Workflow
Analog and Embedded Processing chips
icon
Search documents
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold TXN Stock After an 8.9% Rise in a Month?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-26 15:31
Core Insights - Texas Instruments (TXN) stock has increased by 8.9% over the past month, significantly outperforming the Zacks Semiconductor - General industry's growth of 1.4% [1][7] - The company is experiencing growth driven by strong demand in data centers and artificial intelligence (AI), alongside a rebound in the semiconductor market [2][3] Group 1: Growth Drivers - Solid demand from data centers is enhancing Texas Instruments' prospects in the enterprise systems market [2] - The global semiconductor market is showing robust growth, with an 18.8% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching $167.7 billion in the March-end quarter of 2025 [3] - Texas Instruments serves diverse end markets, including personal electronics, industrial, communications, and automotive, which provides stability against seasonality and cyclical downturns [4] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - To maintain its competitive edge and capitalize on emerging technologies like 5G and AI, Texas Instruments is focusing on internal chip manufacturing, aiming to produce over 95% of its wafers in-house by 2030 [5] - The company has been awarded up to $1.6 billion in CHIPS Act funding, with total benefits projected between $7.5 billion and $9.5 billion over its lifetime, which will help reduce costs and increase margins [8] Group 3: Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Texas Instruments' earnings indicates a growth rate of 7.7% for 2025 and 14.8% for 2026 [8] - Current estimates for the upcoming quarters show earnings per share (EPS) of $1.48 for the current quarter and $1.40 for the next quarter, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 0.68% for the current quarter [9] Group 4: Challenges and Risks - Texas Instruments is highly exposed to US-China trade policies, with approximately 20% of its 2024 revenues coming from China, which poses risks due to rising geopolitical tensions [10] - The automotive segment is recovering slowly, with revenues declining in the low-single-digit percentage range in the second quarter of 2025 [11] - The company faces intense competition from various players in the semiconductor industry, including Broadcom, NXP Semiconductors, and Analog Devices [12][14] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - Texas Instruments trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 10.03x, which is below the industry average of 15.66x, reflecting the ongoing headwinds it faces [15]