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AMAT to Post Q4 Earnings: Time to Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 18:21
Core Insights - Applied Materials (AMAT) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on November 13, with expected revenues of $6.7 billion, reflecting a 4.8% decline year-over-year [1][8] - The company projects non-GAAP earnings of $2.11 per share, indicating a 9% decrease from the same quarter last year [2][8] - AMAT has a strong earnings surprise history, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 5.6% [3] Revenue and Earnings Projections - For Q4 fiscal 2025, AMAT anticipates revenues of $6.7 billion, with a potential variance of +/- $500 million [1][8] - Non-GAAP EPS is projected at $2.11, with a downward revision of one cent in the past 30 days [2][3] - The Semiconductor Systems segment is expected to benefit from robust demand for leading-edge logic and DRAM technologies [6][8] Market Dynamics and Challenges - The Display and Adjacent Markets segment is likely to see growth due to increased adoption of OLED displays and rising equipment demand from consumer device manufacturers [9] - However, AMAT faces challenges in China, including capacity digestion, pending export license approvals, and trade restrictions, which may impact revenue [9][10] - Persistent tariff pressures and macroeconomic uncertainty are additional headwinds for the company's growth [10] Competitive Landscape - AMAT operates in a competitive environment, facing rivals such as Lam Research, ASML Holding, and KLA Corporation [14][16] - Despite market sell-offs and competition, AMAT maintains a leadership position with superior design wins and is well-positioned to capitalize on the demand for next-generation chips [17][18] Investment Outlook - AMAT is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 4.6X, which is lower than the industry average of 7.51X, indicating a potential investment opportunity [12] - The company is expected to benefit from AI-driven semiconductor demand and has made significant advancements in cutting-edge chip manufacturing [18] - Overall, AMAT's innovation and market positioning suggest it is worth retaining as an investment at this time [19]