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国元证券-双环传动-002472-2025年度半年报点评:主营业务持续成长,新兴业态空间在望-250830
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-30 17:25
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.229 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.16%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 577 million yuan, an increase of 22.02% [1] - The core business showed resilience with an 11.56% year-on-year growth when excluding the impact of the steel business exit, indicating a high-quality development trajectory [2] Revenue and Profitability - The company's gross margin and net margin reached 27.06% and 14.54%, respectively, marking the highest levels in the past five years [2] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 555 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.54% [1][2] Business Segment Performance - The commercial vehicle segment experienced a significant decline in revenue, down 29.72% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base effect from the previous year [3] - However, there was a 23.27% quarter-on-quarter growth in commercial vehicle sales revenue compared to the second half of 2024, indicating potential recovery [3] - Emerging businesses, including robotics and intelligent systems, showed strong growth with increases of 35.66% and 51.73% year-on-year, respectively [3] International Expansion - The company's Hungarian factory construction has been completed, with equipment installation underway, expected to contribute to revenue in the second half of 2025 [4] - The Hungarian base is positioned as a strategic hub for deepening overseas market penetration and building a global operational system [4] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.280 billion, 1.567 billion, and 1.875 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.51, 1.85, and 2.21 yuan [5] - The current price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 24.58, 20.08, and 16.78 times for the respective years, maintaining a "buy" rating [5]