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Will ALD and Etch Deal Wins Anchor LRCX's Systems Revenue Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:25
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is experiencing strong momentum in its systems business, with third-quarter fiscal 2025 systems revenues reaching $3.04 billion, a 15.6% sequential increase and a 27% year-over-year growth, contributing approximately 64% of total revenues [2][11] Group 1: Business Performance - The growth in systems revenue is driven by advanced products that cater to next-generation memory and logic technologies, particularly the Striker SPARC atomic layer deposition (ALD) tool, which has secured multiple wins in spacer applications [3] - The ALTUS Halo system is gaining traction, supporting barrierless atomic layer deposition of molybdenum, which reduces resistance in interconnect layers by 50% compared to legacy technologies, crucial for high I/O performance in 3D NAND for AI workloads [4] - The Akara system is also gaining traction with major DRAM customers, enhancing etch selectivity and precision, which aligns with Lam Research's long-term DRAM roadmaps [5] Group 2: Future Outlook - Lam Research projects fourth-quarter revenues to be approximately $5.0 billion (±$300 million), while management remains cautious about macroeconomic factors that could affect customer spending trends [6] - The strong adoption of Striker, Halo, and Akara, along with rising demand for advanced NAND and DRAM nodes, positions Lam Research's systems business for long-term growth [6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Applied Materials and ASML Holding are also witnessing strong momentum, with Applied Materials projecting over 40% revenue growth from advanced DRAM customers in fiscal 2025, driven by investments in DDR5 and high-bandwidth memory [7] - ASML Holding reported that 42% of its net system sales came from memory, highlighting strong customer demand for its products [8] Group 4: Valuation and Estimates - Lam Research's shares have gained 40.8% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's growth of 14.1% [9] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Lam Research is 25.34, significantly below the industry's average of 33.24 [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lam Research's fiscal 2026 earnings has been revised upward to $4 per share, indicating flat growth compared to fiscal 2025 [16]
Lam Research Bets Big on ALD and Dry EUV: Will This Pay Off?
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 16:30
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is focusing on atomic layer deposition (ALD) and dry EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) resist processing technologies as chips become smaller and more complex [1][9] - The company reported strong demand for its Striker SPARC ALD and ALTUS Halo systems in Q3 of fiscal 2025, particularly in NAND for AI and high-speed memory applications [1][9] - Lam Research is making progress in dry EUV technology, which is gaining traction among DRAM and foundry customers [2] Company Performance - LRCX is experiencing strong growth in foundry and NAND markets, driven by advanced tools [3][9] - The company is facing macroeconomic challenges, including customer spending slowdowns and global trade issues, which may impact its near-term prospects [3] - Despite challenges, Lam Research's margin improvements and strong product wins indicate that its strategies are effective [4] Competitive Landscape - Lam Research faces competition from Applied Materials (AMAT) and KLA Corporation (KLAC) in advanced chipmaking tools [5][9] - Applied Materials is a strong competitor in ALD with its Olympus and Endura platforms and is exploring dry resist solutions for EUV lithography [6] - KLA is increasingly involved in enabling EUV lithography, focusing on process control systems essential for defect identification [7] Market Valuation - LRCX shares have increased by 25.9% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry, which rose by 6% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22.94, below the industry average of 31.33 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 indicates a year-over-year increase of 33.8%, while a slight decline of 0.5% is expected for fiscal 2026 [11]
3 Semiconductor Stocks Flying Under the Radar—But Not for Long
MarketBeat· 2025-03-20 11:37
Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is dominated by a few major players, but smaller firms like Arm Holdings, Lam Research, and ASML are gaining attention due to their performance and growth potential [1][2]. Arm Holdings - Arm Holdings reported a record revenue of $983 million for the most recent quarter, reflecting a 19% year-over-year increase, driven by strong sales of its Armv9 AI architecture [2][4]. - The company maintains a high gross margin of 98.1% and an operating margin that increased to 45% from 43.8% year-over-year [2]. - Despite a year-to-date share price drop of about 7%, analysts see a potential upside of over 39%, with a 12-month price forecast of $165.23, indicating a moderate buy rating [4]. Lam Research - Lam Research has a 12-month stock price forecast of $98.22, suggesting a 26.03% upside, with 22 analysts rating it as a moderate buy [5][8]. - The company specializes in equipment for chip production, particularly for NAND and DRAM memory products, which are in high demand [6]. - Lam's revenue is significantly derived from China, but it has strong cash reserves of approximately $5.7 billion, allowing for substantial investment in R&D [7]. ASML Holding - ASML, with a market cap of $286 billion, is a leading player in semiconductor equipment, particularly known for its lithography technology, which gives it a competitive edge [9]. - The company has a 12-month stock price forecast of $937.00, indicating a 27.50% upside, with 11 analysts rating it as a moderate buy [9][10]. - Despite a recent earnings miss, analysts project over 16% earnings growth and a consensus price target of $937 per share, reflecting optimism about ASML's future [10].