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古越龙山部分产品最高提价12%,孙爱保“优质优价”逻辑遭质疑,连续四年业绩失约,提价能否迎来价值回归
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-04-03 07:44
Core Viewpoint - The recent price increases by leading yellow wine companies, including Guyue Longshan, have not significantly improved their profitability, highlighting ongoing challenges in the industry. Group 1: Price Increases and Financial Performance - Guyue Longshan announced price increases of 2% to 12% for several products starting April 22, marking its second price hike in less than six months [1] - Despite a revenue increase of 8.55% to 1.936 billion yuan in 2024, net profit fell by 48.17% to 206 million yuan, the largest decline in recent years [1][3] - The company's non-recurring net profit has shown minimal growth over five years, increasing only 10% from 180 million yuan in 2019 to 198 million yuan in 2024 [1][3] Group 2: Profit Margins and Market Position - The gross margins for mid-to-high-end and ordinary wines were 44.32% and 18.58% respectively in 2024, both declining from the previous year [2] - The significant drop in gross margin for ordinary wine is concerning, as this category remains crucial in sales structure [2] - Guyue Longshan's ordinary wine is priced around 10 yuan, significantly lower than the white wine market, limiting the potential for price increases to enhance profitability [2] Group 3: Regional Sales and Market Challenges - The company generated 57.03% of its revenue from the Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai regions, indicating a heavy reliance on this area [4] - The overall yellow wine market is shrinking, with the number of large-scale yellow wine enterprises decreasing from 121 to 81 between 2017 and 2023 [4] - Despite increased marketing efforts, sales performance has not improved proportionately, leading to further profit margin compression [4][6] Group 4: International Expansion and Brand Recognition - Guyue Longshan is attempting to expand into international markets, but its international sales revenue remains stagnant at 42 million yuan [5] - The lack of awareness and cultural acceptance of yellow wine in international markets poses significant challenges for global expansion [5] Group 5: High-End Market Strategy - The company has been pursuing a high-end market strategy, with mid-to-high-end wine revenue reaching 1.398 billion yuan in 2024, a 12.47% increase [7] - However, the high-end yellow wine market faces challenges due to a lack of cultural depth and consumer recognition compared to the white wine sector [7] - Seasonal and regional consumption habits further limit the frequency of high-end yellow wine purchases [7] Group 6: Future Outlook and Strategic Goals - Guyue Longshan has consistently failed to meet its growth targets for four consecutive years, reflecting the challenges of its high-end transformation strategy [8] - The company has lowered its growth targets for 2025 to 6% for sales and 3% for profits, indicating a cautious outlook on industry and company growth prospects [8] - The ongoing struggle to balance price increases, regional expansion, and high-end transformation will be critical for the future of the yellow wine industry [8]