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Opendoor’s Epic Comeback: Can an AI Pivot Save This Meme Stock Darling?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-11 15:46
Core Insights - Opendoor Technologies experienced a 17% decline in stock price following the release of third-quarter earnings, which revealed ongoing challenges in its iBuying business [1] - The company reported third-quarter revenue of $915 million, a 33.5% decrease year-over-year, as it prioritized clearing legacy inventory over growth [1][2] - Adjusted losses were $0.12 per share, missing the consensus estimate of $0.07, while net losses increased to $90 million from $78 million a year ago [2] - Gross margins decreased to 7.2% from 11.5%, attributed to pressure from older, lower-quality homes [2] - The fourth-quarter outlook is bleak, with revenue expected to drop approximately 35% sequentially due to limited inventory following a slow buying period [2] - Management has extended profitability targets to breakeven by the end of 2026, indicating a longer recovery path amid a strategic shift towards AI and software [2] Analyst Insights - Following the earnings report, JPMorgan initiated coverage of Opendoor with an Overweight rating and an $8 price target for December 2026, which led to a 21% surge in stock price [3][5] - Analyst Dae Lee noted a "major transformation underway" under new CEO Kaz Nejatian, focusing on volume growth through tighter pricing spreads and faster home turnover [3] - The use of AI for pricing accuracy, workflow automation, and additional services like mortgages and warranties is expected to enhance per-transaction margins [4] - Quarterly home acquisitions are projected to increase by at least 35% sequentially in the fourth quarter, which would help rebuild inventory and improve future results [4][5]