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Canalys:预计2026年折叠屏智能手机出货量将实现同比激增51% 并将持续带动2027年的市场动能
智通财经网· 2025-09-12 03:37
Core Insights - Despite recent positive responses to new foldable devices, global foldable smartphone shipments are expected to remain flat at approximately 15.2 million units for the year, with 2026 anticipated to be a turning point for growth [1][4] - The foldable smartphone market is projected to see a significant year-on-year increase of 51% in shipments by 2026, driven by intensified competition and more affordable clamshell models [1] - The foldable smartphone segment remains a niche market, accounting for only 1.0-1.5% of global shipments, but it holds substantial strategic value and revenue potential for manufacturers [8][10] Market Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, global shipments of foldable smartphones are expected to remain stable at around 6.6 million units, with China showing a notable growth of 32.8%, primarily driven by Huawei's Mate and Pura X series [4] - The U.S. market, while growing at a more modest rate of 7%, is led by the Motorola Razr 2025 series [4] - The foldable smartphone market is characterized by a low single-digit percentage of the overall smartphone market, raising questions about its role in manufacturers' business strategies [4] Innovation and Strategy - Foldable smartphones serve as a testbed for hardware innovation and brand differentiation, allowing manufacturers to showcase their technological leadership and engineering capabilities [7] - The average selling price (ASP) of foldable devices is significantly higher than standard smartphones, with book-style foldables priced 289% higher and clamshell models 123% higher than traditional devices [13][16] - Samsung's Galaxy Z Fold7, priced at approximately $1,899, generates revenue equivalent to about 15 entry-level Galaxy A06 4G devices, highlighting the high revenue potential of foldable devices [10] Consumer Perception and Adoption - A consumer study indicated that while 96% of respondents are aware of foldable smartphones, nearly 40% expressed disinterest, often due to budget constraints or unmet needs [11][13] - The adoption of foldable smartphones faces challenges related to user interaction and the need for behavioral changes, as consumers must rethink how they engage with their devices [13] - Manufacturers are exploring enterprise applications for foldable devices, emphasizing productivity advantages in professional settings, such as multitasking and document editing [14] Future Outlook - The foldable smartphone market is expected to evolve, with manufacturers needing to address barriers to adoption and enhance consumer experiences through innovative retail strategies [11][14] - The focus on high-end markets and brand differentiation will continue to drive the strategic importance of foldable devices, even as they remain a small segment of overall smartphone sales [15]
2026年,折叠屏智能手机迎来关键年
Canalys· 2025-09-12 03:03
Core Insights - The foldable smartphone market is experiencing a wave of new releases in 2025, with manufacturers addressing concerns about device thickness and weight through advanced engineering technologies [1][4] - Despite increased competition, global shipments of foldable smartphones remained stable at around 6.6 million units in the first half of 2025, with a notable 32.8% year-on-year growth in the Chinese market [4] - The foldable smartphone segment is expected to see significant growth in 2026, with a projected 51% year-on-year increase in shipments, driven by intensified competition and more affordable flip models [4][12] Market Dynamics - The foldable smartphone category remains a niche market, accounting for only 1.0-1.5% of global shipments, but its revenue contribution and strategic value are disproportionately high [7][11] - Samsung's product strategy exemplifies this, as its Galaxy Z Fold7 generates revenue equivalent to approximately 15 entry-level Galaxy A06 4G devices, highlighting the high average selling price (ASP) of foldable devices [11] Consumer Perception and Adoption Challenges - A consumer study revealed that while 96% of respondents are aware of foldable smartphones, nearly 40% expressed disinterest, primarily due to budget constraints or unmet needs [12][14] - Key challenges for broader adoption include changing consumer behavior, high pricing, and the need for effective marketing strategies that emphasize user experience and trust [14][12] Strategic Implications for Manufacturers - Foldable smartphones are becoming a strategic lever for manufacturers to drive high-end branding, differentiation, and long-term profitability, despite their limited market scale [11][7] - Companies are exploring enterprise applications for foldable devices, positioning them as productivity tools rather than mere consumer novelties [14][12]