Economic Overview - The US economy is currently growing at approximately 2%, with GDP for the first half of the year reported at 1.5% and GDI at about 2% [4][5][6] - Recent earnings reporting season provided insights into market dispersion, highlighting the differences in performance between US and non-US stocks [9][11] Earnings Growth Expectations - Analysts initially expected a 12% year-over-year growth rate for US equity earnings in 2025, which has been downgraded to 9% [11] - For developed non-US stocks, the expected growth rate has shifted from 9% to a negative 3% for 2025, indicating a worsening outlook [12][13] Investment Strategies - High dispersion in returns across stocks and sectors suggests that active investment strategies may yield better results than passive approaches [8][10] - Model portfolios are increasingly being adopted by financial advisors to provide a scalable and consistent investment experience [25][29] Gold Market Insights - Central banks purchased 1,045 tons of gold in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of purchases exceeding 1,000 tons, which has contributed to gold's appreciation [32][33] - Gold's supply is inelastic, making it responsive to changes in demand, particularly from central bank purchases [34][35] AI Investment Landscape - The AI sector is characterized by volatility, with companies like Nvidia leading the charge, but there are opportunities across various industries including utilities and software [20][30] - Active exposure to AI through ETFs is recommended due to the fast-moving nature of the sector [21][50] Crypto and Digital Assets - Bitcoin is viewed favorably as a digital gold, serving as a store of value, although it remains volatile [41][43] - The correlation between Bitcoin and gold ETFs indicates a potential interchange in investor preferences between these assets [46]