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Autodesk Stock Ready to Rip? Q3 May Be the Turning Point
MarketBeatยท 2025-07-09 18:43
Core Viewpoint - Autodesk is positioned for potential new highs in Q3 due to its cloud transition, AI adoption, and strong financial performance, consistently outperforming consensus figures and providing favorable guidance [1][3] Financial Performance - Autodesk's revenue grew by 15% in Q1, an increase from 11% in the previous quarter and year, driven by client wins and market penetration [4] - The consensus for Q2 revenue growth is 14%, slightly lower than Q1, but revisions may lead to a higher range before results are released [9] - The company is forecasted to maintain a modest double-digit CAGR through the middle of the next decade, with earnings growth expected to outpace revenue growth [3] Market Sentiment - Analyst coverage remains steady with 23 analysts covering the stock, leading to a Moderate Buy sentiment that could shift to Strong Buy with recent revisions [2] - The price target for Autodesk has been raised to $343.64, indicating a potential upside of approximately 10% from current levels [1][2] Stock Dynamics - Autodesk's stock is at a critical resistance point, retesting highs from 2021, with a potential move above these levels signaling a market shift [5] - The company has reduced its share count by approximately 0.5% year over year through share repurchases, providing leverage for shareholders [10] Institutional Activity - Institutions own about 90% of Autodesk's stock, with a trend of buying in the first half of the year followed by selling in Q2, although initial reports for Q3 indicate significant buying activity [11][12]