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Will Molybdenum Make Lam Research The Next ASML? (NASDAQ:LRCX)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-02 06:20
Core Insights - Lam Research (LRCX) plays a crucial role in the AI supply chain by providing deposition machines such as the ALTUS Halo, which facilitates atomic layer deposition (ALD) for the mass production of molybdenum, transitioning from tungsten [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Lam Research is focused on supplying advanced deposition machines that are essential for the semiconductor manufacturing process, particularly in the context of AI technology [1] Group 2: Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing AI boom, as it supplies critical equipment that supports the production of materials necessary for AI applications [1]
Will ALD and Etch Deal Wins Anchor LRCX's Systems Revenue Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:25
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is experiencing strong momentum in its systems business, with third-quarter fiscal 2025 systems revenues reaching $3.04 billion, a 15.6% sequential increase and a 27% year-over-year growth, contributing approximately 64% of total revenues [2][11] Group 1: Business Performance - The growth in systems revenue is driven by advanced products that cater to next-generation memory and logic technologies, particularly the Striker SPARC atomic layer deposition (ALD) tool, which has secured multiple wins in spacer applications [3] - The ALTUS Halo system is gaining traction, supporting barrierless atomic layer deposition of molybdenum, which reduces resistance in interconnect layers by 50% compared to legacy technologies, crucial for high I/O performance in 3D NAND for AI workloads [4] - The Akara system is also gaining traction with major DRAM customers, enhancing etch selectivity and precision, which aligns with Lam Research's long-term DRAM roadmaps [5] Group 2: Future Outlook - Lam Research projects fourth-quarter revenues to be approximately $5.0 billion (±$300 million), while management remains cautious about macroeconomic factors that could affect customer spending trends [6] - The strong adoption of Striker, Halo, and Akara, along with rising demand for advanced NAND and DRAM nodes, positions Lam Research's systems business for long-term growth [6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Applied Materials and ASML Holding are also witnessing strong momentum, with Applied Materials projecting over 40% revenue growth from advanced DRAM customers in fiscal 2025, driven by investments in DDR5 and high-bandwidth memory [7] - ASML Holding reported that 42% of its net system sales came from memory, highlighting strong customer demand for its products [8] Group 4: Valuation and Estimates - Lam Research's shares have gained 40.8% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's growth of 14.1% [9] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Lam Research is 25.34, significantly below the industry's average of 33.24 [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lam Research's fiscal 2026 earnings has been revised upward to $4 per share, indicating flat growth compared to fiscal 2025 [16]
Lam Research Bets Big on ALD and Dry EUV: Will This Pay Off?
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 16:30
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is focusing on atomic layer deposition (ALD) and dry EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) resist processing technologies as chips become smaller and more complex [1][9] - The company reported strong demand for its Striker SPARC ALD and ALTUS Halo systems in Q3 of fiscal 2025, particularly in NAND for AI and high-speed memory applications [1][9] - Lam Research is making progress in dry EUV technology, which is gaining traction among DRAM and foundry customers [2] Company Performance - LRCX is experiencing strong growth in foundry and NAND markets, driven by advanced tools [3][9] - The company is facing macroeconomic challenges, including customer spending slowdowns and global trade issues, which may impact its near-term prospects [3] - Despite challenges, Lam Research's margin improvements and strong product wins indicate that its strategies are effective [4] Competitive Landscape - Lam Research faces competition from Applied Materials (AMAT) and KLA Corporation (KLAC) in advanced chipmaking tools [5][9] - Applied Materials is a strong competitor in ALD with its Olympus and Endura platforms and is exploring dry resist solutions for EUV lithography [6] - KLA is increasingly involved in enabling EUV lithography, focusing on process control systems essential for defect identification [7] Market Valuation - LRCX shares have increased by 25.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry, which rose by 6% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.94, below the industry average of 31.33 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 indicates a year-over-year increase of 33.8%, while a slight decline of 0.5% is expected for fiscal 2026 [11]
3 Semiconductor Stocks Flying Under the Radar—But Not for Long
MarketBeat· 2025-03-20 11:37
Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is dominated by a few major players, but smaller firms like Arm Holdings, Lam Research, and ASML are gaining attention due to their performance and growth potential [1][2]. Arm Holdings - Arm Holdings reported a record revenue of $983 million for the most recent quarter, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase, driven by strong sales of its Armv9 AI architecture [2][4]. - The company maintains a high gross margin of 98.1% and an operating margin that increased to 45% from 43.8% year-over-year [2]. - Despite a year-to-date share price drop of about 7%, analysts see a potential upside of over 39%, with a 12-month price forecast of $165.23, indicating a moderate buy rating [4]. Lam Research - Lam Research has a 12-month stock price forecast of $98.22, suggesting a 26.03% upside, with 22 analysts rating it as a moderate buy [5][8]. - The company specializes in equipment for chip production, particularly for NAND and DRAM memory products, which are in high demand [6]. - Lam's revenue is significantly derived from China, but it has strong cash reserves of approximately $5.7 billion, allowing for substantial investment in R&D [7]. ASML Holding - ASML, with a market cap of $286 billion, is a leading player in semiconductor equipment, particularly known for its lithography technology, which gives it a competitive edge [9]. - The company has a 12-month stock price forecast of $937.00, indicating a 27.50% upside, with 11 analysts rating it as a moderate buy [9][10]. - Despite a recent earnings miss, analysts project over 16% earnings growth and a consensus price target of $937 per share, reflecting optimism about ASML's future [10].