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UAMY Stock Jumps 68.4% in 3 Months: Should You Hold or Fold Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-14 13:55
Core Insights - Shares of United States Antimony Corporation (UAMY) have increased by 68.4% over the past three months due to significant operational transformations, including a global procurement network for antimony and increased domestic mining activities [1][2] - UAMY has secured long-term contracts worth nearly $352 million, which is a substantial increase compared to last year's revenues of only $15 million [7][8] - The company is also making early moves into tungsten, aiming to become the first domestic supplier in the U.S. as there are currently no active tungsten mines in the country [10][11] Antimony Supply and Mining Operations - Antimony is central to UAMY's growth strategy, with a reported 203% year-over-year increase in antimony revenues in Q2, driven by higher pricing and expanded ore deliveries [5][6] - UAMY has executed over 15 supply agreements across 10 countries, with material sourced from regions including Bolivia, Chad, and Mexico [6] - The company has received approximately 330 tons of antimony feedstock in Mexico, with another 295 tons en route [6] Long-term Contracts and Revenue Growth - The long-term contracts secured include a $245 million award from the Defense Logistics Agency and a $107 million commercial contract for antimony trioxide, representing a significant demand increase [7][8] - UAMY's domestic production revival has yielded 560 tons of stibnite ore in Montana, with expected grades exceeding 10% antimony [9] Challenges in the Market - UAMY faces challenges from China's dominance in the antimony market, controlling 60 times the mining capacity of other countries and 85-90% of global smelting and refining capacity [14] - Regulatory delays in Alaska and environmental objections have hindered progress in one of UAMY's promising regions, pushing timelines into 2026 [14][15] - An acquisition attempt in Australia was rejected, although UAMY remains the largest shareholder with a 10% stake valued at approximately $40 million [15] Valuation and Market Position - UAMY's shares currently trade at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 9.59X, significantly higher than the industry average of 3.73X, indicating a premium valuation [16] - Despite the positive operational developments, analysts have revised earnings per share estimates downward, reflecting potential near-term challenges [12][19] Conclusion - UAMY's strategy for 2025 focuses on aggressive expansion in ore procurement, domestic mining, and early-stage tungsten development, while navigating significant market challenges [17]
United States Antimony (UAMY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-12 22:17
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales for the first nine months of 2025 were $26.2 million, up $16.9 million, or 182% over the prior year, primarily due to price increases and some volume increase in the zeolite business [6][7] - Gross margin increased by 4 percentage points from 24% last year to 28% this year, although there will be pressure on gross margins in the fourth quarter due to declining antimony market prices [6][7] - Consolidated net loss was $4.1 million for the first nine months, including $5.2 million of non-cash expenses, but operating activities generated positive cash flow when excluding working capital changes [7][8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Antimony sales volume increased in October, with consolidated sales of $5.6 million for the month compared to third quarter sales of $8.7 million [6][7] - The company secured a three-year supply agreement for antimony ore and a five-year sole source sales contract with the DLA, enhancing sales capabilities [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has developed and executed over 15 separate supply contracts for materials sourced from 10 different countries, with significant developments in Bolivia and Chad expected to support antimony production [28][29] - The market cap expanded almost fourfold from around $200 million to more than $1 billion since the start of 2025, with a significant increase in institutional ownership [35][36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to be the preferred provider of critical minerals, focusing on growth, diversification, and sustainability [9][10] - Plans to duplicate antimony success in tungsten and cobalt, with ongoing discussions with the U.S. government for potential funding and support [24][30] - The company is expanding its processing facility in Montana, with completion expected in January 2026, which will significantly increase production capacity [32][44] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism for 2026, anticipating a ramp-up in production from 100 tons to 500-600 tons per month, driven by new supply contracts and operational improvements [32][60] - The company highlighted the strategic importance of domestic antimony production in light of geopolitical tensions and reliance on foreign sources, particularly China [49][50] Other Important Information - The company has made significant progress in securing long-term sales agreements, totaling $352 million, which is a substantial increase compared to previous revenues [41][42] - The company is the only vertically integrated antimony supplier outside of China and Russia, positioning itself uniquely in the market [43] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the difference between the two types of antimony? - The DLA contract is for metallic antimony in ingot form, while the commercial supply contract is for antimony trioxide, a white powder [51][54] Question: Is management considering building an additional smelter or processing facility? - The current expansion in Thompson Falls is the maximum possible due to land constraints, but there is potential for expansion in Mexico [56][58] Question: What is the expected production volume ramp for Montana and Mexico? - Production is expected to ramp up significantly in 2026, with a goal of reaching 500 tons per month, although there may be challenges along the way [59][60] Question: Can you quantify efficiencies or technological improvements in processing? - The expansion will include larger equipment and improved technologies, which should enhance efficiency, but the quality of feed material will also play a crucial role [61][64] Question: How close are current smelting operations to running at full capacity? - Montana operations are running near capacity, but quality issues with material from Madero have been a challenge [65][66] Question: What has been spent on expanding capacity at smelting operations? - Total CapEx is around $22 million, with approximately $12-13 million already spent [67][68]