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Bear of the Day: Lennar Corporation (LEN)
ZACKS· 2025-10-31 09:01
Core Insights - Lennar Corporation (LEN) stock has declined approximately 7% following a disappointing earnings release on September 18, which has led to negative earnings revisions and a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) [1][4][7] - The company has faced challenges due to a slowing housing market, rising mortgage rates, and persistent inflation, impacting its overall performance [1][4] Company Overview - Lennar is a prominent U.S. homebuilder established in the 1950s, focusing on affordable, move-up, and active adult homes, as well as multifamily rental properties [2] - The company also provides financial services, including mortgage financing and closing services for homebuyers [3] Financial Performance - Lennar experienced significant revenue growth from 2012 to 2022, with over 20% sales growth in FY21 and FY22 [3] - However, the company reported a gross margin on home sales of $1.4 billion, or 17.5% in Q3, down from 22.5% in the previous year [5] - Consensus earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have decreased by approximately 8.5% over the last two months, with a 49% drop in the 2025 estimate from $16.04 to $8.25, and a 47% drop in the 2026 estimate from $16.81 to $9.01 [5][7] Market Conditions - The housing market has been adversely affected by rising mortgage rates and inflation, leading to a decline in housing prices and overall market activity [4][8] - The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the U.S. is around 6.17%, down from a high of 7.8% in 2023, but still comparable to rates from September 2024 [8] Technical Analysis - LEN stock is attempting to maintain its position near long-term 50-week and 200-week moving averages, which are converging, indicating potential bearish signals for technical traders [9] - Investors are advised to monitor Lennar for signs of a broader housing market recovery before considering investment [9]
Hims & Hers Stock Plunges 21.3% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 17:46
Core Insights - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS) has faced short-term stock losses, declining 21.3% while the industry rose by 1.7% [1] - The company reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with significant growth in subscribers and online revenue [2][9] - HIMS anticipates third-quarter 2025 revenues between $570 million and $590 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 42-47% [7] Financial Performance - HIMS experienced a 30.8% growth in subscribers, reaching 2.4 million, and a 29.8% increase in monthly online revenue per subscriber to $74 [10] - The gross margin contracted by 491 basis points due to rising product costs, which is a concern for future profitability [9][15] - The company’s revenue guidance for the full year 2025 is set at $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, with an EBITDA outlook of $295 million to $335 million [11] Strategic Developments - HIMS completed an $870 million convertible senior notes offering to support global expansion and AI-led innovation [12] - The company plans to launch a weight loss program in Canada in 2026, aiming to capture market share in an underserved segment [13] - HIMS acquired ZAVA, a European digital health platform, enhancing its geographic reach and service offerings [14] Market Position - HIMS' forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 4X, lower than the industry average of 5.5X but higher than its three-year median of 2.3X [16] - Estimates for HIMS' 2025 earnings have decreased by 12.3% to 64 cents in the past 60 days [19] - The company maintains a favorable growth outlook, supported by a strong business model and financial stability [22]