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Strong Components & Systems Growth Aids LITE Stock: More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 18:50
Core Insights - Lumentum's (LITE) growth is significantly driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure, with over 60% of its current revenues coming from this sector, particularly from hyperscalers [1][10] - The company anticipates exceeding its revenue midpoint guidance of approximately $650 million sooner than previously expected [10] Group 1: Revenue and Growth Expectations - Lumentum expects fiscal second-quarter revenues to range between $630 million and $670 million, with earnings projected at $1.30 to $1.50 per share, indicating a 62.2% growth compared to the same quarter last year [4] - The growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 is expected to be evenly split between component products for cloud applications and systems products for data centers [3][10] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Lumentum faces competition from Ciena and Marvell Technology in the AI infrastructure market, with Ciena benefiting from increased customer spending due to the rise of AI applications [5][6] - Marvell Technology is capitalizing on the demand for scale-up switches that connect AI accelerators, which require high bandwidth and low latency [7] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Lumentum's stock has increased by 386.8% over the past year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which saw a return of 27.1% [8] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 8.6X, significantly higher than the Zacks Communications Components industry's average of 4.47X [11]
Lumentum Stock Rides on Strong AI Push: A Sign of More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 16:51
Core Insights - Lumentum (LITE) is experiencing strong demand for its laser chips and optical transceivers, primarily driven by AI infrastructure and cloud applications, with over 60% of its revenues coming from this sector [2][10] - The company anticipates fiscal Q2 2026 revenues between $630 million and $670 million, reflecting significant growth compared to the previous year [5][10] Company Performance - Lumentum's components business is thriving due to robust demand for laser chips and related products used in data centers and long-haul applications, with laser chip shipments expected to remain strong due to a 40% capacity increase at its indium phosphide-based wafer fab [3] - The company expects that approximately half of the sequential growth in Q2 2026 will come from component products for cloud applications, while the other half will be from systems products serving cloud customers [5] Competitive Landscape - Lumentum faces competition from Ciena and Marvell Technology in the AI infrastructure space, with both companies benefiting from increased customer spending and demand for bandwidth due to AI applications [6][7][8] - Ciena has raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $5.7-$6.1 billion, indicating nearly 24% growth at the midpoint, while Marvell Technology is gaining traction with its Alaska PCIe 6 retimer product line [7][8] Stock Performance and Valuation - Lumentum shares have appreciated 359.4% over the past year, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 21.6% [9] - The stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 9.29X compared to the industry average of 3.75X, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $12.59 per share, reflecting a 3.2% increase over the past month [12][14]
MRVL Strengthens AI Connectivity Stack: More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 16:31
Core Insights - Marvell Technology (MRVL) is positioning itself as a significant player in connectivity hardware solutions for AI infrastructure and data centers through its Golden Cable initiative, aimed at enhancing the Active Electrical Cable (AEC) ecosystem for quicker AI infrastructure deployment by cloud and hyperscaler customers [1][10] Group 1: Product and Technology Developments - AECs are essential for high-density, short-reach connections within and between racks, supporting next-generation 1.6T connectivity for ultra-fast networks. The Golden Cable initiative will allow MRVL's partners to validate cable architectures and receive support for integration and interoperability [2] - The company is benefiting from the adoption of scale-up switches that connect AI accelerators, which require multi-terabit bandwidth and ultra-low latency, supporting both open standard Ethernet and UALink fabrics [3] - Volume shipments of MRVL's next-generation 200G per lane 1.6T PAM DSPs are contributing positively to the company's performance, alongside the adoption of its Alaska PCIe 6 retimer product line by leading AI and data center infrastructure companies [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2026, MRVL's data center revenues reached $1.52 billion, marking a 37.8% year-over-year increase and a 1.8% sequential rise, driven by strong demand for electro-optic interconnect products and next-generation switch offerings. Carrier infrastructure revenues surged 98% year-over-year and 29% sequentially to $167.8 million [5][10] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Marvell Technology competes with Broadcom (AVGO) and Credo Technology (CRDO) in the connectivity market. Credo has a diverse portfolio and is experiencing strong growth in its AEC business, while Broadcom maintains a strong position in carrier Ethernet and telecom optical interconnects [6][7] Group 4: Valuation and Market Performance - MRVL shares have increased by 20.4% over the past six months, compared to a 36.8% growth in the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.35X, slightly below the industry's average of 7.46X. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MRVL's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 81% and 26%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 60 days [11]