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Fed survey respondents cite risk to the economy if AI valuations suffer large losses
Youtubeยท 2025-11-07 21:39
Financial Stability Overview - The Federal Reserve's financial stability report highlights concerns over elevated asset values compared to historical norms [1] - Commercial real estate values are stabilizing, but there are worries about upcoming refinancing needs in this sector [1] Debt and Leverage - Business and household debt levels are stable relative to GDP, but publicly traded firms exhibit high leverage [2] - The ability of firms to service their debt remains strong, despite high leverage in hedge funds and life insurance [2] - Banks are maintaining a high level of liquid assets, indicating a cautious approach to liquidity management [2] Delinquencies and Market Risks - Auto and credit card delinquencies are above average, signaling potential consumer credit risks [3] - The report raises concerns about algorithmic trading driven by AI, which may lead to sophisticated market manipulation [3] - Recent bankruptcies are noted as isolated events, with robust bank lending to special purpose entities and private credit [3] - A survey included in the report indicates that respondents see risks to the economy if AI valuations experience significant losses [3]