as NVIDIA's adoption of advanced fabric solutions, which may prompt other manufacturers to follow suit [1][7]. - There is a tendency for downstream manufacturers to overprepare capacity, leading to amplified demand for electronic fabric [1][7]. Supply Chain Insights - **First Generation Low Dielectric Glass Fiber Fabric**: - Supply is tight, with overseas suppliers accounting for 50%. Major domestic players include China National Materials and Linzhou Guangyuan, with plans for capacity expansion [2][9]. - **Second Generation Electronic Fabric**: - Despite many production plans, actual output remains limited due to low yield rates, maintaining a tight supply-demand balance through 2026 [2][11]. - **Third Generation Electronic Fabric**: - The market is expected to grow significantly, with existing players expanding production capabilities to meet high demand [10][12]. Procurement Trends - Downstream manufacturers are preemptively purchasing third-generation electronic fabric to mitigate future demand shocks, leading to current supply shortages [8][10]. Competitive Landscape - Key players in the special electronic fabric sector include China National Materials, Feilihua, and Honghe Technology, each with distinct advantages and growth potential [16]. Conclusion - The special electronic fabric industry is poised for significant growth driven by technological advancements and increasing demand across various applications, with supply constraints likely to persist in the near term.