Core Insights - Morgan Stanley (MS) is expected to announce its third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 15, with strong performance anticipated due to robust trading and investment banking activities [1][2][7] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MS' third-quarter revenues is $16.25 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 5.6% [2] - The earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter has been revised 2% higher to $2.07, reflecting a 10.1% improvement from the same quarter last year [3][4] Investment Banking Performance - Global mergers and acquisitions (M&As) have rebounded significantly in Q3 2025, contributing positively to Morgan Stanley's advisory fees, which are estimated at $589 million, a 7.9% year-over-year increase [6][8] - The consensus estimate for investment banking (IB) income is $1.51 billion, suggesting a 3.4% year-over-year rise [10][11] Trading Revenues - Trading revenues are expected to be strong, driven by increased client activity and market volatility, with equity trading revenues estimated at $3.22 billion (5.7% increase) and fixed-income trading revenues at $2.05 billion (2.5% increase) [12][13] Net Interest Income (NII) - The consensus estimate for net interest revenues is $2.34 billion, indicating a year-over-year rise of 6.4%, supported by stable funding costs and loan growth [15] Expenses and Cost Management - Total non-interest expenses are anticipated to be $11.4 billion, reflecting a 2.7% year-over-year increase, as the company continues to invest in its franchises [16] Earnings Surprise History - Morgan Stanley has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average beat of 20.3% [4] Stock Performance - In Q3, Morgan Stanley's stock performance was strong, performing better than peers like JPMorgan and in line with Goldman Sachs [19]

Core Insights - Evercore Inc. (EVR) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 30, 2025, with a consensus estimate for sales at $713 million, reflecting a 2.5% year-over-year increase [1] - The earnings consensus estimate remains unchanged at $1.78 per share, indicating a 1.7% decline from the prior-year quarter [2] - Evercore has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average beat of 37.35% [2] Investment Banking & Equities - Global mergers and acquisitions activity in Q2 2025 was stronger than anticipated, although advisory fees are expected to decline by 1.9% year-over-year to $557.3 million [3][4] - The IPO market saw a significant rebound, leading to an expected 10% increase in underwriting fees to $34.1 million compared to the prior-year quarter [5][6] - High trading volumes due to market volatility are likely to have improved commission and related fees, with a consensus estimate of $56.92 million, suggesting a 6.9% increase year-over-year [6] Asset Management - Favorable market conditions and sustained client inflows are expected to result in a 20.9% year-over-year increase in asset management and administration fees, with a consensus estimate of $22.25 billion [7] Expenses - Company expenses are anticipated to rise in Q2 2025 due to increased employee compensation and benefits costs [7] Earnings Outlook - The model indicates a high probability of Evercore beating estimates, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +4.79% and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [8][9] - Key factors contributing to potential earnings growth include increased AUM, a rebound in IPOs, and strong trading volumes, although higher compensation expenses may pressure profitability [8]