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中粮科工(301058):在手订单持续改善 关注粮仓高质量发展升级
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:50
Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 2.65 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 230 million yuan, up 7.3% year-over-year [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.32 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 32.4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 201.6%, with a net profit of 120 million yuan, up 6.2% year-over-year and 258.8% quarter-over-quarter [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 470 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 32.2%, but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 64.1%, with a net profit of 40 million yuan, up 7.6% year-over-year and down 68.7% quarter-over-quarter [1] Group 2 - The company has seen a trend of improvement in its order backlog, with contract liabilities reaching 842 million yuan by the end of 2024, indicating a strong certainty of revenue growth in the future [2] - In 2024, the company signed new orders totaling 3.871 billion yuan, an increase of 327 million yuan from 2023, representing a year-over-year growth of 9.22% [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing trend of high-standard grain storage construction, supported by national policies promoting the modernization of grain storage and logistics [2] Group 3 - The company's operating performance slightly exceeded expectations, but unexpected credit impairment losses affected overall results, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2026 [3] - The revised profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 290 million yuan, 345 million yuan, and 409 million yuan respectively, with corresponding valuations of 19, 16, and 14 times [3] - The company maintains a rating of "overweight" despite potential risks related to the pace of order conversion and the impact of credit impairment [3]