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SMR vs. OKLO: Which Small Modular Reactor Stock Has an Edge Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-27 18:06
Core Insights - NuScale Power and OKLO are significant players in the small modular reactor (SMR) sector, focusing on cleaner and scalable nuclear energy solutions [1][2] - The global SMR market is projected to grow from $5.81 billion in 2024 to $8.37 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 4.98% from 2025 to 2032, indicating substantial growth opportunities for both companies [2] NuScale Power - NuScale Power is advancing in SMR technology and has a growing partner base, including tech giants and financial institutions, positioning it as a key player in sustainable energy [4][12] - The company received its second U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission approval for a 77-megawatt design in Q2 2025, enhancing its competitive position and customer interest [5][11] - Significant progress has been made in manufacturing and commercialization, with partnerships like Doosan Interability and ENTRA1 Energy solidifying its market position [6] OKLO - OKLO is expanding its presence in the SMR market through strategic partnerships, including a memorandum of understanding with Korea Hydro and Nuclear Power to develop advanced nuclear technology [7][8] - The company also announced a partnership with ABB to establish a digital monitoring room, supporting operator training and the deployment of its automated Aurora powerhouses [9] - Despite its expanding portfolio, OKLO has not yet generated revenues, with its first Aurora powerhouse expected to go live in 2027, leading to concerns about high operating costs [19] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, NuScale Power's shares have appreciated by 100.9%, while OKLO's shares have soared by 250.1%, with OKLO's outperformance attributed to federal policy support and growing demand [10][11] - Both companies' shares are currently considered overvalued, with NuScale trading at a Price/Book ratio of 20.56X and OKLO at 14.89X [15] - For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a loss of 46 cents per share for NuScale and 50 cents for OKLO, with both companies facing challenges in profitability [17] Conclusion - NuScale Power is highlighted as the stronger investment option due to its regulatory approvals, diversified applications, and strong industry partnerships, while OKLO faces revenue delays and high operating costs [18][20]
Oklo(OKLO) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-11 21:00
Financial Performance - Oklo reported a loss from operations of $28 million for Q2 2025 [59] - The loss before income taxes for Q2 2025 was $243 million [59] - Cash used in operating activities YTD 2025 totaled $3071 million [60] - Oklo's cash and marketable securities amounted to approximately $683 million as of June 30, 2025 [29] Licensing and Regulatory Progress - The NRC accepted Oklo's licensed operator topical report for review [29] - Oklo completed Phase I of the NRC pre-application readiness assessment for the Aurora-INL combined license application (COLA) [29, 32] - Oklo is targeting submission for Phase I of Aurora-INL's COLA early Q4 2025 [32] Fuel Strategy and Supply - Oklo secured 5 metric tons of HALEU fuel from the U S Department of Energy in 2019 [33] - Oklo is collaborating with Hexium to expand the commercial HALEU supply [29, 33] - Oklo's fast reactors can utilize spent nuclear waste recovered by Oklo's nuclear fuel recycling technology [33] Partnerships and Project Execution - Kiewit was selected as the lead constructor for the Aurora-INL project [29, 43] - Oklo and Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) signed a collaboration agreement [29, 46] - Oklo and Vertiv partnered to advance solutions for U S data centers [29, 49]
Why Oklo Stock Is Powering Higher Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-23 16:07
Core Viewpoint - Oklo's stock is experiencing a significant increase due to a new partnership announcement and a bullish analyst report, reversing a downward trend from previous trading sessions [1][5]. Group 1: Company Developments - Oklo has announced a collaboration with Liberty Energy to develop an integrated power solution for data centers, combining Oklo's Aurora powerhouse with Liberty's natural gas generation [3][4]. - The company is also partnering with Vertiv to create power and cooling solutions for hyperscale and colocation data centers, utilizing Oklo's small modular reactors (SMRs) [4]. Group 2: Analyst Insights - Citigroup has raised its price target for Oklo from $30 to $68, indicating confidence in the company's reactor design and project pipeline, suggesting that the stock is appropriately valued [5].
Why Oklo Stock Popped on Thursday
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-17 18:07
Core Viewpoint - Oklo has made progress towards building its small modular reactor, with its stock rising 4% after completing a key regulatory assessment, indicating a step closer to applying for construction permission [1][3]. Regulatory Progress - The completion of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) "pre-application readiness assessment" is a significant milestone for Oklo, as it prepares to submit its combined license application (COLA) for the "Aurora powerhouse" [1][3]. - The NRC's assessment suggests that Oklo is on track to file an application that has a reasonable chance of approval, although the final decision remains uncertain [3]. Future Steps - The next step for Oklo is to submit its COLA application, which is expected to occur later this year, continuing a nearly decade-long journey towards regulatory approval [4]. Business Model and Timeline - Oklo aims to build and operate reactors in-house, supplying power to customers similarly to traditional electric utilities [5]. - If all goes according to plan, Oklo's first reactor is projected to go online in 2027, with revenue generation expected to start that year, although profitability is not anticipated until 2030 [6]. Market Considerations - The current market cap of Oklo is approximately $10 billion, and the potential for the stock to be considered a "buy" heavily depends on the profitability generated in 2030 and subsequent years [6].
How OKLO is Positioning Itself in the Emerging Nuclear Energy Market
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:11
Group 1 - Oklo Inc. is developing the Aurora powerhouse, a new type of nuclear power plant based on proven technology with over 400 reactor-years of operational experience [1][2][7] - The U.S. Department of Defense has selected Oklo to construct an Aurora power plant at Eielson Air Force Base in Alaska, indicating strong governmental support [2][7] - Oklo's first Aurora plant is expected to become operational between late 2027 and early 2028, positioning the company ahead of competitors in the nuclear energy market [3][7] Group 2 - Talen Energy Corporation has partnered with Amazon Web Services to supply electricity directly to AWS data centers, generating revenue from its Susquehanna nuclear plant [4] - Constellation Energy Corporation is expanding its nuclear offerings to meet the increasing power demand from AI and cloud computing, positioning its nuclear fleet as a stable solution for hyperscale data centers [5] Group 3 - Oklo's stock surged 615.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the industry average growth of 52.9% [6][7] - Oklo trades at a price-to-book value (P/BV) of 32.33X, which is considerably higher than the broader industry average of 5.66X [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Oklo's 2025 bottom line has remained unchanged over the past week, with projected losses of -0.46 for the current year [11][12]
Will Trump's Push to Quadruple US Nuclear Capacity Benefit OKLO Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 13:31
Core Insights - U.S. President Donald Trump signed executive orders to enhance nuclear power generation capacity, aiming to increase it from approximately 100 gigawatts (GW) in 2024 to 400 GW by 2050, which is beneficial for Oklo Inc. [1] - Oklo's shares rose 30.3% since May 23, significantly outperforming its sector's return of 7.6% and the S&P 500's rise of 3.1%, driven by Trump's nuclear expansion plan [2][8] - Oklo's management views the executive orders as a crucial step for advanced nuclear deployment, aligning with the company's mission to modernize licensing and construction processes [3] Company Developments - Oklo has secured a Department of Energy site use permit and a federal fuel award, which are seen as key enablers for its commercial rollout [4] - The executive orders may expedite Oklo's licensing process with the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), potentially fast-tracking the commercial deployment of its Aurora reactor [5] - Analysts project a potential upside for Oklo, with a high-price target of $75 indicating a 17.8% increase from its last closed price [6] Industry Context - Other nuclear stocks like BWX Technologies and NuScale Power Corporation are also expected to benefit from the executive orders [9] - BWX Technologies has seen a 15.5% increase in shares since May 23, following significant manufacturing contracts for nuclear energy projects [10] - NuScale Power's shares rose 28.4% since May 23, as it received final clearance to upgrade its module output from 50 megawatts (MW) to 77 MW [11] Valuation Metrics - Oklo is currently trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B) multiple of 32.90X, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 5.13X [12]
Why Shares in This Nuclear Power Company Surged Higher This Week
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-13 12:32
Core Viewpoint - Shares in nuclear power company Oklo experienced a significant increase of 28% in one week, driven by key developments that highlight the investment potential of the stock [1] Company Overview - Oklo is focused on developing "next-generation fast fission power plants," specifically the Aurora, which is based on proven technology from the Experimental Breeder Reactor-II operated by the U.S. government from 1964 to 1994 [2] - The Aurora powerhouse can operate both connected to the grid and independently, making it particularly advantageous for providing reliable power in remote locations [2] - The technology can utilize both fresh and recycled nuclear fuel, enhancing its operational flexibility [2] Recent Developments - A significant announcement was made regarding a notice of intent to award (NOITA) for Oklo to provide power to the Eielson Air Force Base in Alaska, which is appealing to the Department of Defense due to the Aurora's capability to operate independently from the grid [3] - Following this, Oklo disclosed plans for a public offering aimed at raising between $400 million and $460 million [3] Business Model - Oklo's business strategy involves building, owning, and operating its Aurora powerhouse while generating revenue through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs), rather than selling the designs of the powerhouses [5] - This model allows for long-term recurring revenue, although it necessitates substantial capital investment for construction and carries risks associated with potential cost overruns [5] - Despite these challenges, the market reacted positively to Oklo's recent developments [5]
Analyst raises Oklo stock price target after parabolic rally
Finbold· 2025-06-12 12:42
Core Viewpoint - Oklo's stock price target has been raised significantly due to increased governmental support for nuclear energy, particularly in relation to AI data center demands and military contracts [1][8]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Oklo shares experienced a remarkable increase of 41.32% over the past five days and 211.35% year-to-date, reaching an all-time intraday high of $68.24 [2]. - The stock price target was increased from $55 to $75 by Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives, who maintains an Outperform rating [1]. Group 2: Government Contracts and Initiatives - Oklo received a Notice of Intent to Award from the Defense Logistics Agency Energy to provide nuclear power to the Eielson Air Force Base in Alaska, marking a significant expansion in Department of Defense (DoD) contracts [5][6]. - The U.S. DoD aims to quadruple its nuclear power plant fleet to 400 GW by 2050 from the current ~100 GW level, indicating a strong future demand for Oklo's services [6]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Demand - The AI revolution is driving a substantial demand for clean energy, with computing power expected to grow tenfold by 2030, which benefits companies like Oklo [7]. - The recent executive orders signed by President Trump aim to accelerate the U.S. nuclear energy industry by easing regulatory processes and strengthening fuel supply chains, further supporting Oklo's growth [8].
Oklo vs. NuScale: Which Nuclear Startup Stock is the Better Player Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 15:46
Core Insights - The global clean energy sector is evolving, with nuclear energy stocks like Oklo Inc. and NuScale Power gaining attention due to rising government support and investment in small modular and advanced nuclear technologies [1][2] Summary of Oklo Inc. (OKLO) - Recent Achievements: Oklo signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power to support the development of its Aurora powerhouse and completed borehole drilling for site characterization at Idaho National Laboratory [4][5] - Financial Stability: As of Q1 2025, Oklo had cash and cash equivalents of $201 million, down from $228 million at the end of 2024, but reported no notable debt, indicating solid financial stability [7] - Challenges: Oklo has not yet started generating revenues, with its first Aurora powerhouse expected to go live in 2027, and faces high operating costs [8] Summary of NuScale Power Corporation (SMR) - Recent Achievements: NuScale reported a narrower loss per share compared to the prior year and an impressive year-over-year revenue growth of 857.1%, being the only small modular reactor company with U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission design approval [9][10] - Financial Stability: As of Q1 2025, NuScale had cash and cash equivalents of $527 million, up from $447 million at the end of 2024, and reported no notable debt, indicating strong financial stability [11] - Challenges: NuScale has yet to secure a firm commercial order but expects its first order this year, while also facing industry-wide challenges [12] Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates - Oklo's 2025 EPS estimate is a loss of 42 cents, an improvement from a loss of 74 cents the previous year, with estimates trending upward [13] - NuScale's 2025 EPS estimate is a loss of 41 cents, a deterioration from earnings of 42 cents the previous year, with estimates remaining constant [14] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past three months, SMR has outperformed OKLO with a 128.9% increase compared to OKLO's 88%, but OKLO has shown a 437.4% increase over the past year compared to SMR's 306.1% [17] - SMR's valuation is more attractive, with a trailing 12-month Price/Book ratio of 18.97X compared to OKLO's 28.55X [18] Investment Recommendation - NuScale is currently viewed as the more attractive investment opportunity due to its revenue generation, stronger cash position, and favorable valuation compared to Oklo, which is still in the pre-revenue stage [19][20]
Oklo Stock Outperforms the Industry YTD: Is It Worth Investing?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 17:30
Core Viewpoint - Oklo Inc. (OKLO) has experienced a significant share price increase of 87.1% year-to-date, outperforming both the Zacks Alternative-Energy industry and the broader Zacks Oils-Energy sector [1] Company Performance - OKLO's strong performance is attributed to its first-quarter 2025 results, which showed a narrower loss per share than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, alongside year-over-year improvement in its bottom line [4] - The company completed the acquisition of Atomic Alchemy in February 2025, enhancing its capabilities in radioisotope production, which is expected to meet rising demands across various sectors [5] - In March 2025, OKLO entered into an Interface Agreement with Idaho National Laboratory to ensure compliance with environmental regulations and finalized a Memorandum of Agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy for deploying its first commercial powerhouse in Idaho [6] Industry Context - Global electricity demand is increasing, particularly due to the growth of data centers and consumption in emerging economies, with the U.S. contributing approximately 30% to global nuclear electricity generation [7] - OKLO is developing next-generation fast-fission power plants, specifically the Aurora powerhouse product line, which aims to produce between 15-50 megawatts electric (MWe) from recycled and fresh nuclear fuel, with potential expansion to 100 MWe [8] Future Prospects - The completion of borehole drilling for site characterization at the Idaho National Laboratory marks a significant step in the development of OKLO's first Aurora Powerhouse, indicating strong long-term growth prospects in the nuclear power generation market [10] Financial Metrics - OKLO shares are currently trading at a high Price/Book (P/B TTM) ratio of 20.53X, significantly above the industry average of 4.68X, indicating a premium valuation [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OKLO's 2025 earnings suggests a year-over-year improvement, while the estimate for 2026 indicates a deterioration, reflecting mixed sentiment among analysts [13][14]