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Ferrari Down 17% in 3 Months - Is This a Buy-the-Dip Moment?
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 14:31
Core Insights - Ferrari N.V. has experienced a 17% decline in stock price over the last three months, contrasting with rising shares of major automakers like General Motors and Ford [1][9] - Despite the stock price drop, Ferrari's fundamental growth drivers remain strong, including visibility into future demand, industry-leading profit margins, and a unique business model focused on scarcity rather than volume [3][4] Financial Performance - Ferrari's third-quarter results showcased strong demand for the Purosangue model, contributing to a total of 3,401 units delivered, while maintaining production constraints to ensure rarity [5][6] - The company achieved an impressive EBITDA margin of 37.9% in Q3, significantly higher than typical margins reported by mass-market competitors [7][9] Strategic Approach - Ferrari's strategy emphasizes steady price increases, deepening personalization options, and tightly managing production to maintain scarcity, which has not negatively impacted demand even with a recent 10% price increase for some models [10] - The company has a clean financial structure with little debt and robust free cash flow, allowing for continued investment and shareholder rewards, including a €2 billion buyback program initiated in July 2022 [11][13] Product Pipeline and Market Position - Ferrari maintains a deep order book extending into 2027, supported by plans to launch four new models annually between 2026 and 2030, ensuring product freshness while preserving exclusivity [13] - The company's premium valuation compared to GM and Ford is justified by its pricing power, deep order visibility, high margins, and strong growth expectations, with projected earnings growth of 15.3% and 8.7% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [14][16] Conclusion - Despite recent stock price concerns, Ferrari's fundamentals indicate strong pricing strength, margin leadership, and a disciplined product strategy, positioning it as a durable and premium franchise in the luxury automotive sector [16][17]
CONSISTENT EXECUTION: STRONG Q3 2025 RESULTS
Globenewswire· 2025-11-04 11:22
Core Insights - Ferrari's CEO, Benedetto Vigna, emphasized the company's commitment to sustainable growth and innovation in electric technology, particularly with the Ferrari Elettrica, during the Capital Markets Day [1] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Ferrari reported net revenues of €1,766 million, an increase of 7.4% year-over-year, with total shipments of 3,401 units, reflecting a 1% increase [2][7] - Operating profit (EBIT) for the quarter was €503 million, up 7.6% from the previous year, maintaining an EBIT margin of 28.4% [2][12] - Net profit for Q3 2025 reached €382 million, a 1.8% increase compared to Q3 2024, with diluted EPS at €2.14, up from €2.08 [2][15] Shipment and Product Mix - Total shipments for Q3 2025 were 3,401 units, showing a slight increase of 1% compared to the same period last year [3][4] - The product mix included six internal combustion engine (ICE) models and five hybrid engine models, with ICE models accounting for 57% of total shipments [5][6] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from cars and spare parts was €1,479 million, up 5.6% year-over-year, driven by a richer product mix and increased personalizations [8][9] - Sponsorship, commercial, and brand revenues reached €211 million, a significant increase of 21% year-over-year, attributed to improved sponsorships and lifestyle activities [9] Cost and Cash Flow - EBITDA for Q3 2025 was €670 million, reflecting a 5% increase from the previous year, with an EBITDA margin of 37.9% [11][12] - Industrial free cash flow for the quarter was strong at €365 million, supported by increased EBITDA and effective working capital management [16] Debt and Liquidity - As of September 30, 2025, Ferrari's net industrial debt was €116 million, a significant reduction from €338 million as of June 30, 2025, with total available liquidity at €1,968 million [17] 2025 Guidance - The company revised its 2025 guidance upward during the Capital Markets Day, projecting net revenues of at least €7.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA margin of at least 38.3% [18][19]
Ferrari(RACE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-31 13:00
Q2 2025 Financial Highlights - Net revenues reached approximately €1.8 billion[6], a 4.4% increase compared to Q2 2024[17] - EBITDA stood at €709 million[6], with a margin of 39.1%[15] - Net profit amounted to €425 million[6] - Industrial Free Cash Flow (FCF) surged to €232 million[6], a 90.7% increase from Q2 2024[21] - Diluted earnings per share increased by 3.9% to €2.38[19] Shipments and Regional Performance - Total shipments were 3,494 units in Q2 2025, a slight increase of 0.3% compared to 3,484 units in Q2 2024[11, 16] - EMEA shipments decreased by 9 units, representing 47% of total shipments[23] - Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan saw a decrease of 4 units[23], accounting for 5% of total shipments[27] - Rest of APAC increased by 11 units, making up 17% of total shipments[23] - Americas increased by 12 units, holding steady at 28% of total shipments[23] 2025 Guidance - The company expresses stronger confidence in its 2025 guidance, projecting net revenues greater than €7.0 billion[38], representing a growth of ≥5%[38] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be at least €2.68 billion[38], with a margin of ≥38.3%[38], representing a growth of ≥5%[38] - Adjusted EBIT is projected to be at least €2.03 billion[38], with a margin of ≥29.0%[38], representing a growth of ≥7%[38] - Industrial FCF is expected to be at least €1.20 billion[38], representing a growth of ≥17%[38]