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在美国,打工人越老越吃香,22-25岁新人最先被AI淘汰
机器之心· 2025-08-30 04:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of AI on the labor market, particularly focusing on the employment trends of young workers in high AI exposure jobs, revealing a significant decline in their employment rates while older workers in the same fields see growth [2][4][5]. Summary by Sections AI's Impact on Employment - AI's rapid advancement has led to debates about its potential to replace human labor, especially in software engineering and customer service roles [2]. - A study from Stanford's Digital Economy Lab analyzed ADP data, indicating that young workers (ages 22-25) in high AI exposure jobs are experiencing a notable decline in employment rates [4]. Key Findings from the Research - The first key finding shows that in high AI exposure jobs, the employment rate for young workers has significantly decreased, while older workers in the same roles have seen stable or increasing employment trends [4]. - The second finding indicates that overall employment remains strong, but young workers' employment growth has stagnated since late 2022. Specifically, from late 2022 to July 2025, employment for 22-25-year-olds in high AI exposure jobs dropped by 6%, while older workers' employment grew by 6%-9% [5][20]. - The third finding reveals that not all AI applications lead to job losses. In roles where AI enhances rather than automates tasks, young workers' employment has actually increased [5][23]. Reasons for Young Workers' Vulnerability - The article suggests that young workers are more vulnerable to AI replacement due to their reliance on procedural knowledge, which AI can easily replicate, compared to older workers who possess more tacit knowledge gained through experience [6]. - AI expert Geoffrey Hinton has expressed concerns that entry-level jobs in fields like call centers and routine programming are at high risk of being replaced by AI [7]. Employment Trends Visualization - Data visualizations indicate that the employment rate for the youngest workers has significantly declined since 2022, with a nearly 20% drop for software developers aged 22-25 by July 2025 [9]. - Employment trends across different age groups show that while younger workers face stagnation, older workers continue to experience growth, particularly in low AI exposure roles [17][20].