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瑞银:料雅鲁藏布江下游水电项目占内地水利管理全年支出4至6% 料对建设股收入影响有限
智通财经网· 2025-07-23 07:08
Group 1 - UBS maintains a cautiously optimistic view on the construction industry due to policy support for stable growth, potential revaluation of H-shares, and high dividend yields, with target prices set for China Communications Construction (01800) at HKD 6.5 and China Railway (00390) at HKD 4.2 [1] - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced, involving the construction of five hydropower stations with a total investment of approximately RMB 1.2 trillion, with 60-70% of the investment allocated for project construction [1] - The average annual investment for the project is estimated to be between RMB 80 billion and RMB 120 billion, accounting for 0.3% to 0.5% of China's infrastructure investment in 2025, and 4% to 6% of water management investment [1] Group 2 - China Energy Construction (03996) and China Power Construction (601669.SH) are the main contractors for the hydropower stations, while other leading infrastructure companies may participate in auxiliary infrastructure and supporting facilities [2] - The demand for equipment will lean towards medium to large-tonnage machinery due to the project's scale, with specific requirements for high stability and durability in high-altitude, low-temperature environments [2] - The impact of the hydropower project on the revenue of covered companies is expected to be limited, with overall domestic infrastructure activity falling below expectations [2]