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Is it Time to Hold on to Community Health Systems Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-29 18:16
Core Viewpoint - Community Health Systems, Inc. (CYH) is a stock worth holding due to increasing occupancy rates, revenue per admission, and efforts to streamline operations, positioning the company for steady growth amid rising healthcare demand from an aging U.S. population [1][2] Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on high-return markets to capture rising healthcare demand, with occupancy rates improving to 52.5% in 2024 and averaging 53.4% in the first half of 2025, expected to reach 54.8% by year-end [3] - Revenue per adjusted admission is increasing, which helps to offset softer admission volumes, while the company is divesting non-core assets, including a $260 million sale of Florida hospitals to AdventHealth [4] - The cash flow situation is projected to strengthen, with net operating cash flow forecasted between $600 million and $700 million for 2025, up from $480 million last year [5] Financial Estimates - Analysts predict a significant earnings rebound, with a 67% improvement in 2025 from a loss of $0.34 per share last year, followed by a 45.6% gain in 2026; revenue estimates are $12.4 billion for 2025 and $12.7 billion for 2026 [6] Stock Performance - Despite a 6.4% decline year-to-date, CYH's valuation remains attractive, trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 0.03X, significantly below the industry average of 0.83X, and carries a Value Score of A [7] Key Concerns - The company's balance sheet shows weakness, with cash and cash equivalents of $456 million against long-term debt of $10.8 billion, resulting in a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 8.3%, higher than the industry average of 3.3% [9] - Profitability is also a concern, with a return on invested capital of 6.5% compared to the industry's 13.4%, although a systematic and strategic plan is expected to drive long-term growth [9] Comparisons with Peers - Other better-ranked stocks in the medical space include Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and Encompass Health Corporation (EHC) with a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [10] - Tenet Healthcare is projected to have a 30.8% year-over-year increase in earnings for 2025, while Encompass Health is expected to see an 18.3% year-over-year growth in earnings [12]