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AerSale vs. Air Lease: Which Aviation Stock Is the Smarter Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 14:21
Core Insights - The aviation industry is experiencing growth due to increased air traffic and supply chain disruptions, benefiting companies like AerSale Corporation (ASLE) and Air Lease Corp. (AL) [1][2] - ASLE specializes in aftermarket services and parts, while AL focuses on leasing new aircraft, both of which are in demand due to current market conditions [2][3] Summary of AerSale Corporation (ASLE) - Recent Achievements: ASLE's Q1 2025 revenues for Used Serviceable Material (USM) and engine leasing increased by 44.1% and 143.4% year over year, indicating strong demand [4] - Strategic Acquisition: In January 2025, ASLE acquired a parts portfolio from Sanad Group, enhancing its inventory for popular aircraft models [5] - Financial Stability: As of March 31, 2025, ASLE had $11 million in cash, $1 million in current debt, and $4 million in long-term debt, reflecting a strong solvency position [6] - Share Repurchase: In March 2025, ASLE signed an agreement to repurchase $45 million in shares from Leonard Green & Partners, L.P. [7] Summary of Air Lease Corp. (AL) - Recent Achievements: AL reported an 11.3% year-over-year revenue increase and a net income surge of 274.5% in Q1 2025, with a fleet net book value of $28.6 billion [8][9] - Order Pipeline: AL has contractual commitments for 260 new aircraft from Airbus and Boeing, valued at $16.6 billion, enhancing its long-term revenue prospects [9] - Financial Stability: As of March 31, 2025, AL's cash and cash equivalents were $0.46 billion, with long-term debt at $19.89 billion, indicating a solid solvency position for future investments [10] Comparative Analysis - Stock Performance: ASLE has underperformed with a 12.5% decline over the past three months, while AL has increased by 26% [16] - Valuation Metrics: ASLE trades at a forward earnings multiple of 10.68X, higher than AL's 9.06X, suggesting a less attractive valuation for ASLE [17] - Return on Equity: AL demonstrates a better Return on Equity (ROE) compared to ASLE, indicating more efficient profit generation [21] Final Insights - Both ASLE and AL are positioned to benefit from long-term aviation sector tailwinds, but their near-term prospects differ significantly [22] - AL's consistent growth, strong order backlog, and higher ROE make it a more attractive investment compared to ASLE, which faces declining EPS estimates and a premium valuation [23][24] - AL holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), while ASLE has a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating a preference for AL among investors [25]
AerSale Loses 5% in a Month: Should You Buy the Stock on Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 14:10
Core Viewpoint - AerSale Corporation (ASLE) has underperformed in the market, with a 5% decline in shares over the past month, contrasting with the 16.2% rise in the Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry and a 17% gain in the broader Zacks Aerospace sector [1][2]. Company Performance - ASLE's disappointing first-quarter 2025 financial results were the primary reason for its poor stock performance, with a 27.4% year-over-year decline in revenues, largely due to a significant drop in whole asset sales [5][6]. - The company sold only one engine in the quarter, compared to one aircraft and four engines in the same period of 2024 [5]. - ASLE's bottom line also showed deterioration from the previous year and missed analysts' estimates, leading to a 12.5% reduction in its price target by Royal Bank of Canada [6]. Management Outlook - Despite recent setbacks, ASLE's management remains optimistic, citing a 23.4% revenue increase in core business segments (excluding whole asset sales) driven by strong demand for Used Serviceable Material (USM) [7]. - The company ended the first quarter of 2025 with $11 million in cash and only $5 million in total debt, indicating strong solvency and the ability to invest in innovations like the AerAware Enhanced Flight Vision System [10]. Industry Trends - The global increase in air traffic and demand for maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services is expected to support future demand for ASLE's USMs and other offerings [8]. - However, the imposition of import tariffs by the U.S. government poses a risk to the global aerospace supply chain, potentially affecting demand for ASLE's USMs [11][12]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second and third-quarter 2025 sales suggests year-over-year growth, but the estimate for 2025 indicates a slight drop, while 2026 sales are projected to improve [13]. - Near-term earnings estimates show solid improvement, but recent downward revisions in estimates indicate a loss of investor confidence [14]. Valuation - ASLE's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.92X, significantly lower than its peer group average of 36.06X, suggesting a discount in valuation [17]. - In contrast, industry peers like Astronics (ATRO) and Leonardo DRS (DRS) are trading at higher P/E ratios of 19.08X and 36.20X, respectively [18]. Investment Considerations - Despite trading at a discount, ASLE is perceived to be entering value trap territory due to weak performance and a low Value Score of D [19]. - The company's Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) further supports the cautious outlook on ASLE stock [20].
Should You Add AerSale Stock to Your Portfolio Before Q1 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 18:16
AerSale Corporation (ASLE) is slated to release first-quarter 2025 results on May 7, after market close.   The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $88.1 million, implying a 2.7% decline from the year-ago quarter's reported figure. The consensus mark for earnings is pegged at 13 cents per share, suggesting a solid improvement of 18.2% from the prior-year quarter’s reported number. The bottom-line estimate has also moved 30% north in the past 60 days. (Find the latest EPS estimates and surprise ...
AerSale Gains 12% YTD: Should Buy, Hold or Sell the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 18:15
AerSale Corporation’s (ASLE) shares have surged a solid 12.1% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Aerospace-Defense Equipment industry’s rise of 0.5% as well as the broader Zacks Aerospace sector’s gain of 4.9%. It also came above the S&P 500’s decline of 6.3% in the same time frame.Image Source: Zacks Investment ResearchShares of other industry players like Astronics (ATRO) and Leonardo DRS (DRS) have delivered similar stellar performances in the same period. Shares of ATRO and DRS have surged 41.9% and ...
ASLE vs. AIR: Which Aerospace Services Stock Is the Better Buy in 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-04-28 18:30
Core Insights - The global aerospace services sector is experiencing significant growth, driven by rising air traffic, increased aircraft utilization, and a booming Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) market, benefiting companies like AerSale Corporation (ASLE) and AAR Corp. (AIR) [1][2] Summary of AerSale (ASLE) - Recent achievements include strategic investments, such as the opening of a new MRO facility in Millington, TN, and the expansion of operations in Miami, which are expected to significantly contribute to future revenues [3] - In January 2025, AerSale acquired a parts portfolio from the Sanad Group, enhancing its inventory with high-demand components for popular aircraft models, thereby expanding its customer base [4] - Financial stability is highlighted by cash and cash equivalents of $12 million and low debt levels, indicating a strong solvency position that allows for investment in new products and shareholder returns [5][6] - Challenges include reliance on feedstock availability for Used Serviceable Material (USM) sales, which could constrain revenue and margins, and potential slow commercial adoption of innovations like AerAware [7] Summary of AAR Corp. (AIR) - Recent achievements include record MRO spending benefiting AIR, with notable contracts such as Amerijet International Airlines selecting AIR's subsidiary Trax for maintenance operations [8][9] - Financial stability is characterized by cash and cash equivalents of $101 million, but long-term debt of $1,022 million raises concerns about cash flow and investment capacity [10] - Challenges include ongoing supply-chain issues that may lead to production delays and sluggish cash flow, impacting the company's ability to meet growing demand [12] Comparative Analysis - Zacks Consensus Estimates indicate that AerSale's 2025 sales and earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve by 6.8% and 288.9%, respectively, while AIR's sales are projected to grow by 17.2% and EPS by 12.6% [13][14] - Stock price performance shows ASLE has outperformed AIR over the past three months and year, with ASLE down 4.8% compared to AIR's 23.6% decline [15] - Valuation metrics reveal AerSale's forward earnings multiple at 8.98X is more attractive than AIR's 11.94X, suggesting a better investment opportunity [16] Conclusion - AerSale is positioned as the more compelling investment choice for 2025 due to its attractive valuation, consistent outperformance, and diversified business model, while AIR faces challenges from supply-chain issues and declining earnings estimates [19][20]
AerSale(ASLE) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 01:07
AerSale Corporation (NASDAQ:ASLE) Q4 2024 Results Conference Call March 6, 2025 4:30 PM ET Company Participants Christine Padron - Vice President of Compliance Nick Finazzo - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Martin Garmendia - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Michael Ciarmoli - Truist Steve Strackhouse - RBC Capital Operator Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the AerSale Inc. Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please also note today's event is ...