Core Viewpoint - ASMPT's 2Q25 earnings fell short of expectations primarily due to foreign exchange impacts on gross profit margin (GPM) and strategic research and development (R&D) investments, yet the blended book-to-bill (B/B) ratio improved to 1.11, indicating strong order gains across the semiconductor (SEMI) and surface mount technology (SMT) sectors, supporting robust revenue guidance for 3Q25 [1][2] Financial Performance - 2Q25 revenue increased by 2% year-over-year to HK$3.4 billion, aligning closely with midpoint guidance, while GPM and operating profit margin (OPM) decreased by 1.2 percentage points and 0.1 percentage points quarter-over-quarter to 39.7% and 5.0% respectively, mainly due to high operating expenses (OPEX) and strategic investments [2] - Adjusted net income (NI) decreased by 3% year-over-year to HK$131 million, reflecting the impact of OPEX and foreign exchange [2] Future Guidance - 3Q25 revenue guidance is set between US$445 million and US$505 million, exceeding market expectations by 1%, with the midpoint reflecting a 10.8% year-over-year and 8.9% quarter-over-quarter increase, driven by strong SEMI orders and SMT orders from a leading smartphone customer [3] - Management anticipates strong growth in advanced packaging (AP) and a recovery in mainstream demand, particularly from China and AI data centers, although there are concerns regarding soft near-term demand in automotive and industrial sectors [3] Advanced Packaging (AP) Insights - In 1H25, AP revenue constituted 39% of total revenue, marking a record high, with TCB orders increasing by 50% due to significant installations and shipments for HBM clients [4] - ASMPT has established the largest TCB installed base globally, surpassing 500 tools, and is expected to continue its growth trajectory in TCB and other AP tool orders in 2H25 [4] Valuation Adjustments - The revenue estimate for SMT has been increased by 3% to account for demand recovery driven by China and AI, while SEMI revenues have been reduced by 2% due to delayed TCB orders [6] - The group GPM is expected to remain above 40%, but net income forecasts have been lowered by 15%/4%/3% to reflect the impact of high OPEX [6]