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华泰证券(601688):自营高增贡献良多、期待资负梳理下资金业务动能-20250430
CMS· 2025-04-30 15:40
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.50 CNY, indicating a potential upside of approximately 22% from the current price of 16.05 CNY [8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 8.23 billion CNY in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 35% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.64 billion CNY, up 59% year-on-year and 29% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in the market, which has driven growth in proprietary trading, alongside a restructuring of its asset-liability management and a decrease in interest expenses due to lower funding costs [4][8]. - The brokerage business showed a strong performance with revenues of 1.94 billion CNY in Q1 2025, a 43% increase year-on-year, although it decreased by 22% quarter-on-quarter. The average daily trading volume for equity funds was 1.7465 trillion CNY, up 71% year-on-year [2][8]. Summary by Sections Overall Overview - The company reported total assets of 823.3 billion CNY as of Q1 2025, a 1% increase from the beginning of the year. The return on equity (ROE) was 8.4%, up 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, with a slight increase in operating leverage to 3.36 times [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue contributions from various business segments in Q1 2025 were as follows: proprietary trading (37%), brokerage (26%), credit (13%), asset management (11%), investment banking (7%), and others (6%). Year-on-year changes in these segments were +4%, +2%, +9%, +2%, -3%, and -14% respectively [1]. Fee-based Business - The investment banking segment faced challenges, with revenues of 540 million CNY in Q1 2025, down 6% year-on-year and 27% quarter-on-quarter. The company’s market share in IPO fundraising was 9.26%, ranking third, while it improved its position in refinancing to fifth place with a market share of 6.53% [2][8]. Asset Management - The asset management revenue was 420 million CNY in Q1 2025, a significant decline of 62% year-on-year, primarily due to the sale of AssetMark in Q4 2024. However, the non-monetary scale of its affiliated funds showed growth, with Southern Fund and Huatai-PineBridge Fund increasing by 18% and 58% respectively [3][8]. Funding Business - Proprietary trading revenue reached 2.76 billion CNY in Q1 2025, a 47% increase year-on-year and a 12% increase quarter-on-quarter. The net interest income was 960 million CNY, up 319% year-on-year, while interest expenses decreased by 33% year-on-year [4][8].