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Meta Platforms Stock Dips: Time to Buy?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-10-31 07:55
Core Insights - Meta Platforms reported strong third-quarter results, with revenue rising 26% year over year to approximately $51.2 billion, surpassing analyst expectations [5][6] - Despite impressive results, investor concerns were driven by a significant one-time tax charge and cautious fourth-quarter revenue guidance, which was only slightly above analyst forecasts [2][8] - The company's substantial spending projections for 2026 have raised alarms among investors, overshadowing the positive revenue trends [11][12] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q3 increased to about $51.2 billion, supported by a 14% rise in ad impressions and a 10% increase in average ad price [5] - Daily active users across Meta's platforms reached 3.54 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year growth [5] - GAAP earnings were impacted by a non-cash U.S. tax item, raising the effective tax rate to 87%, with reported earnings per share at $1.05 compared to a potential $7.25 without the charge [6] Guidance and Projections - Management projected Q4 revenue between $56 billion and $59 billion, indicating a growth rate of about 19%, which is a decline from the previous quarter's 26% growth [8] - The Reality Labs division reported $470 million in revenue but incurred a $4.4 billion operating loss, which continues to affect overall margins [9] - Capital expenditures are expected to rise significantly, with projections for 2025 set between $70 billion and $72 billion, up from a prior forecast of $66 billion to $72 billion [11] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Meta generated $10.6 billion in free cash flow during the quarter and ended September with $44.45 billion in cash and marketable securities [13] - The company repurchased $3.2 billion in stock and paid approximately $1.3 billion in dividends, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders while investing in future growth [13] Investor Sentiment - The stock's recent pullback is attributed more to perceptions of spending and guidance than to actual demand trends, which remain strong [14] - Despite the stock's decline, it is still significantly higher than six months ago, leading to a price-to-earnings ratio in the mid-twenties, which is considered neither expensive nor a clear bargain [15] - Investors are advised to exercise caution and patience due to the uncertainty surrounding the returns on the company's aggressive infrastructure spending [16]