AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer discussed, along with market shortages. A club member inquired whether the stock is a buy, sell, or hold, and here’s what Cramer had to say in response: Alright, this one mystifies me. I have been a believer in this stock for some time. They have the best buyback. Take a look. They’ve shrunk the float by 50% just in the last few years. There’s nothing, I thought, at first, I thought it was tariffed parts that could be a problem, tariffed parts. But ...

Group 1 - AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) has experienced a decline in its price-to-earnings ratio to around 23, despite maintaining good earnings and growth [1] - The stock's recent performance was impacted by an inconsistent earnings report, leading to a significant sell-off, but the company is expected to recover in the next quarter [1] - AutoZone has reduced its share count by 44.9% since the end of 2015 and approximately 89% since summer 1998, contributing to its status as a long-term outperformer [2] Group 2 - The current high interest rates make financing for new cars expensive, prompting consumers to seek replacement parts for their existing vehicles [2] - AutoZone's stock has pulled back 22% from its recent highs, presenting a potential buying opportunity [2]

Core Insights - Net profit is a crucial indicator of a company's financial health, reflecting its ability to convert sales into profits [1] - A low profit margin indicates higher risks, while companies like Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD), Strattec Security Corporation (STRT), Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS), and Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP) demonstrate solid net profit margins [2] - A higher net profit margin compared to peers provides a competitive edge and attracts investors and skilled employees [4] Financial Metrics - Net Profit Margin is calculated as Net Profit/Sales * 100, serving as a reference for assessing operational strength and cost control [3] - A healthy net profit margin and solid EPS growth are essential for maximizing returns [7] Screening Criteria - Companies with a net margin of at least 0% indicate solid profitability [8] - Positive percentage change in EPS indicates earnings growth [8] - A Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 suggests strong performance potential [10] Selected Companies - GLDD is the largest provider of dredging services in the U.S., with a Zacks Rank of 1 and a VGM Score of A; its 2026 earnings estimate has increased by $0.10 to $1.09 per share [10][11] - STRT designs and manufactures automotive locks, holding a Zacks Rank of 1 and a VGM Score of A; its 2026 earnings estimate has risen by 23.3% to $5.24 per share [12][13] - NGS produces natural gas compressors, also with a Zacks Rank of 1 and a VGM Score of B; its 2026 earnings estimate has increased by 14.1% to $2.11 per share [13][14] - SMP manufactures automotive replacement parts, currently holding a Zacks Rank of 2 and a VGM Score of A; its 2026 earnings estimate has risen by $0.04 to $4.31 per share [15][16]

Industry Overview - The auto industry in 2025 is navigating policy uncertainty and shifting incentives, with U.S. new-vehicle sales expected to reach about 16.3 million units, the strongest level since 2019 [1] - Sales are projected to settle near 16 million units in 2026 as pricing, inventory, and dealer supply normalize, with growth driven by real consumer demand rather than short-term incentives [2] - Affordability remains a key theme, with higher-income buyers supporting demand for larger vehicles while cost-conscious shoppers lean towards used and off-lease options [3] Company Insights Garrett Motion - Garrett Motion develops advanced turbocharging and zero-emission technologies, securing new light-vehicle turbo programs and expecting over $40 million in lifetime revenues from turbochargers used in data-center backup power systems [6][7] - The company raised its 2025 profit outlook and approved a $250 million share repurchase program for 2026, with a Wall Street average price target of $20.75/share suggesting a nearly 19% upside [8] Standard Motor Products - Standard Motor Products specializes in premium automotive replacement parts, with demand driven by an aging vehicle fleet and long-term growth themes like electrification and affordability [9] - The acquisition of Nissens in November 2024 is expected to deliver $8-12 million in annualized cost savings, with a Wall Street average price target of $47/share suggesting a nearly 25% upside [11][12] Blue Bird Corporation - Blue Bird is a leader in low- and zero-emission school buses, with a record delivery of 901 electric buses in fiscal 2025 and an order backlog of 680 electric buses supporting its 2026 sales outlook [13][14] - The company targets $1.5 billion in revenues and $220 million in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2026, with a Wall Street average price target of $56.71/share suggesting a nearly 12% upside [15] WeRide Inc. - WeRide is a leader in the autonomous driving space with a fleet of over 1,600 AVs, including robotaxis and driverless licenses across eight countries, and is expanding its commercial operations [16][17] - The company has an attractive average broker recommendation of 1.42, with a Wall Street average price target of $15/share suggesting a nearly 72% upside [18]

Core Insights - Kettle Hill Capital Management acquired a new position in LKQ, purchasing 1,163,355 shares valued at approximately $35.53 million, which represents 7.99% of the fund's reported U.S. equity assets [1][2][10] - LKQ is now the largest equity holding for Kettle Hill Capital Management, with total positions increasing to 36 at the end of the quarter [2][10] - LKQ's stock has underperformed, with a price of $29.45 as of December 5, 2025, down 19.23% over the past year and lagging the S&P 500 by 34.82 percentage points [3][11] Company Overview - LKQ Corporation is a leading global distributor of automotive replacement parts, offering both new and recycled parts to a diverse customer base [6][9] - The company reported trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of $13.96 billion and net income of $697 million, with a market capitalization of $7.95 billion [4][10] - LKQ's business model includes wholesale distribution to repair shops, dealerships, and retail customers, focusing on cost-effective vehicle repair and maintenance solutions [9][10] Performance Metrics - LKQ's shares have decreased by 8% over the last five years, resulting in a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -1.7% [11] - In contrast, the S&P 500 has more than doubled in value during the same period, achieving a CAGR of 15.1% [11] - The company has a dividend yield of 3.87% [3]

Core Insights - Guardian Wealth Management increased its stake in LKQ to approximately $4.9 million, acquiring 77,245 shares during Q3 2025, which added an estimated $1.83 million in position value [1][2] - As of September 30, 2025, the total stake in LKQ stands at 159,199 shares, representing 2.87% of Guardian's $169.26 million in reportable U.S. equity assets [2][3] Company Overview - LKQ reported a total revenue of $13.96 billion and a net income of $697 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [4] - The company has a dividend yield of 3.97% and its stock price was $29.45 as of December 5, 2025 [4] Performance Analysis - LKQ's stock has declined by 46% over the past three years, resulting in a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -16.8%, while the S&P 500 has increased by 82% during the same period [10] - Recent developments indicate LKQ is exploring a potential sale of its Keystone Automotive division, which may help raise cash and refocus on its core business of aftermarket and recycled auto parts [11] Business Model - LKQ operates as a leading distributor of aftermarket and recycled automotive parts, serving customers across North America and Europe [6][9] - The company sources parts from manufacturers and salvage operations, supplying them to repair shops, dealerships, and retail consumers [9]

Core Insights - Thompson, Siegel, & Walmsley (TSW) has significantly increased its stake in LKQ Corporation, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term value despite recent stock price declines [2][10]. Company Overview - LKQ Corporation is a leading distributor of automotive replacement parts and related products, with a diversified presence across North America and Europe [5]. - The company operates a distribution-focused business model, generating revenue through the sale of new and recycled automotive parts to various customers, including repair shops and dealerships [7]. - As of December 8, 2025, LKQ's market capitalization is $7.33 billion, with a revenue of $13.96 billion and a net income of $697 million for the trailing twelve months [4]. Investment Activity - TSW's recent purchase of 1,470,033 shares of LKQ increased its total holdings to 3,544,970 shares, valued at $108.26 million as of September 30, 2025 [2][3]. - LKQ now represents 1.75% of TSW's 13F reportable assets under management (AUM) [3]. - TSW has added shares of LKQ six times over the last two years, more than doubling its ownership in the company [10]. Market Performance - LKQ's stock price as of December 8, 2025, is $28.65, which is down 26% over the past year, significantly trailing the S&P 500 by 39 percentage points [3]. - The company's EV/EBITDA ratio is currently at 7.8, the lowest outside of major market crashes, indicating a potentially undervalued position in the market [11]. Dividend and Future Outlook - LKQ offers a dividend yield of 4.2%, which is at an all-time high, suggesting it may be an attractive time for investors to consider the stock [12]. - Despite the current challenges and transformation in the automotive industry, LKQ is viewed as operationally sound and a leader in its niche [10].

Core Insights - The Zacks Automotive Replacement Parts industry is facing challenges due to the increasing complexity of modern vehicles, which require specialized tools and expertise, leading to higher service costs and profitability pressures from U.S. import tariffs on parts sourced from China and Europe. However, the aging vehicle fleet in the U.S. is driving demand for maintenance and replacement components, benefiting companies like LKQ Corporation, Dorman Products, and Standard Motor Products [1][5]. Industry Overview - The industry includes companies that produce, market, and distribute replacement components for the automotive aftermarket, offering essential parts such as engine, steering, and brake components. The market is less sensitive to economic downturns as consumers prioritize vehicle maintenance over new purchases [2]. Factors Shaping Industry Prospects - Rising vehicle complexity is straining the aftermarket, requiring specialized skills and tools, which can lead to longer service times and increased costs for suppliers [3]. - Manufacturers face cost pressures due to high U.S. import tariffs, with many producing only about half of their parts domestically, leading to potential price increases for consumers [4]. - The average vehicle age in the U.S. has risen to 12.8 years in 2025, up from 12.6 years in 2024, sustaining strong demand for replacement parts as owners delay new purchases [5]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Automotive Replacement Parts industry ranks 183, placing it in the bottom 24% of around 250 Zacks industries, indicating weak near-term prospects with a significant decline in earnings estimates for 2026 and 2027 [6][7]. Market Performance - The industry has underperformed compared to the Auto, Tires, and Truck sector and the S&P 500, declining 17.6% over the past year, while the sector grew by 14.1% and the S&P 500 returned 14.2% [9]. Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 7.47X, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 18.06X and the sector's 22.93X, indicating a potential undervaluation compared to historical highs of 12.15X and lows of 6.02X over the past five years [12]. Company Highlights - **Standard Motor Products (SMP)**: A leading manufacturer of automotive replacement parts, recently expanded through the acquisition of Nissens, expecting $8-$12 million in annualized cost savings. SMP has surpassed earnings estimates consistently, with a projected 20.9% growth in sales for 2025 [14][15]. - **LKQ Corporation**: A major provider of replacement parts, has strengthened its growth outlook through strategic acquisitions, including Uni-Select. The company has cut $125 million in costs and plans to reduce another $75 million [21][22]. - **Dorman Products**: A supplier of exclusive replacement parts, recently launched a revamped e-commerce platform to enhance customer experience and operational scalability. Dorman has also consistently surpassed earnings estimates, with a projected 8% growth in sales for 2025 [24][25].

Core Insights - Investors prioritize companies with consistent profitability, measured effectively by net profit margin, which reflects operational efficiency and management quality [1][2] Profitability Metrics - Net profit margin is calculated as Net profit divided by Sales multiplied by 100, indicating a company's ability to convert sales into profits [2] - A strong net profit margin suggests effective cost control and operational strength, essential for rewarding stakeholders and attracting investors [2] Industry Comparisons - Net profit margin varies across industries, complicating direct comparisons; it is crucial for traditional sectors but may be less relevant for technology firms [3] - Differences in accounting practices, particularly regarding non-cash expenses, further complicate comparisons [4] Investment Strategy - A healthy net profit margin and solid EPS growth are key elements sought in a business model, supplemented by additional criteria for maximizing returns [5] Screening Parameters - Criteria for screening include a net margin of at least 0%, positive percentage change in EPS, high broker ratings, and a favorable Zacks Rank [6] - Stocks with a VGM Score of A or B combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 are identified as having the best upside potential [7] Company Highlights - **SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW)**: Operates as a regional airline with a Zacks Rank of 1 and a VGM Score of A; 2025 earnings estimate revised upward by 3.8% to $10.33 per share [8] - **Interface, Inc. (TILE)**: Largest manufacturer of modular carpets, also holds a Zacks Rank of 1 and a VGM Score of A; 2025 earnings estimate revised to $1.85 per share from $1.70 [9] - **FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL)**: Specializes in manufacturing railroad freight cars, currently has a Zacks Rank of 2 and a VGM Score of A; earnings estimate remained unchanged [10][11] - **Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP)**: Leading manufacturer of automotive replacement parts, holds a Zacks Rank of 2 and a VGM Score of A; 2025 earnings estimate revised upward by $0.04 to $3.80 per share [12][13]

Core Insights - PineStone Asset Management Inc. sold approximately $65.7 million worth of AutoZone shares in Q3, reducing its stake by 16,388 shares, while still holding 265,305 shares valued at $1.1 billion as of September 30 [2][7] Company Overview - AutoZone's stock price closed at $4,030.17, reflecting a 25% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500's nearly 14% gain during the same period [3] - The company has a market capitalization of $67.4 billion, with a trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of $18.9 billion and a net income of $2.5 billion [4] Business Model and Market Position - AutoZone operates as a leading retailer and distributor in the automotive aftermarket sector, offering a wide range of automotive replacement parts, maintenance items, and accessories [6][9] - The company serves a diverse customer base, including do-it-yourself consumers and professional automotive repair shops across the U.S., Mexico, and Brazil [9] Financial Performance - AutoZone reported a same-store sales growth of 5.1% and a full-year earnings per share (EPS) of $144.87, supported by a 14% increase in inventory to facilitate new store openings and commercial expansion [10] - The company continues to generate consistent cash flow and engages in share buybacks, which contribute to steady value creation [10]