Economic Overview - The U.S. economy added 50,000 jobs in December 2025, lower than the revised 56,000 in November and below the Dow Jones estimate of 73,000, while the unemployment rate dropped to 4.4%, better than the forecast of 4.5% [1] Wage Growth - Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% sequentially, aligning with forecasts, while the annual increase of 3.8% exceeded expectations by 0.2 percentage points [2] Sector Performance Healthcare - Healthcare employment rose by 21,000 jobs in December, with hospital employment increasing by 16,000. The sector averaged 34,000 jobs added per month in 2025, slower than the 56,000 average in 2024 [3] - The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV), with 30% exposure to the pharma industry and significant allocations to healthcare providers, equipment, biotech, and life sciences, is positioned to benefit from this moderate momentum [4] - HCA Healthcare (HCA), ranked 3 (Hold), is the largest non-governmental operator of acute care hospitals in the U.S., with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 12.42% on average [5] Food Services & Drinking Places - Employment in food services and drinking places added 27,000 jobs in December, with an average monthly gain of 12,000 jobs in 2025, consistent with the previous year's performance [6] - The AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF (EATZ) is a potential investment opportunity, with Restaurant Brands International (QSR), ranked 2 (Buy), being a notable stock pick in this sector [6] Retail Trade - Retail trade experienced a net loss of 25,000 jobs, with 5,000 jobs gained in electronics and appliance retailing offset by losses in warehouse clubs, supercenters, and food and beverage retailers [7] - Target (TGT), ranked 3, offers a diverse range of products and has about 5% exposure to the Invesco S&P Ultra Dividend Revenue ETF (RDIV) [8] Summary of Sector Trends - Healthcare jobs are steadily increasing, keeping XLV in focus amid moderate sector momentum [9] - Food services hiring remains resilient, supporting investment opportunities in EATZ and QSR [9] - Retail sector faces job losses despite gains in electronics, creating selective pressure on stocks like TGT [9]

Core Insights - The upcoming holiday season is expected to boost retail sales significantly, contributing to major retailers' revenues [1] - Retail sales during November and December are projected to increase by 3.7% to 4.2%, reaching approximately $1.01 trillion to $1.02 trillion, marking the first time U.S. holiday sales are expected to exceed $1 trillion [2] - Economic concerns, including a federal government shutdown, may dampen sales growth, affecting consumer demand [3] Retail Sales Projections - Total holiday spending is anticipated to reach between $1.01 trillion and $1.02 trillion, with a year-over-year increase of 3.7% to 4.2% [2] - Last year's holiday sales were $976.1 billion, reflecting a 4.3% increase from the previous year [2] Economic Impact - The federal government shutdown is identified as a key headwind, potentially leading to a loss of private-sector income and impacting consumer spending patterns [3] - While some economic impacts are expected to be temporary, they may still influence consumer behavior during the holiday season [3] Government Funding Bill - The Senate passed a bill to fund the federal government through January, ending the longest shutdown in U.S. history, with a vote of 60-40 [4] - The bill will proceed to the House of Representatives for consideration before reaching the President for signature [5] Consumer Behavior Trends - Consumers are showing caution but remain fundamentally strong, with lower-income consumers prioritizing essential goods over non-essentials [6] - This trend may negatively impact sectors related to services, such as recreation and dining, while benefiting retail and discretionary ETFs [6] Online Shopping Insights - U.S. online sales are projected to reach $253.4 billion this holiday season, reflecting a 5.3% year-over-year growth [7] - Cyber Week is expected to account for 17.2% of overall spending, totaling $43.7 billion, with a 6.3% increase from the previous year [8] Investment Opportunities - The online shopping trend is likely to benefit ETFs focused on online retail, such as ProShares Online Retail ETF (ONLN) [8] - The "Buy Now Pay Later" trend is expected to drive an additional $2 billion in online spending, favoring iShares FinTech Active ETF (BPAY) [8] - The use of generative AI for shopping is anticipated to create investment opportunities in Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF (CHAT) [9]

Economic Overview - U.S. consumer prices increased by 0.3% in September 2025, slightly down from August's 0.4% gain and below the expected 0.4% growth [1] - Energy costs rose by 1.5%, driven by a 4.1% increase in gasoline prices, while food prices saw a 0.2% increase [1] - The core consumer price index, excluding food and energy, gained 0.2%, just below August's rate and slightly under the forecast of 0.3% growth [1] - The annual consumer price index recorded a rise of 3%, which was less than economists' expectations [1] Sector ETFs & Stocks to Gain Energy Sector - The VanEck Oil Services ETF (OIH) is highlighted as a potential investment, with revenues tied to energy prices, a significant component of inflation indices [3] - Monthly inflation for energy was 1.5% in September, with annual inflation at 2.8% [3] - Murphy USA (MUSA), a leading independent retailer of motor fuel and convenience merchandise, is noted as a good investment opportunity with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4] Restaurant Sector - The AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF (EATZ) is actively managed and invests at least 80% of its net assets in companies deriving at least 50% of their revenues from the restaurant business [6] - The food-away-from-home index rose by 0.1% in September, with limited-service meals increasing by 0.2% and full-service meals remaining unchanged [5] - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB), a full-service casual dining restaurant chain, is identified as a strong buy with a Zacks Rank of 1 [6] Healthcare Sector - The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) includes companies from various healthcare industries and is based on the Health Care Select Sector Index [7] - The index for medical care services rose by 3.9% annually and 0.3% sequentially in September [7] - Universal Health Services (UHS), which operates acute care hospitals and other healthcare facilities, is mentioned as a buy with a Zacks Rank of 2 [8] Transportation Sector - The SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) tracks the S&P Transportation Select Industry Index and has a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 [9] - The transportation index increased by 0.3% sequentially and 2.5% year over year in September [9] - Delta Air Lines (DAL), a major player in the U.S. aviation market, is highlighted as a buy with a Zacks Rank of 2 [10]

Core Insights - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.6% in August 2025, matching the revised growth from July and exceeding expectations of 0.2% [1] - Sales excluding certain categories rose by 0.7%, surpassing the anticipated 0.4% [1] Winning Areas - **Online Retailers**: Nonstore retailers experienced a 2% sequential increase and a 10.1% year-over-year gain [3] - ProShares Online Retail ETF (ONLN) tracks online retailers and charges 58 bps in fees [3] - Amazon.com (AMZN) is a major player in e-commerce with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [4] - **Clothing Stores**: Sales rose by 1% sequentially and 8.3% year over year in August 2025 [5] - SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) provides exposure to U.S. retail stocks, with apparel retail comprising about 21% of the fund and a fee of 35 bps [5] - Genesco (GCO) is a specialty retail company with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [5] - **Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, & Books**: This segment saw a 0.8% sequential gain and a 4.7% year-over-year increase [6] - Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) and VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) are suitable for investment in this sector [6] - DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) operates as a sporting goods retailer with a Zacks Rank 3 [7] - **Food Services & Drinking Places**: Sales increased by 0.7% sequentially and 6.5% year over year [8] - AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF (EATZ) invests primarily in restaurant-related companies and charges 99 bps in fees [8] - BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) operates high-end casual dining restaurants and holds a Zacks Rank 1 [9]

Retail Sales Overview - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.1% in April following a revised 1.7% increase in March, contrary to economists' expectations of no change [1] - The March increase was influenced by consumers making purchases in anticipation of tariff announcements [1] Sector Performance - The largest increases in April were in food services and drinking places (1.2%), building material and garden equipment supplies (0.8%), furniture (0.3%), and electronics and appliances stores (0.3%) [2] - Sales excluding food services, auto dealers, building materials stores, and gasoline stations decreased by 0.2%, below the revised 0.5% gain in March and forecasts of a 0.3% rise [2] Winning Areas Food Services and Drinking Places - Sales in this sector rose by 1.2% sequentially in April and 7.8% year over year [4] - AdvisorShares Restaurant ETF (EATZ) focuses on companies deriving at least 50% of their revenue from the restaurant business [4] - BJ's Restaurants (BJRI) operates high-end casual dining restaurants and has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [5] Building Material & Garden Equipment & Supplies Dealers - This segment experienced a 0.8% sequential sales gain and a 3.2% year-over-year increase [6] - Broad-based retail ETFs like Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) and VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) are relevant for this sector [6] - Vulcan Materials (VMC) is the largest supplier of construction aggregates in the U.S. and has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [7] Electronics & Appliance Stores - Sales in this category increased by 0.3% sequentially in April and 0.1% year over year [8] - The rise in electronics sales is expected to benefit semiconductor funds and stocks [8] - VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tracks companies involved in semiconductor production and charges 35 bps in fees [8] - Universal Electronics (UEIC) is a leader in universal control and sensing technologies for smart homes and has a Zacks Rank 3 [9]